Nicolas Tenzer

S civ servant Guest Prof @PSIASciencesPo Sr fellow @cepa @RevueLeBanquet @CERAP_Paris Last books #FinDeLaPolitiquedesGrandesPuissances #NotreGuerre #humanrights

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

Il y a 9 mois paraissait aux @EdLObservatoire mon dernier livre Fin de la politique des grandes puissances.
Le grand discours du 20 janvier de @MarkJCarney à Davos lui a donné une nouvelle résonance : il a, de fait, repris sa thèse centrale sur les moyennes puissances.
Un fil🧵
1

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

Magnificently said.
Ukraine's victory is political philosophy enshrined in geostrategy.

[terekh @iraterekh]

If architecture is music frozen in stone, homemade strategic weapons are sovereignty written in physics

Photo: @Liberov

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

Another amazing success!
It saves many Ukrainian lives.
Let's continue to annihilate russia's death machine — for good!

[Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський @ZelenskyyUa]

Today, our long-range sanctions against Russia for this war once again reached the Dubna space communications center in the Moscow region. This is a special satellite communications facility used, in particular, for reconnaissance and for coordinating the activity of Russia’s occupation contingent in Ukraine.

The distance from our state border to this facility is more than 500 kilometers. Recently, our Defense Forces of Ukraine already reached four such Russian centers, not only in the Moscow region but also in the Vladimir region. Step by step, we are implementing our plan of long-range sanctions and making it as difficult as possible for the aggressor state to carry out its invasion operations against Ukraine and the occupation of our territories. Relevant actions are also being prepared against other similar enemy facilities.

I thank our warriors for their accuracy! Glory to Ukraine!

[Michèle Doige @DoigeMichele]

A must-read piece by @NTenzer "The potential agreement between Iran and the United States is even worse that has been explained" specially regarding the international law: The martime law, the sanctions and the principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity particularly.

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

Severed heads, dismembered bodies—one of which arranged in the shape of a swastika—mass murders, destruction of livestock: like Wagner, Africa Corps, placed under the control of the 🇷🇺Ministry of Defense, slaughters civilians.
#Mustread by @benja_roger.
https://t.co/UwrTj5IeWX

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

“Flamingo diplomacy” is actually the only kind that works.

[terekh @iraterekh]

🍏A refinery a day keeps imperialism away

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

Ultimately, this is the only way “diplomacy” works in the real world when faced with an enemy who embodies radical evil.
“Long-range sanctions” might ultimately be called “diplomatic missiles.”

[Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський @ZelenskyyUa]

Every Russian defense facility that serves the war against Ukraine is a just target for our long-range sanctions.

Last night, FP-5 Flamingo missiles successfully struck the Titan-Barrikady facility in Volgograd. It is a major industrial complex where the enemy produces artillery systems and specialized military equipment, including components for missile launch systems used in attacks against our people. Confirmed strikes were followed by a fire on the plant's premises. I thank the warriors of our Defense Forces for their precision.

The reach of Ukraine's long-range sanctions continues to expand. And it is precisely our pressure, day after day, that lays the groundwork for a dignified peace in the end. I am grateful to every Ukrainian engineer and warrior who is making our long-range capabilities possible. Glory to Ukraine!

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

@DoigeMichele @VaillantTenzer @Karine1Martel Il est vrai...
Plutôt envie de plonger dans un détroit... pacifié !

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

Everyone has explained why the MOU between the US & Iran was a crushing consented defeat for the former.
In this 180th long essay on my IR blog, I examine other aspects of this disaster, particularly those related to legal, security, and principled issues.
https://t.co/BCwbrbjEVW

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

@Karine1Martel Oh ! Merci de tout cœur. Cela me (nous) touche beaucoup plus que je ne saurais l'exprimer. Toute ma gratitude.

