Nick

95% of traders lose money
documenting how and why

[Nick @NumericNick]

things I find interesting and broken in prediction markets, crypto, trading and finance

not financial advice. not even good advice. just a guy who lost some money and decided to investigate why

will post: market breakdowns, dispute analysis, on-chain finds, bot experiments, and occasional degen takes

[Nick @NumericNick]

Crazy things happening right now at @rolandgarros - @janniksin losing the match!

The odds changed instantly - both for the match and for the cup

[Nick @NumericNick]

Past few days on Polymarket highest-temp markets, my leading buckets keep flipping 99 → 0 in the final minutes.

Latest: Tokyo, May 27 - sitting at 95.5, flipped to 0 when temp jumped +1°C on the last reading.

Just my luck or is something off with the weather / markets?

[Nick @NumericNick]

@atteonthephone what the hell

[Nick @NumericNick]

@BeefSlayer_ @Polymarket Just put a limit sell at 99.9 to free up capital

[Nick @NumericNick]

@husky_vs @Polymarket Polymarket in one picture 🙃

[Nick @NumericNick]

@bubblemaps that's crazy

[Nick @NumericNick]

. @Polymarket in one picture

[Nick @NumericNick]

Great Monday: lost all Polymarket positions AND my Twitter analytics decided to disappear too

at least it's consistent

[Nick @NumericNick]

Woke up to see all the weather markets disappeared  from @Polymarket together with all my opened positions and money

what a nice Monday morning

[Nick @NumericNick]

@GnatykA @Polymarket Polymarket team is probably just sleeping and don't even know they have a problem yet 😴 Wake up guys, your markets are gone

[Nick @NumericNick]

Woke up to see all the weather markets disappeared  from @Polymarket together with all my opened positions and money

what a nice Monday morning

[Nick @NumericNick]

@theparuchh awesome story man!

Doing exactly the same for a week but still in the red PNL zone 😃 Anyway I think that the strategy and bot will be more efficient as I continue to tune the strategy, weather sources, order sizes and so on

[Nick @NumericNick]

@perkmaybe trying to predict the future with math and losing money in the process. follow if that sounds fun

[Nick @NumericNick]

@appledog_xyz @Polymarket I stopped trading the btc 5 min up-down exactly because of the constant problems with the resolutions, delayed data, strange spikes

it looks too uncontrolled and chaotic

[Nick @NumericNick]

@appledog_xyz @Polymarket @betmoardotfun everyone laughs at 0.25% yield per trade until they see the equity curve

[Nick @NumericNick]

@o_sam_w8 trying to predict the future with math and losing money in the process. follow if that sounds fun

[Nick @NumericNick]

@00Sindirella trying to predict the future with math and losing money in the process. follow if that sounds fun

[Nick @NumericNick]

@jehniiee trying to predict the future with math and losing money in the process. follow if that sounds fun

[Nick @NumericNick]

@mrtbrgl trying to predict the future with math and losing money in the process. follow if that sounds fun

[Nick @NumericNick]

@perkmaybe trying to predict the future with math and losing money in the process. follow if that sounds fun

[Nick @NumericNick]

@vai1kai trying to predict the future with math and losing money in the process. follow if that sounds fun