OUT NOW - Dan Krausz of Blue Door Asset Management on:
- global stimulus coming in 2026
- why the Fed won't pop AI (it will save housing)
- shortcomings of macro: not focusing on stocks
Apple🔊https://t.co/YXxNENQ3SS
Spotify📽️https://t.co/6149nIGQTv
In 2021, Mitchell Green from @LeadEdgeCapital said to me - this year will be remembered for the GPs that sold stock and distributed capital to LPs vs the ones that raised funds, called capital and made new investments. Was a wonderful observation i will never forget. Now feels similar in some ways.
Remember December last year? People were “buying the dip” on tech stocks because some had fallen from 80x sales to 40x sales by then. The selloff had “gone far enough”. They told us $AMZN $META and $NFLX would never get that cheap again. Inflation was transitory.
🥹
"Xi told officials that ensuring the economy is stable and growing is important because it is critical to show China’s one-party system is a superior alternative to Western liberal democracy, and that the US is declining both politically and economically"
https://t.co/VW8RYzlktT
The blind rotations (at this extreme) remind me greatly of what we saw in 2001 and 2008.
Recall oil went to $140BBL in the Summer of 08, right into the biggest eco collapse in a generation.
I am seeing a whiff of that right now in many spaces.
I will not cover my $NFLX
Tender rejections dropped from 13.9% to 13.38% overnight - one of the largest drops of the year. Trucking companies are becoming less selective in freight. 1/2