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Markets are Abstract.
The World is Physical.
Oculus Research examines where macro & market narratives collide with material constraints.
Where markets misprice supply–demand, execution, & timing.
Macro ⇒Material ⇒ Systems ⇒ Company
It is important to take the advice of “PermaBulls” with a grain of salt. Richards, Schiff, & Kiyosaki made the exact same statements in 2011, as we were entering a decade long correction in metals.
Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
Jim Rickards shares his latest prediction on the precious metals market, outlining why he believes gold and silver could still have significant upside ahead.
He is calling for gold to hit $10,000 and silver $200 by the end of 2026.
The Straight of Hormuz doesn’t need to be closed to remain a constraint
Even after a “reopening”:
Shipping will lag
Insurance will restrict flows
Risk premiums will persist
Closure is an Event.
Normalisation is a Process.
Full break down 👇
https://t.co/moZ78lzZKt
@capexbt@parker66592100 Data Center demand is only 2% of global copper demand - projected to be 3% by 2030. Completely irrelevant. What is relevant: China (consumes 60% of global copper supply) pivoting to a net exporter at these prices. You are too early. Copper’s time has not arrived… yet.
@ChuckECheese_1@xMarketNews The blade cuts both ways. Derivatives, options are used to express long positions that are magnitudes greater than the share count the margin would cover.
Recent developments in Bitcoin and Precious metals have pulled the curtain back on how the market actually works. In the shadows, opaque, with large players exerting their dominance at the expense of retail participants.
We have been huge silver bulls since 2009, but be very careful here: lots of financial engineering going on.
Jane Street not only added a record 20.6MM shares of SLV in Q4, it is now also the biggest holder of SLV
@CyclesWithBach@parker66592100 The thesis for rare-earth and company specific theses are two different things. Many of the companies that benefited from the acknowledgment of the domestic deficit in rare earths are poorly managed with less than desirable fundamentals when you pop the hood and look at their #s
@DeItaone@DariuszPra The only thing propping up the illusion of a strong economy is the stock market - fuelled by AI euphoria. The irony - AI blade cuts both ways - the reason for the rise , and will be the cause of it’s fall.
@MiningVisuals@J_Wise_geology Interestingly enough silver demand in solar applications is down 4% despite record installations due to copper substitution and thrifting
GLD holdings shows Citadel, Jane Street, Virtu positing for uncertainty - hedging against inflation & stock-market implosion. Gold is not just an asset, it is a MACRO BAROMETER
The recent rally in precious metals does have implications for the broader market.
In 2007, Gold appreciated by 50%, warning the market… few listened.
When the market acknowledged reality, it was too late. The crash took many by surprise… even holders of precious metals..
#Titanium is mispriced by the market - its relevance ignored by the AI narrative.
It’s the critical component of physical AI manifestation- Humanoids, Cobots
Full Titanium Thematic Memo 👇