[Michel Moreau @moreaumichel40]

En redonnant une légitimité à l'Iran sur la scène internationale,comme il a tenté de le faire sciemment pour la Russie,Trump ouvre la voie à des catastrophes à venir 7/7

[Michel Moreau @moreaumichel40]

Dans ce nouvel article de son blog #TenzerStrategics @NTenzer revient sur les conséquences de l'accord potentiel entre l'Iran et les États Unis
On en a déjà dit beaucoup de mal mais l'auteur insiste ici sur certains points clés 1/7

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

The russians are discovering Alfred Hitchcock's movie in real time...
#TheBirds
#Flamingo

[terekh @iraterekh]

Birdwatching. You’ll understand one day. 🦩

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

Big news.
The real “emergency” for all russians in Ukraine is, above all, to evacuate—a one-way trip to russia.
The Ukrainians, and particularly the Tatar people of Crimea, who have been stripped of their property, will finally be able to reclaim it.
#CrimeaIsUkraine

[Yaroslav Trofimov @yarotrof]

Crimea and Sevastopol occupation authorities declare a state of emergency.

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

Right words.
Any attempt to freeze the front line would amount to abandoning the principle of Ukraine’s territorial integrity, which EU leaders have reiterated time and again.
Our strategy—our war aim—must be Ukraine’s full victory, the only outcome compatible with our security.

[Roderich Kiesewetter🇪🇺🇩🇪🇮🇱🇺🇦 @RKiesewetter]

Für mich ist unbegreiflich, wie man fordern kann, die Frontlinie "einzufrieren" - gerade jetzt, wo es gilt, die Ukraine so zu unterstützen, dass sie das Momentum aufrechterhalten kann und militärisch weiter erfolgreich Staatsgebiet befreit, und Russland sanktioniert. Wem soll es nützen, jetzt die Frontline "einzufrieren". Damit würde Russland v.a. Zeit gewinnen, sich neu auszurichten & sich zu erholen. Wer an der Seite der Ukraine steht, der erhöht die militärische & finanzielle Unterstützung und der liefert auch endlich Taurus. Denn jeder kann sehen, dass es möglich ist, die Krym zu befreien. Russland muss verlieren lernen - sonst hört es nicht auf. Wem soll es nützen, sich weiter an Pseudo-Verhandlungen festzuhalten? Russland kann jeden Tag den Krieg einfach beenden und sich aus der UKR zurückziehen. Es muss darum gehen, der Ukraine zum Sieg zu verhelfen, wie es auch die @KASonline Präsidentin @akk beim Café Kyiv gefordert hat. Nur dann wird Russland einlenken. Alles andere stärkt den Aggressor und wird zum Wiederaufleben des Krieges führen!
https://t.co/qXYowzGcs9

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

@NitnelavGS @robintel I hope you're wrong, but I'm afraid you're right...

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

Excellent point made by the former French ambassador to Ukraine, now to Poland: “The question is no longer whether Ukraine will win, but when.”
As I've been saying since 2022, Ukraine’s total victory—thus Russia’s full defeat—must be the explicit strategy of all European leaders.

[Etienne de Poncins @EdePoncins]

L'interview plus complète. La réaction hystérique des trolls russes montre que j'ai mis le doigt sur la plaie de leur défaite à venir..

https://t.co/YYfnpd6KjK

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

Everyone remembers the deeply missed @SenJohnMcCain's quote: “russia is a gas station masquerading as a country.”
It is less and less a country, more and more a failed state—and it isn't even a gas station anymore.

[franceinfo @franceinfo]

"Il n'y a plus d'essence dans une seule station-service !" : en Russie, le spectre d'une pénurie de carburant https://t.co/nHODogipZl

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

@pausilly @AgulhonJ I'm afraid, however, that this rate will be difficult to reduce—and not just in the U.S., for that matter...

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

"Only one-quarter of Americans believe the U.S. has won the war with Iran, according to a new national poll from @TheEconomist/YouGov, underscoring the public's lingering skepticism over the conflict."
Indeed. They are not that stupid...
Facts matter.
https://t.co/TaXuQ2rzsv

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

@andrelomuscio Oh que oui !

[Nicolas Tenzer @NTenzer]

Even if we assume that this is sincere (which I doubt), Europeans must not fall into the trap and, above all, must remain united (the russians always try to divide us).
That is when we will see which of its leaders possess strategic intelligence and commit to Ukraine’s victory.

[KyivPost @KyivPost]

Russia is ready for dialogue with the European Union, Putin’s aide Yuri Ushakov said.