things I find interesting and broken in prediction markets, crypto, trading and finance
not financial advice. not even good advice. just a guy who lost some money and decided to investigate why
will post: market breakdowns, dispute analysis, on-chain finds, bot experiments, and occasional degen takes
Past few days on Polymarket highest-temp markets, my leading buckets keep flipping 99 → 0 in the final minutes.
Latest: Tokyo, May 27 - sitting at 95.5, flipped to 0 when temp jumped +1°C on the last reading.
Just my luck or is something off with the weather / markets?
@theparuchh awesome story man!
Doing exactly the same for a week but still in the red PNL zone 😃 Anyway I think that the strategy and bot will be more efficient as I continue to tune the strategy, weather sources, order sizes and so on
@appledog_xyz@Polymarket I stopped trading the btc 5 min up-down exactly because of the constant problems with the resolutions, delayed data, strange spikes
it looks too uncontrolled and chaotic