Active everyday in my $ROSE Trader tg channel with price action and on-chain β tg is my home. Using X for key on-chain updates and finding/sharing fundamental alpha π€ if I am quiet on X find me in tg
https://t.co/U9D4YolT78
Looking at this another way, measuring $ROSE price extension from the 99D SMA we are currently in the bottom 15% of distributed values. If you discount those bear market sell-off periods, we move down to the bottom 4% of distributed values. Price rarely trades at this extension for very long
This is where $ROSE is trading on my ribbons. Outside the initial bear market sell offs (marked on chart), we rarely tend to trade long below the lower offset. We are currently trading at those lows
After seeing $ROSE inv' hammer candle like this on the quarterly, we can start to set some rough numbers for the coming months. Upside, I would typically expect us to trade back into the upper-half of that candle range, soon enough. Looking at the current PA we've got a break of the candle lows, signs of some re-accumulation starting here, so I want to start setting back up for a move back into that upper-half, eventually.
Rough numbers, highs and lows approximated by oscillator: lows around ~0.008-0.007 would be very good value (we don't have to see this level but I know it is good value if we do). I do expect an eventual revisit of the range highs around 0.015-0.02 (discounting those upper limits because my oscillator will continue to track down). Cold comfort for long term holders, good prospects for traders ποΈοΈ
@btccat_ Could be brother, until the market broadens it is worth following the tickers that are taking all the oxygen though. Hopefully market starts to broaden soon
$ZEC likely to see a continued recovery along with $BTC near-term, before an eventual retest of this range mid line with the next correction (at ~303). Will look at adding again if we drop back to this zone. If we lose the 303 zone price likely drops to projected lows around the 140
Someone just bought the dip, 22Million $ROSE taken off Binance in that plunge. Not bad, first significant activity I have seen of this type from a private wallet in a while: oasis1qzpgalfy8ssk2gwda0tqz0h6d95cmrwx3ylftgxg
@limburgsewijn Any real skill I have is as a day trader, I wouldnβt listen to my opinion on much else (I am willing to buy and hold longer term but it's with a fingers crossed approach)
$ROSE has dipped into the 0.007s for the first time, have had cash on the side waiting in case we saw these 0.007-0.008 levels. $BTC likely to still see sub 62k. But happy to start allocating again in this zone for longer term hold. Still no heat on the trade side of things... Will update when I start to see a shift
After seeing $ROSE inv' hammer candle like this on the quarterly, we can start to set some rough numbers for the coming months. Upside, I would typically expect us to trade back into the upper-half of that candle range, soon enough. Looking at the current PA we've got a break of the candle lows, signs of some re-accumulation starting here, so I want to start setting back up for a move back into that upper-half, eventually.
Rough numbers, highs and lows approximated by oscillator: lows around ~0.008-0.007 would be very good value (we don't have to see this level but I know it is good value if we do). I do expect an eventual revisit of the range highs around 0.015-0.02 (discounting those upper limits because my oscillator will continue to track down). Cold comfort for long term holders, good prospects for traders ποΈοΈ
@GreekRebel04@Simzzyjr That will all depend on this chart, still yet to make a lower-low against BTC. If we can carve a higher-low, price will move quickly back up into that 1-1.5 extension zone, that we moved so quickly through on the way down. I would hope that is more a 2026-2027 thing
It is refreshing to sit back and just watch sometimes. I know my system isnβt in its prime rn. Market markers have pulled back, so I pull back. Iβm watching the generally headless behaviour of some of the better analysts on X and understanding this is the right call. Market is more erratic on a short-term basis. I remain allocated on longer term calls. Short-term, trading cash moved to interest bearing accounts until things heat up again βοΈ
For me, anything in the 0.07s, 0.08s range is good value based on the last quarterly close. We likely still have another month or so of shitty price action before anything starts to happen (geopolitical stuff etc) but happy to allocate on dips to those levels and hold on my longer term positions. Targeting 0.015-0.02 zone
This is my 'Crypto Others' allocation, it is just $ROSE and $ZEC now + some cash in waiting. I remain invested and waiting with $ROSE, current average buy of ~0.01216. Happy if I can maintain my average in the bottom ~30% (assuming we don't go much lower than the 0.007-0.008 range). As for my more regular trades, my trading system is largely quiet rn (outside $ZEC). There will be a time when it heats back up. This will come with the return of Market Maker liquidity. I'll lean back into things soon as it happens. Until then, take it easy. Spend time with family π«ΆοΈ
Feel the need to periodically re-post my target holdings. This could do with some updating (I rolled a majority of my Silver into Gold with silver at ~100USD). But if you're trading alts, you should be offsetting risk with the balance of your pf.. Be Bar-bell
A few notes on the current Alt market price action:
1) Market maker liquidity has been significantly reduced during geopolitical headline whipsaw.
2) Lower liquidity then leads to exchange house keeping, and the recent uptick in delisting announcements since Feb.
3) When other market makers have pulled liquidity this leaves Binance to drive price action relatively cheaply. Stay away from leverage. Take it slow with $ROSE, stick to spot and eventually price will run to my upside targets, also because Binance
β¦10,001) fundamentals
Waking up in AUS. $ZEC now at my range highs π I look forward to the day liquidity returns to the market so other tickers can move this way. Up ~260% from my $195 entry, and traded near perfectly step-by-step within my strategy parameters
Feel the need to periodically re-post my target holdings. This could do with some updating (I rolled a majority of my Silver into Gold with silver at ~100USD). But if you're trading alts, you should be offsetting risk with the balance of your pf.. Be Bar-bell
@kukievilll This is how I stay calm. Target long-term allocations. Have been v. underweight crypto for 2025 but $ROSE is now 75% of my 'Crypto Others', so ~7.5% of my overall π
$ZEC behaving well, range highs marked at 640-700 zone. ~20% pullback so far since hitting the 640 π ~230% move from initial entry at $195. watching for support here at ~512 with the Yearly open
^^Shared from $ROSE Trader tg
@petsina For what it is worth, I do post periodic updates on what I see to be longer term significant market shifts for $ROSE and have been buying these lows https://t.co/BGWziSoWq6
Beyond Dec 2024 I called any buy-and-hold of $ROSE increasingly risky. Feb 2025 I posted the below as an explainer. Dec 2025 I think most of the damage is done. Most of this selling will have been front loaded (why would you wait to be last out the door). Many unhappy about $ROSE price, I get it. Can price go lower? yes
I am happy to buy-and-hold now in late 2025, contra what I called late in 2024
Reposting this as this is still my primary view, and we still remain within the range noted. I've been in set-and-forget mode with $ROSE orders lately. If I see something more actionable, I'll share it
After seeing $ROSE inv' hammer candle like this on the quarterly, we can start to set some rough numbers for the coming months. Upside, I would typically expect us to trade back into the upper-half of that candle range, soon enough. Looking at the current PA we've got a break of the candle lows, signs of some re-accumulation starting here, so I want to start setting back up for a move back into that upper-half, eventually.
Rough numbers, highs and lows approximated by oscillator: lows around ~0.008-0.007 would be very good value (we don't have to see this level but I know it is good value if we do). I do expect an eventual revisit of the range highs around 0.015-0.02 (discounting those upper limits because my oscillator will continue to track down). Cold comfort for long term holders, good prospects for traders ποΈοΈ