The throughline: demand in each niche is strong enough to warrant new construction — not just acquisition.
As office and multifamily pipelines tighten, that's the window.
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Which niche is the real play in your market?
Everyone still calls industrial a warehouse play. The capital stopped agreeing a while ago.
Ecommerce demand stabilized, so investors rotated into 4 industrial niches instead. Here's where the
money is actually going:
4⃣ Cold storage: expensive, but the math works.
Build costs run 2–3× a standard warehouse ($130–$350/sf). But cap rates sit ~50–100 bps higher (~7.65%), rents are 100–200% above warehouses, and leases run 10–15 years. Online grocery + pharma are driving it.
The Port of Houston just posted record container volume. Construction is at an all-time high. Does a $75M industrial deal actually pencil? Or are we overbuilding Texas?
$75M in. $4.1M NOI. Worth $69M today.
At $11/SF rents? $84M.
Go for it if you believe in the rent growth. 👇
The office narrative has been bearish for 5 years. The data is starting to say something different.
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📢What's the biggest obstacle to office development in your market right now?
"Office is dead" was the narrative for 5 years.
New deliveries hit a 10-year low. Class-A is nearly fully occupied. Vacancy in major metros fell 1.5% in a single year.
Here's where the office opportunity actually is right now: 🧵
⚖️The other play: repositioning.
Vacant Class-B and C buildings available at a steep discount.
Companies sign leases only for spaces that meet their standards, but that bar creates real value for developers, who can reposition properties to meet it.
Lower acquisition cost + motivated tenants + undersupplied market = compelling risk-adjusted return.
The CRE recovery is real. The investment side is moving. The developer side is catching up.
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Which asset class do you think breaks first on new construction starts?
CRE just had its best Q1 since 2022. $117B in investment. Lending at a 5-year high. Every buyer type- private, institutional, REIT, cross-border- increased spending.
Here's exactly what moved and what didn't: 🧵
So what's NOT moving?
🏗️New construction.
Despite compressed cap rates, improved lending, and strong demand, starts remain "muted in many sectors" (Clarion Partners). High construction costs + elevated return requirements are keeping developers on the sidelines even as capital opens back up.
$117B. +19% YoY.
The best Q1 CRE has seen since 2022, and every buyer type was back at the table simultaneously.
Which market in your region is leading the recovery? ⬇️
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2026 CRE trends you can’t ignore:
📉 Macro recovery
🏢 Multifamily momentum
🏦 Lending shifts
🧠 AI + data center growth
👥 People-first design
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