Jay

politics and such. The power of the people is greater than the people in power

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@hpesojnai @Fiveyisntdead Yeah we will see 😂

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@abysssalsss @dontbanjake @BonifaceOption Let me guess you also believe there was a drop that gave Pratt 0 votes because you think third party media outlets are official results?

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@hpesojnai @Fiveyisntdead

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@bigbalognapony @jtsid1969 @andrewjiang This was the vote drop AFTER that screenshot the idiot that you replied to posted. +21,870 for Pratt, +0 for Bass, +0 for Raman. He left that part out. It was a media error on behalf of the Associated Press, that’s not how that vote drop was reported from the official results.

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@jtsid1969 @LAJoneser @andrewjiang Are you aware of what happened in the next vote drop after that? +21,870 for Pratt, +0 for Bass, +0 for Raman. The AP updated the candidates at different times. This is NOT how the batch was released by the OFFICIAL results from the SoS.

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@hpesojnai @Fiveyisntdead No it isn’t. If she holds the same margins she got in today’s vote drop, she will pass him

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@that1okie @PpollingNumbers Womp womp

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@OREGONTORNADO @ThePoliticalHQ For your sake, I advise you go ahead and start creating a rough draft of your “Dems are stealing it!!!” post. That way you can hit the ground running when Raman passes Pratt

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@realjacobsrival @BrentScher @Kalshi This newest batch was +10.7% better for Raman relative to her overall standing (22.8% vs 33.5%) and only +1.9% better than Bass’s previous overall standing. (35% vs 36.9%)

To be fair though this is just one batch, but if these margins hold, bye bye Pratt.

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@jeffmac94 @VoteHub Wow how shocking Dems vote by mail who would’ve thought

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@realjacobsrival @BrentScher @Kalshi We will see in the next few vote drops if that’s the case

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@NoMoreNameslefd @realjacobsrival @BrentScher @Kalshi If I were Bass I’d much rather Pratt advance. It’s an easy win for her even though she’s an incredibly weak incumbent. It’s still Los Angeles. This isn’t some swing state lol. A dem vs dem matchup is horrible for Bass. In a Bass vs Pratt matchup, Ramans voters go to Bass.

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@realjacobsrival @BrentScher @Kalshi Because late vote by mail is more progressive than the Election Day and early in person votes. Progressive voters are more likely to vote Raman. We saw that Bass got a lot of the older black vote, and those voters are more likely to vote in person or vote early rather than VBM.

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@AmericanAlphaX This shit is hilarious it’s so funny to watch yall time and time again fail to understand that Dems vote by mail in higher numbers. It’s really not a hard concept 😂😂😂

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@Polymarket Womp womp back to reality TV I guess

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@Gerovic12 @PheelophJohnson That screenshot is not from the official SoS website lol. It’s from a third party media outlet, that’s a synchronization error on behalf of the media. There was no vote drop in which Pratt got zero votes lmaoooo

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@ChudOchoCinco @rscottyy @gatorgar Lol. My argument is that the late Dem vote will be more progressive than the in person early vote/Election Day Dem vote which could drop Bass’s vote share a bit with the later dem vote. But if the remaining Dem vote is from more Bass favored areas, then she could hold steady

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@ChudOchoCinco @rscottyy @gatorgar Gotcha, I see your math. Thats assuming she continues to get the 35% vote share she’s been getting. Thats actually not impossible but it’s hard to tell if the remaining dem vote is from Bass or Raman favored areas. Thats what it comes down to.

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@ChudOchoCinco @rscottyy @gatorgar What percentage of the remaining vote are you giving Bass in that calculation? Just trying to see your math.

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@ChudOchoCinco @rscottyy @gatorgar Back my previous statements if Raman isn’t hitting the margins she needs in the vote drop today. She has to outperform Pratt by 11.6% with the remaining ballots. Would net her 38k on Pratt. Again this is assuming the remaining ballot totals are accurate.

[Jay @NoGoodLeftist]

@ChudOchoCinco @rscottyy @gatorgar That 40% number is assuming Pratt will continue to get his 29% margins, which probably isn’t likely. Couple things that would help Pratt hold on - the estimated remaining vote is actually less than 322k, or remaining votes break heavily for bass rather than Raman. I’ll take 1/2