@DanielleFong What if each trait is a whole character? So like instead of having a target number to succeed at some task, the task is represented by some metaphorical monster that your trait has to fight.
@coalbones I like how you removed the meaningless alignment of cells into visual columns, i.e. you removed visual structure that was not related to any structure in the task.
@DavidSKrueger In that case, I would expect that most passages are either 100% human-written or 100% AI-written, with a smaller fraction being assembled from both human and AI input.
@DavidSKrueger This seems fine to me.
Like, if the question is "if I point to a random token within this passage, what's the probability that it came from AI" then 100% is nonsense anyway.
So I assume the question is "what is your median estimate for the fraction of this text that's from AI?"
@GarrettPetersen@tomabella That's bogus. Suppose I want to sell fanfic of your story.
I'll get my friend to write a fanfic first and sell me a copy for $1. You get 30 cents.
Then I write a fanfic of my friend's fanfic. I sell it for $1 million. You only get $90k and my friend and I split the other $210k.
@almostlikethat@sedatesnail I think there is a spectrum of hope to despair that people experience, which is influenced by beliefs about the future and not just what is happening to them in the moment.
@almostlikethat@sedatesnail I wouldn't exclude the possibility that they're acting rationally but simply don't know exactly what will happen in the future. Like, we can't compare an expected value to a single sampled value, observe that the sampled value is less, and conclude that the expectation was wrong.
@almostlikethat I.e. they claim to be imagining epsilon value, but they're actually imagining negative value, so of course when they multiply that by a large number of lives they find it repugnant.
@almostlikethat I.e. when people imagine a life "barely worth living" they might actually be visualizing a life that sucks but that is worth hanging on to given reasonable uncertainty about things being better in the future.
I would guess that pretraining is still accounts for most of the total optimization on modern AI agents, even if it's only ~7% of total compute. But would probably be a different story at ~1% of total compute.
is there something i’m not getting about this? why would anyone want to go to a strangers wedding at all never mind pay to go? why would a wedding party want paying strangers there?? it’s a wedding not the oscars??
@VesselOfSpirit Hmm, you've only established that 4 is outside the 90% confidence interval here. Can we try some other analyses to make sure we get a significant result?