In 2022, we booked +92 Units!
97% was from NBA 🤑
In 2023, we've booked +103 Units, but....
0% is from NBA 👀
Here's why we think our NBA edge will continue...
VOLUME
In the NBA, there's 2-10 games a day, which means a lot of opportunity for us to find inefficient lines.
UNLIKE NFL
In the NFL, lines come out several days in advance for price discovery. In NBA, books don't have that luxury.
PROJECTIONS
NBA is the most projectable sport, unlike NFL and MLB that have much greater variance.
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If you'd like to join us this season,
Use promo code NBAPROPS to make your first month only $98.
$10 Bonus - Drop us an NBA gif below, and we'll DM you a code to make your first month just $88!
Find a link in our profile.
Grow Your Bankroll!
Last NBA season, we booked +82 Units with a 10% ROI for the OWS Props Fam!
Every day, our team hunts lines and provides our thesis behind those picks.
This means that not only are you getting our best bets to trail, but you are learning along the way, so you are building your own edge, too.
While we won't win every day, we will continually find edges that will help our community be profitable throughout the season and provide valuable knowledge along the way.
Will you come along for the ride with us this season?
https://t.co/iaYg4HxQ4V
NBA Props is a Printing Machine!
But if you're tailing the wrong accounts, you're going to underperform your potential.
Here's why 🧵
With NBA season starting in a few days, we've seen some bettors recommending bets on the prop lines that are up now.
If you're doing this, we highly recommend against it.
First, liquidity on NBA lines so many days out is really low.
If a book is normally willing to take $500 on a bet an hour before the game tips, they might take $50 now.
If your unit size is larger than that, you're basically throwing away a potential full-unit bet in order to get a small amount down now.
Secondly, and MUCH more important.
Our job as bettors is to make books think we're lucky.
If they realize we're actually good at this, they'll limit us and clamp down on the amount of money we can place on a bet.
That's VERY bad.
We want to keep our accounts healthy and non-limited for as long as possible.
Betting volume on NBA lines several days out is really low, which means it's super easy for a book to see who's placing bets.
If you're tailing someone, that means they'll see a big wave of bets on the same prop coming in at the same time.
They've now identified you as a syndicate bettor and you're making it easy on them to figure out you're a winning bettor, and bam, here come the limits.
Some cappers love hitting opening lines because there are clear spots where the lines are just bad.
But, doing this is hurting their customers.
They're taking bets that you may not be able to get a full unit on and will definitely hurt your account health just to artificially inflate their track records.
Remember...
The guy your tailing's record is irrelevant.
What matters is YOUR record.
Be careful who you tail and best of luck crushing this NBA season!
WEEK 3 PROP BETS
In Week 2, we had a 43% ROI and generated a $973 Profit!
This week, we've captured some crazy Closing Line Value for the community!
- Akins u2.5 Receptions +110 ---> -170
- Cooks u3.5 Receptions -106 ---> -130
- Meyers u3.5 Receptions -135 ---> -170
- Levis u19.5 Completions ---> u18.5
- Lawrence u21.5 Completions ---> u20.5
- Jones u18.5 Completions +100 ---> -140
- Williams u45.5 Rush Yards ---> u41.5
- Kmet u23.5 Receiving Yards ---> u20.5
Here's the thesis behind a few of these bets...
@oneweekseason We love the honesty @Sonic_nhpain
"I’m a total tape grinder (lie) and the tape told me that Mitchell could have easily had Alec Pierce’s day had the ball bounced his way"
What is the 1 thing successful Prop bettors have in common?
They know their TRUE Bankroll.
When you create your true bankroll, it helps you solve two problems that are correlated.
1. Your unit
2. Your emotions
YOUR UNIT
When you know your true bankroll, you can work backwards to find your unit size.
From there, you can find your unit size by using 1-3% of your bankroll.
$1k Bankroll = $10 - $30
$5k Bankroll = $50 - $150
$10k Bankroll = $100 - $300
Once you have this, you now know your unit.
Sticking to this solves problem #2.
YOUR EMOTIONS
You're going to win, and you're going to lose.
Going yolo with your bankroll is a fast way to go busto.
When you have a true bankroll, it allows you to play the long game.
When you play the long game, you can ride the fluctuations without emotion.
If you're successful, you're putting yourself into position to create a profitable side hustle.
Over the last year, our team has helped our community book 250 Units!
With NFL season here, we have opened up week passes to see if it's a fit for you.
NFL Props are Live!
Last year our team helped the community take home $25,437 in profit!
Come win with us with a week, month, or year pass.
