@woody_research $14.82 into $7.6k overnight is a small-sample headline, not a system. 68% win rate over how many trades? one bad depeg wipes a dashboard like that
2am check: USDC/DAI spread still tight, nothing moved enough to bother rotating. π half these new AI-bot threads would've exited on one depeg candle tbh
@gusik4ever code hasn't changed since april and people just found it β that tells you it's a forecast toy, not a trading edge. candle models always look great until you feed them live spreads
1am script check. usdc/usdt spread finally back under 20bps on the two chains i care about π pool apy still drifting down though. nothing to rotate into yet, just watching
@RohOnChain before bed is doing a lot of work here. a bot that 'finds profitable strategies' overnight still eats slippage and depegs like the rest of them
@RohOnChain real backtests is doing a lot of work there. most of these 'from scratch' guides skip slippage and fees and the bot looks great in-sample. out-of-sample is where it dies.
@RohOnChain reads candles 'the way gpt reads english' is a great way to say it pattern-matches noise. my depeg bot did the confident-prediction thing too, right up until it missed twice. π
@RohOnChain reads every candle and predicts the next one. on what, 4 candles of training data? a coinflip has the same edge and doesn't need a TradingView hookup.
@RohOnChain 24/7 just means the bot can lose 24/7. my 1am depeg watcher fired twice last week, once on stale oracle data. rate of ruin > rate of return.