NordEdge

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Finnish football
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Veikkausliiga 2026 Season
All times are EEST (UTC+3)
Discipline over impulse.

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FT score Oulu 2 - 1 Jaro

BTTS Yes✅
Over 3.5 goals↘️

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Sun 31st 16:00 Finland Veikkausliiga
Oulu - Jaro

Match Preview:
Oulu have won their last three home games, while Jaro have failed to win in their last four away outings. In their recent head‑to‑head the home side have won six of ten meetings and both‑teams‑to‑score occurred in 70% of those games.

Oulu sit third in the table and average 1.56 goals per game (1.33 at home). They are on a three‑match home winning streak and have kept a clean sheet in every home game this season. Their defence concedes zero at home.

Jaro are tenth and only score 0.78 goals per game (0.2 away). They have not won in their last four away matches and have failed to find the net in four of their last ten away fixtures. Their away defence leaks 2.2 goals per game.

The Verdict:
Oulu should dominate, likely winning by two or more while the match produces at least three goals. Expect a high‑scoring affair with the visitors adding a late goal.

Value Bets
Both Teams To Score @ 1.94 — Model: 57.46%, Implied: 51.55%, Edge: +5.91%.
Over 3.5 @ 3.5 — Model: 34.73%, Implied: 28.57%, Edge: +6.16%.

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FT score TPS 1 - 0 VPS

TPS win✅

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Sat 30th 17:00 Finland Veikkausliiga
TPS - VPS

Match Preview:
TPS are unbeaten in their last 7 home outings, while VPS have avoided defeat in their last 8 overall.Both sides have a history of high-scoring games with over 75% of matches producing at least two goals.
TPS sit 6th and have scored in last 7 straight, VPS are 4th and have scored in last 8 straight.

The Verdict:
Both sides are likely to find the net, with TPS holding a slight edge thanks to their home solidity.
Over 1.5 goals is offered @ 1.31 which predicts a 76% chance but is no value bet.
BTTS Yes @ 1.70 is no value bet either 54.4%/58.8%

Value Bets:
TPS Home win @ 2.92
Model: 39.8%, Implied: 34.3%, Edge: +5.6%

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FT score KuPS 1 - 1 Inter Turku

Over 2.5 goals↘️
BTTS Yes✅

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Sat 30th 17:00 Finland Veikkausliiga
KuPS - Inter Turku

Match Preview:
KuPS who are 2nd in the table and unbeaten in their last 8 home games face league-leading Inter Turku who are unbeaten in their last 6 overall.
Both sides have a history of BTTS and high-scoring matches.

The Verdict:
Total goals should exceed 2.5 with both sides likely finding the net.

Value Bets:
Over 2.5 goals @ 2.07
Model: 53%, Implied: 48%, Edge: +5%
BTTS Yes @ 1.80
Model: 56%, Implied: 55%, Edge: +1%

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FT score IF Gnistan 3 - 2 SJK

Over 2.5 goals✅
Over 3.5 goals✅

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Sat 30th 17:00 Finland Veikkausliiga
IF Gnistan - SJK

Match Preview:
Gnistan have won 2 of the last 4 home games W2D0L2, they sit 8th and have a 5-game scoring streak. They double their output in 2nd half but also concede heavily then.
SJK have no wins in their last 3 away games W0D1L2, They sit 11th with 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses in last 8 matches.

The Verdict:
Both sides will likely find the net and total goals should exceed 2.5

Value Bets:
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.73
Model: 66.73%, Implied: 57.8%, Edge: +8.93%
Over 3.5 goals @ 2.80
Model: 45.65%, Implied: 35.73%, Edge: +9.94%

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FT score HJK 1 - 0 Mariehamn

HJK win✅
HJK clean sheet✅

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Sat 30th 15:00 Finland Veikkausliiga
HJK - Mariehamn

Match Preview:
HJK sit 5th, they arrive on a solid home run W4D1L1 They average 1.5 goals per home game, with 3+ goals in five of the last 10 home games.
Mariehamn sit 12th, recent away form is W2D1L3 and they have failed to score in three of their last four away outings, they also concede two goals on average away.

The Verdict:
One-sided - HJK should cruise to a comfortable victory and likely keep a clean sheet.

Value Bets: The model shows no market with an edge above 3%

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FT score FC Lahti 5 - 0 Ilves

Over 2.5 goals✅
BTTS Yes↘️

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Sat 30th 17:00 Finland Veikkausliiga
FC Lahti - Ilves

Match Preview:
Lahti are 9th in the table, they are unbeaten in their last four home games, also BTTS in four straight, also conceding in nine consecutive home games.
Ilves sit 7th, they average 1.60 goals away, they have scored in nine straight away fixtures and BTTS is 100% on the road.

The Verdict:
Goals Expected - both sides will likely find the net and total goals should exceed 2.5

Value Bets:
Over 2.5 goals @ 2.07
Model: 60%, Implied: 48%, Edge: +12%
BTTS Yes @ 1.84
Model: 61%, Implied: 54%, Edge: +7%

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Veikkausliiga season snapshot.

FC Inter have created the early gap at the top, with KuPS and AC Oulu still close enough to keep pressure on.

A few market notes:
• AC Oulu: no draws yet — very binary profile
• VPS: only 1 loss, but draw-heavy
• HJK: +4 GD, still only mid-table

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Gary Williams resigned due to the team's poor performance in the 2026 Veikkausliiga season.

In his official statement, he explained that the season had not developed as hoped or planned, despite hard work from everyone involved. The team had collected only 4 points from 8 league matches (placing them at the bottom of the table), falling short of the expectations set by the club, supporters, and themselves. As head coach, he took full responsibility for the results.

The departure was by mutual agreement (at his own initiative), and the club accepted his decision immediately. The club thanked him for his contributions since taking over in August 2024 (when he helped avoid relegation) and through the 2025 season.

Jimmy Wargh (team director) has taken over as interim head coach. The club is already searching for a permanent replacement.

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Gary Williams is stepping down from his position as head coach at his own initiative in the Veikkausliiga club IFK Mariehamn. Team director Jimmy Wargh will serve as the interim head coach.
Source: https://t.co/4Q1q8lVe74

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FT score Jaro 3 - 0 Mariehamn

Over 2.5✅
BTTS↘️

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Sat 23rd 16:00 Finland Veikkausliiga
Jaro - Mariehamn

Match Preview:
Jaro sit 12th, they have gone five home games without a win and have conceded in each, they average just 0.5 goals per game total but 1.0 at home. Mariehamn, 11th, have secured two away victories in their last six. They are clinical (+5 xG) but tend to start slowly, yet they often score late.

The Verdict:
Expect both sides finding the net and total goals exceeding  2.5.

Value Bets:
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.07 — Model: 56%, Implied: 48%, Edge: +8%. Scoring trend and leaky defence make this a clear value.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.91 — Model: 59%, Implied: 52%, Edge: +7%. BTTS hit 70% in recent H2H, boosting the upside.

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Veikkausliiga table snapshot after saturday matches,
Inter Turku setting the pace