📶 EdgeTrader🥓

$ES, $ES_F. #LiquiditySqueeze. Trading the Liquidity Squeeze. One edge is all you need. My comments and trades are my own. This is not financial advice.

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

Done...!!!
Sharing excerpts daily on X...

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

$ES squeeze incoming 7296 now, break 7305, sees 7320. fail see 7280, 7260

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

$ES 7358 +/- 5-7 pts is the neutral zone price today. Watch below for fail or above for rip

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

@smashelito @PermaFader ES is clawing its way back. I like it -but it's on a tight leash. $ES 7614 needs to break above on the upside. Here's my real-time alert.

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

@AdamMancini4 There's that pesky yellow line again!

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

$ES 7614 is the key breakdown price point today, reclaim, and we RIP hard.
$ES 7565 support, dipped to 7562, part of extended flush (from #TheLiquiditySqueeze), institutional stop hunting, retail money pit stop. Price reclaimed and is now consolidating before the next move. probably the last hr or so of trading today.

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

https://t.co/bqvRjKG0A1

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

@repetak @AdamMancini4 Nice retest 7565. Now hold and rip or dip.
i voter rip

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

$ES liquidity squeeze hit in $SPX 7603. Now back. Stop hunting by institutional and hedge funds. Dip and Rip of 7603 holds tomorrow

So obvious. Hope you saw it

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

$ES $QQQ market is in pre-summer mode. Low volatility, slow grind.

Don’t overtrade.

Rally continues until it doesn’t - when will that be? Oh, you’ll know it will be telegraphed way before it dumps.
Stay #vigilant #futures

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

$ES, $SPX, , $SPX $QQQ, $DJIA

************WHAT JUST HAPPENED?***************
The beginning of the end of the Iran Conflict. OIL below $60. SPX 7700. I'm calling it, here and now!

WHY...my take.

SCHELLING COMPLETION READ
Friday's tweet was the commitment device. Today's "US + Iran + Israel on board" is the counter-confirmation. Per Schelling — once both parties publicly confirm, the risk premium removes completely and immediately.

Today's jump out of consolidation - This is not a partial move. Dealers are now forced to unwind all Iran hedges simultaneously. My book, The Institutional Playbook- Trade The Liquidity Squeeze, showed the blueprint. The real world showed the execution.
Just ride it now...

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

$ES 7617.
Globex opening dip bought

Check back in the AM. Set your alerts I will post chart and plan for tomorrow.

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

$ES, $SPX, DJIA, $QQQ ***IMPACT NOW***

SCHELLING FRAMEWORK — $TRUMP IRAN TWEET ANALYSIS

******READ AND UNDERSTAND*********
COERCIVE BARGAINING READ
Trump's tweet is a classic Schelling coercive bargaining termination signal. Here is the structure:

WHAT SCHELLING TELLS US
The Commitment Device has been honored.
Schelling's core insight: coercion works not through the use of force but through the credible threat of force combined with a visible off-ramp. Trump's tweet hits every element:
Schelling ElementTweet EvidenceCredible threat establishedB2 bomber attack "11 months ago" — force already used, credibility provenFocal point created"Never have a Nuclear Weapon" — binary, unambiguous, non-negotiableOff-ramp offeredBlockade lifted, ships go home, cooperative dismantlementFace-saving for Iran"Close coordination WITH Iran" — Iran presented as partner not defeatedCommitment visiblePublic Truth Social post — cannot be privately walked back

THE CRITICAL SCHELLING INSIGHT FOR MARKETS
This is not the opening of a negotiation. This is the announcement of a concluded coercive bargain.
Schelling distinguishes between:

Compellence — forcing an adversary to DO something (active)
Deterrence — preventing an adversary from doing something (passive)

Trump used compellence (blockade, B2 strikes) and is now announcing successful compellence resolution. The adversary has agreed to the demanded action.
Markets price compellence risk as a binary. The risk premium inserted during the coercion phase gets fully removed on resolution. This is not a partial de-escalation — the tweet reads as terminal resolution of the coercive sequence.

WHY THE MARKET RESPONSE WILL BE VIOLENT AND SUSTAINED
Schelling's "Salience" concept explains why this moves markets hard:
The Hormuz Strait is the most salient single chokepoint in global energy markets — 20% of global oil supply. Its reopening is not a marginal improvement. It is the removal of a catastrophic tail risk that had been priced into every energy, shipping, defense, and equity risk premium globally.
Risk premium removal = multiple expansion = ES rips.

WHAT TO WATCH FOR — SCHELLING'S WARNING
The one risk: Schelling also identified the danger of "last clear chance" dynamics — where one party makes a final public commitment that the other party has not yet formally confirmed.
Trump says "meeting now in the Situation Room — final determination."
This means:

US side: committed publicly — cannot back down without massive credibility loss
Iran side: not yet publicly confirmed — silence or rejection = market reverses violently

This is the binary. Iran confirmation = ES 7650+. Iran rejection or silence = ES flushes back to ES 7565 or lower as the risk premium re-inserts with vengeance.

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

MY plan for $ES the rest of the afternoon:

1. Today's low ES 7516-14 aligns exactly with the ES 7516 support level in today's data — textbook institutional floor hold.

2. Close 7 Points Above ES 7530 Orange — Cleanest Margin in Two Weeks. Unlike the razor-thin 1-point margins on 5/20 and 5/21, ES 7537 gives 7 points of breathing room above the orange. Still not enough to ignore — if Wednesday opens within the ES 7530–7537 zone, chop logic applies until a break above ES 7540.

Stay green.

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

$ES 7463 BAM ...So it is written - so it is done. If you saw my earlier post, you knew this was a high-probability outcome based on the overnight and this morning squeezes. let it ride. My algo alerted it. over and over ....good @Nonpoli20 confidence indicator.

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

One word for markets today.
CHOPPY

Do not overtrade.

Trade your levels, and hold for next leg.

🦵
It’s close.

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

$ES 7408 was the flush. $ES 7417 was the trigger and we e been running g ever since. One headline away from ATH. Or $ES 7300

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

@ESFuturesT41922 @AdamMancini4 Yup. Mine was 7352

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

@SimbaSana Yup. It was a given since the Call wall was hit and failed.

[📶 EdgeTrader🥓 @Nonpoli20]

$ES next week is going into be EPIC!!

Are you ready?

I’ll be posting the charts alerts I use to trade in real time. Watch and ??? U B U

Do not listen to the IN crowd. They are most likely not in.

Outside looking in. 🚀