Prediction markets and crypto options do ~$1.3T a year.
Outsize is going to capture it all.
Because now you can make a prediction with the same risk, but get paid more.
Live in beta on @DeriveXYZ 🧵
The Neck's $72,000 BTC target: the put version goes harder.
Dec 25, 2026? Here’s what $1,000 can get you.
1× short BTC: $116 profit.
Outsize prediction market options: $819 profit.
I think we are likely putting in some kind of big inverse head and shoulders, just like the last bottom fwiw.
Question is where does that higher low form.
I think around here, $80k is the first spot to pay attention too.
Lose weekly demand, fail the breakout and we are likely looking into the low $70ks.
Equities losing momentum could play a factor into where that low occurs.
Either way I'm still overall bullish BTC and want to be a net buyer over the coming months.
You might be onto something. The options version goes harder.
BTC at $90,000 on Oct 30, 2026? Here’s what $1,000 can get you.
Spot BTC: $107 profit.
Outsize options: $2,301 profit.
https://t.co/4o8ZuRGT0P
$BTC 1D
My outlook remains sideways/bullish.
We are now forming bull divs on RSI/MACD + bull price action (volume down + price down).
I'm confident in seeing higher in the coming weeks - but expect some sideways movement going into midterms.
$100 on this BTC move. Two very different paydays.
BTC at $380,000 on Mar 26, 2027? Here’s what $100 can get you.
Spot BTC: $366 profit.
Outsize options: $78,856 profit.
https://t.co/GYKWdtmD6A
Bitcoin is going to hit $380k - $450k.
Any time between Feb/March - September 2028.
That is my HTF analysis and prediction on this next full cycle high.
I initially crafted this thesis in July, when Bitcoin was at $60k.
And now that we are 4 months ahead, I have only grown stronger in my conviction of it.
It is my view that we are going to follow a very similar pathway that we did from the 2020 bottom, to the 2021 peak.
When overlayed on the logarithmic chart, it also lines up as we would expect.
This is not a pie in the sky prediction.
I created a 15 minute read within my newsletter, showing all the data and my reasoning for this to happen.
If you want to read that, I'll link it below again.
Nothing is of course guaranteed, but this is what all the data I have available, tells me.
@Sykodelic_ $100 on this BTC move. Two very different paydays.
BTC at $380,000 on Mar 26, 2027? Here’s what $100 can get you.
Spot BTC: $366 profit.
Outsize prediction: $78,856 profit.
Find it on Outsize.
Tom Lee might be onto something. The options version goes harder.
ETH at $7,500? Here’s what $1,000 could make with three ways to play it.
Spot ETH: $1,950 profit.
Prediction markets: $11,342 profit.
Outsize options: $17,750 profit.
Via @TomLeeTracker.
https://t.co/3Oy8u4CW2r
BITCOIN $BTC IS BACK ABOVE $84,000, AND TOM LEE THINKS ETHEREUM ethereum:native COULD BE NEXT
Tom Lee sees Ethereum’s five-year consolidation setting up a much larger breakout:
- He expects ETH above $5,000 this year and sees roughly $7,500 if Bitcoin clears $100,000
- A $25,000 to $50,000 move is possible during this bull cycle
- Traders still price just a 4% chance of Ethereum reaching $5,000 before the end of 2026
@TomLeeTracker Tom Lee might be onto something. The options version goes harder.
ETH at $7,500? Here’s what $1,000k can get you.
Spot ETH: $1,950 profit.
Prediction markets: $11,342 profit.
Outsize options: $17,750 profit.
Find it on Outsize.
last days for @colosseum with @SuperteamAU, but we're still building.
New light mode on https://t.co/w2c4Y2Ku8M, with refined 'curvier' design. Same based idea under the hood.
08 | @OUTSIZE_TRADE 📈
Prediction market options with defined risk and returns that grow with the size of the move. Live in beta.
https://t.co/Wqb3Yqx3pw
MEET TEAM AUSTRALIA 🇦🇺
Here are 14 of our Aussie teams we know are submitting to @colosseum or @solanamobile.
One thread, every one of them.
Give them a follow and back them all the way 🧵👇