Octavian

Yes....

[Dnipro Osint @GarbuzYe]

There Will Be More Shaheds. Satellite imagery of the expansion of the Tsymbulovo drone port in Oryol Oblast

🛑 Russia is continuing the construction of at least 15 storage buildings intended for either Shahed drones or their warheads. The warehouses are relatively large, with the construction site covering more than 390,000 m².

Coordinates: 53.363705° 35.840000°

🛑 New garages for the launch platforms used to deploy UAVs have also been built.

Coordinates: 53.375452° 35.825508°

🛑 Infrastructure across the entire drone port continues to expand. The latest satellite imagery also reveals three new sites prepared for permanent launch positions.

The title is not clickbait—there really will be more Shaheds. Russia is expanding not only its production capacity but also its ability to launch larger numbers of drones simultaneously. The more launch positions it has, the more UAVs it can deploy in a single attack. The more garages and storage facilities it builds, the larger the stockpile it can accumulate and use at once. This directly increases the potential scale of future strikes.

Russia is also trying to make strikes against these drone ports as economically inefficient as possible. Instead of concentrating assets in a few large facilities, it is dispersing them across dozens or even hundreds of small warehouses and garages, reducing the effectiveness of individual strikes.

[Roy🇨🇦 @GrandpaRoy2]

A detailed look at the submunition cassette of a Russian Kh-69 (X-69) air-launched cruise missile.
When an expelling charge is initiated by the fuzes, lock bolts are forced out, and a retaining lock-ball is released to free the submunitions.
1/

[TWZ @thewarzonewire]

Here Is How Russia’s Skyfall Nuclear-Powered Cruise Missile Actually Works

Researchers conclude the nuclear-powered cruise missile almost certainly uses a direct-cycle engine that spews radioactive material throughout its flight.
https://t.co/BLB1153H3f

[AS-22 @AS_22im]

専門家じゃない人が書いちゃいけないような分析まで書いちゃってるから、参考程度に見てほしいです。
本文は12,000字程度です。

ロシア防空システムの大規模再配置　　―衛星画像から見るS-300/400の移動とドクトリンの変容― https://t.co/BtzKeRPNgF

[Fabian Hinz @fab_hinz]

New OSINT deep dive:

The Missile That Came In from the Cold. Debris, Desk Models and the Soviet Lineage of Oreshnik.

Link below.

[Octavian @OctavianTheOne]

https://t.co/trLuSRkELJ

[Naval News @navalnewscom]

On paper, the Russian Navy remains the dominant force in the Black Sea. But after ceding control to Ukraine’s uncrewed surface drones, it now faces a mounting crisis: its key base at Novorossiysk is increasingly untenable, unless Moscow is willing to absorb further warship losses 🇺🇦💥🇷🇺
https://t.co/NSgS304B5g

[Vitaly @M0nstas]

The drone war has a doctrine now. Nobody announced it.

It didn't come from a think tank or a defense ministry whitepaper. It came from years of burning through hardware, burying operators, and figuring out under fire what actually works. The Ukrainian front has become the fastest-moving laboratory in the history of modern warfare — and what's being tested isn't just technology. It's an entirely new way of organizing a battlefield.

[Octavian @OctavianTheOne]

https://t.co/gPFWZqvz1B

[Visegrád 24 @visegrad24]

The SIGNUM battalion is one of Ukraine’s best FPV drone units & and carried out the world’s first FPV drone strike in June 2022, starting a Revolution in Military Affairs.

They just released a video showing 59 Russian soldiers getting eliminated by their FPV drones in the Lyman area over the past weeks.

Ukraine’s massive use of FPV drones and the skills of its have slowed the advance of the Russian Army to nearly a standstill.

The cost in eliminated soldiers for every kilometer taken is so high that Putin was is on the verge of being forced to announce forced mobilization.

FPV drones are now being used on battlefields from Colombia to Sudan, Iraq and Myanmar. It all started with the SIGNUM battalion just 4 years ago.

The future of warfare is drone warfare

[The Defence Blog @Defence_blog]

Russia begins using new type of long-range cruise missile

https://t.co/lvSqm9IGvU

[Clément Molin @clement_molin]

For the first time in months, we had clear satellite images of Ukraine 🇺🇦 without snow or clouds

Ukraine is digging massive ring defenses in front of Kharkiv and 8 other cities, while russian airstrikes and artillery strikes continue to be monitored.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️

[Iván Ramírez de Arellano, The Jomini of the West @JominiW]

3/ Ukrainian TVD, D+1466: In February, military action throughout the Ukrainian TVD was defined by intense asymmetric attrition, severe technological friction, and a distinct bifurcation of battlefield momentum. Although the ZSU was able to capitalize and exploit severe Russian C2 paralysis and launch a highly successful operational-tactical counteroffensive in the Southern Strategic Direction, Russian forces still maintain the overall strategic initiative. #Ukraine #Hulyaipole #UkraineWar #Russia

[WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧 @WarMonitor3]

https://t.co/vedMhg2LhI

[The Defence Blog @Defence_blog]

Russia arms Shahed drones with R-60 missiles

https://t.co/KCwXDOz29c

[MilitaryLand.net @Militarylandnet]

Meet the Ukrainian 15th Army Corps — composition, commander, and more. Read the full article on our site! ↓↓ #UkrainianArmy
https://t.co/HliF3LuDl1

[Ukraine Battle Map @ukraine_map]

Ukraine’s 🇺🇦 Long Range Missiles and Missile-Drones (Thread)

Long Neptune Cruise Missile

Max Range: 1,000km
Speed: 0.72 Mach
Accuracy (CEP): 5 to 15 meters
Cost: $1.5 million
Warhead Size: ~150kg
Production: 3 to 8 per month

[Trent Telenko @TrentTelenko]

More information has come out on the FP-5 Flamingo which gives insights io both the systems and production engineering involved for low cost production.

I'm going to use the WW2 F6F Hellcat & M4 Sherman as examples of Ukrainian FP-5 design choices.

Engineering🧵
1/

[Clément Molin @clement_molin]

This is why giving away Donbass cannot be an option for Ukraine 🇺🇦

Donald Trump 🇺🇸 will ask Zelensky to give away Donbass in exchange for a ceasefire with Russia 🇷🇺.

It would mean giving 9 cities and the main fortifications to Russia without a fight.

🧵THREAD🧵1/18⬇️

[Tatarigami_UA @Tatarigami_UA]

Missing Targeting Pods, Inflated Bills: An Exclusive Investigation into the Su-57 Procurement Problems by Frontelligence Insight. 🧵Thread:

1/ Newly obtained classified documents, show that Russia purchased its 5-generation Su-57 fighters for more than 3 billion rubles each;