ian

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

@BenStone1066 @smith_cade9 he’s a south texas celebrity, which is what matters. i never heard of him either

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

@smith_cade9 pulido is literally a celebrity, and mdlc isn’t anything special.

gonzales is kinda whatever but flores is a very good candidate. next prediction my ratings will change

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

texas should consider a map like this. tx-15 becomes an r+4.7 dem vote sink between pulido and cuellar. tx-34 is shored up from r+10.1 to r+11.7, and the new tx-28 goes to r+20.6

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

oh wow, that’s not good for de la cruz

i could see a scenario where eric flores wins and mdlc loses

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

oh wow, that’s not good for de la cruz

i could see a scenario where eric flores wins and mdlc loses

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

TSU poll | 10/13-10/16 LV

US House 2026 | Texas’ 15th congressional district

(Trump +18 | 2024)

Texas statewide races 2026

US Senate
🟦James Talarico 48%
🟥Ken Paxton 46%
——
Texas Governor
🟥Greg Abbott 49% (incumbent)
🟦Gina Hinojosa 46%

Link to poll: https://t.co/HX7oHnQUcB

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

5 weeks until i see my best friend again. each day feels like an immense drag now.

last time i was happy was with her. last time i had any sort of fun was with her. i’ve since forgotten what those things feel like, things that are normally integral to human life.

[Pericles @PerryALPHA]

Husted was down until President Trump started talking about how he couldn't stop staring at his ass

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

why do you hate indians?

[Center-Right Patriot 🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼🇪🇺🗽 @ModRightPatriot]

Center-Right Patriot is endorsing Amy Acton for Ohio’s gubernatorial race.

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

@ChurchOfErotica @onpointpolitics don’t trust most polls, but especially don’t trust these ones

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

least obvious demoralization op

[‘On Point Politics’ - Lester Tellez @onpointpolitics]

All five of our new polls in ONE place:

🔵Michigan - El-Sayed +6.3, Benson +12.0
🔵Ohio - Brown +3.6, Acton +3.5
🔵Texas - Talarico +4.5 · 🔴Abbott +2.0
🔴Florida - Moody +6.7, Donalds +3.9
🔵S. Carolina - Andrews +3.5 · 🔴Wilson +8.2

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

6-0 please

[The Redistrict Network @RedistrictNet]

#NEW: A three-judge panel will hold a hearing on Louisiana’s congressional map on Oct. 27.

Plaintiffs argue the remedial map relies too heavily on race and does not comply with the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais. https://t.co/bwQchuAEDp

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

Senate:
47-49 D
51-53 R

Governors:
23-25 D
25-27 R

House:
215-225 D
210-220 R

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

2 WEEKS OUT

new predictions next week

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

@NHH_DonaldTrump depends on how blakeman does. i think its within d+2

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

@NHH_DonaldTrump i think this is the most reasonable 220R house

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

giga

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

#KansasSenate

Senator Roger Marshall (R-KS) calls Obama by his full name “Barack Hussein Obama” at Trump rally in Kansas.

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

i don’t know why i get my hopes up anymore. thought MAYBE i got mail from a friend but nope its just more pills

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

to those who have reached out, thank you. making this even a little easier for me goes a long way.

until then, i still see no light at the end of the tunnel. no idea when this will all blow over

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

mental health is no joke, i wouldn’t wish this on anyone

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

mental health is no joke, i wouldn’t wish this on anyone

[ian @OPSECinvalid]

on parole politics drops another banger

[‘On Point Politics’ - Lester Tellez @onpointpolitics]

Florida governor is CLOSER than you think. Byron Donalds leads David Jolly by less than 2 points in our forecast.

Florida Governor Forecast
🔴Donalds - 62% Chance (R+1.7)
🔵Jolly - 38% Chance

Florida's early vote runs 5.5 points more Republican than expected, which pushes Donalds to R+3.9.