Here’s one of the bets from today
MLB Props (4/26)⚾️
5 Pitcher Props
⬇️Joe Musgrove (SD) UNDER 6.5 Strikeouts
⬆️Ross Stripling (OAK) OVER 3.5 Strikeouts
⬇️Seth Lugo (KC) UNDER 17.5 Outs Recorded
⬆️Jose Butto (NYM) OVER 15.5 Outs Recorded
⬇️Emerson Hancock (SEA) UNDER 16.5 Outs Recorded
16 Hitter Props
Jo Adell RBI
David Fry RBI
Nate Lowe RBI
Evan Carter RBI
Luis Garcia RBI
Pete Alonso RBI
Fernando Tatis RBI
Ha-Seong Kim RBI
Ryan O'Hearn RBI
Colton Cowser RBI
Cedric Mullins RBI
Lars Nootbaar RBI
Manuel Margot RBI
Vlad Guerrero HR
Daulton Varsho RBI
Christian Walker RBI
3 ERFIEs
CIN/TEX- YES
BAL/OAK- NO
PHI/SDP- NO
MLB Props (4/25) ⚾️
Pitchers
⬇️Triston McKenzie (CLE) UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts
⬆️Freddy Peralta (MIL) OVER 17.5 Outs Recorded
ERFIEs
MIL/PIT- No
CIN/PHI- No
TOR/KC- No
NBA Props (4/9)🏀
2 Overs and 2 Unders on the NBA card tonight
OVERS
Anthony Edwards (MIN) 26.5 Points
Maozinha Pereira (MEM) 7.5 Rebounds
UNDERS
Collin Sexton (UTA) 24.5 PR
De'Aaron Fox (SAC) 28.5 Points
All bets presented by the @OWSProps Team
#NBAProps#NBAPicks#Props
NBA Props (4/5)🏀
5 Unders on the NBA card tonight
UNDERS
⬇️Lu Dort (OKC) 21.5 PRA
⬇️Collin Sexton (UTA) 28.5 PR
⬇️Jaden Ivey (DET) 19.5 Points
⬇️Scotty Pippen (MEM) 20.5 PRA
⬇️Khris Middleton (MIL) 7.5 Rebounds
All bets presented by the @OWSProps Team
#NBAProps#NBAPicks #Props
NBA Props (4/4)🏀
2 Unders on the NBA card tonight
UNDERS
⬇️Jabari Smith (HOU) 15.5 Points
⬇️Norman Powell (LAC) 17.5 Points
All bets presented by the @OWSProps Team
#NBAProps#NBAPicks#Props
NBA Props (4/3)🏀
1 Over on the NBA card tonight
OVERS
⬆️Darius Garland (CLE) 14.5 Points
All bets presented by the @OWSProps Team
#NBAPicks#NBAProps#Props
NBA Props (4/2)🏀
3 Overs and 3 Unders on the NBA card tonight
OVERS
Walker Kessler (UTA) 9.5 RA
Khris Middleton (MIL) 17.5 Points
Chet Holmgren (OKC) 17.5 Points
UNDERS
Collin Sexton (UTA) 26.5 PR
Paul George (LAC) 26.5 Points
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) 16.5 PR
All bets presented by the @OWSProps Team
#NBAProps #NBAPicks #Picks
NBA Props (4/1)🏀
2 Overs and 1 Under on the NBA card tonight
OVERS
⬆️Dalano Banton (POR) 7.5 RA
⬆️Wendell Carter Jr (ORL) 16.5 PR
UNDERS
⬇️Jonas Valanciunas (NOP) 10.5 Points
All bets presented by the @OWSProps Team
#NBAProps#NBAPicks#Picks
NBA Props (3/29)🏀
1 Over and 3 Unders on the NBA card tonight
OVERS
⬆️Keyonte George (UTA) 15.5 Points
UNDERS
⬇️Lu Dort (OKC) 12.5 Points
⬇️Rui Hachimura (LAL) 14.5 Points
⬇️Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 23.5 Points
All bets presented by the @OWSProps Team
#NBAProps#NBAPicks #Props
NBA Props (3/27) 🏀
1 Over and 6 Unders on the NBA card tonight
OVERS
⬆️Anthony Edwards (MIN) 27.5 Points
UNDERS
⬇️Ivica Zubac (LAC) 11.5 RA
⬇️Klay Thompson (GS) 22.5 PRA
⬇️Brandon Miller (CHA) 27.5 PRA
⬇️Isaiah Hartenstein (NYK) 19.5 PR
⬇️Jalen Williams (OKC) 24.5 Points
⬇️Lauri Markkanen (UTA) 24.5 Points
All bets presented by the @OWSProps Team
#NBAProps #NBAPicks #Props