Odds Bender

Keep it +EV

[Odds Bender @Odds_Bender]

@willo2_Poly “Before May 31st” - we don’t know if it was sold ON May 31st or the days prior. If it was sold on the 31st it’s technically a loss

[Santiago Capital @SantiagoAuFund]

Take a look at how Bessent responded to a sitting U.S. Senator today and then ask yourself if you would want be his opponent in the Eurodollar funding markets…

[Alex Kane @a_kane47]

I have a lot of respect for @DeanSisun and co and what they’ve built. I’m looking forward to becoming a customer on their federally regulated venue.

[Sama Hoole @SamaHoole]

Testosterone is made from cholesterol.

Oestrogen is made from cholesterol.

Cortisol is made from cholesterol.

Vitamin D is made from cholesterol.

Bile acids that digest fat are made from cholesterol.

Progesterone, which sustains pregnancy, is made from cholesterol.

Every cell membrane in your body contains cholesterol.

Every nerve is insulated by myelin, which is largely cholesterol.

Every memory you form requires cholesterol to build the synapse that holds it.

Your brain is 60% fat, mostly cholesterol.

Breast milk is rich in cholesterol because infant brains cannot develop without it.

Nature, given the job of designing the perfect first food, put cholesterol in it.

When you eat less of it, the liver makes more.

Because the body knows it cannot function without it.

We declared war on cholesterol in 1977.

Testosterone in men has dropped 25%.

Vitamin D deficiency is now endemic.

One in three adults over fifty is on a statin lowering the cholesterol the body is desperately trying to maintain.

Depression rates have tripled.

Infertility rates have doubled.

The war is going well.

[Odds Bender @Odds_Bender]

@PlusEVAnalytics Prediction markets need to offer two way combos/SGP’s to get efficient pricing info. The one way market ruins this

[Dustin Gouker @DustinGouker]

New: UFC President Dana White has sent a letter to President Donald Trump asking him to help reverse the 90 percent limit on gambling loss deductions for US taxpayers that became law last year.

The issue has been a concern for both bettors and the gambling industry itself.

[Odds Bender @Odds_Bender]

@manulbets2 Cashing out makes sense in 1 way markets where a bookmaker is slow to adjust a line… like a +2000 bet on book A, when consensus has moved from +2000 to +4000. Hedging on a prediction market would be negative EV, but cashing to front run the books move could be positive EV

[U.S. Department of Energy @ENERGY]

False. Just 15% of CA primary energy consumption comes from ‘renewables.’ More than 75% of CA energy consumption is from oil and gas — that’s higher than the national rate.

It is true that CA has embraced anti-hydrocarbon policies. The result?

CA has the highest electricity rates in the continental U.S., the highest gas prices, and the highest adjusted poverty rate in America.

I wouldn’t be bragging if that was my state.

[Odds Bender @Odds_Bender]

@InGameHQ There’s stickiness with existing bettors on their chosen platforms. If California legalizes gambling and puts a 25 cent per wager tax like Illinois; I’d expect better retention on Kalshi

[Fairplaygov @fairplaygov]

Colorado Senate voted to remove language from a now-neutered RG bill that would have disallowed sportsbooks from limiting bettors “because they win.”

Bill co-sponsor @Commish_Pelton said they had weekend talks w/ the industry about bettors “gaming the system” much like “card counters” in casinos. 1/

[Sama Hoole @SamaHoole]

8000 BC: "Plants are what we eat when the hunt fails."

3000 BC: "Grain and vegetables are what we feed the slaves."

500 BC: "Lentils and barley are the diet of the poor."

100 AD: "Bread and circuses for the mob. The legions get meat."

1200s: "Pottage and roots are what the serf gets. The lord eats venison."

1700s: "Vegetables and porridge are what the starving eat."

1800s: "The Irish are surviving on potatoes. The landlords are exporting the beef."

1900s: "Plants and grain are wartime filler. We're rationing the real food."

1950s: "Plants are cheap. Feed them to the poor."

1970s: "Plants should be the BASE of the pyramid. This is science."

1990s: "Plant-based is emerging as extremely healthy, actually."

2010s: "Plant-based is optimal. Meat is the problem."

2020s: "Plant-based is saving the planet!"

2025: "Plant-based is the healthiest diet on earth. The science is settled."

You: noticing that the diet currently being sold as enlightened and optimal is the same one every ruling class in recorded history fed to the people it was trying to keep weak, compliant, and grateful.

[Odds Bender @Odds_Bender]

@itsmarkmoran Let’s tax them 25% so everyone goes back to predatory sprotsbook who charge 5-10% of vig! Brilliant solution, sir!

[Jim Bianco @biancoresearch]

The Mets are now 0-10 since this happened.

[Dr. Clown, PhD @DrClownPhD]

The Lord Of The Force: A New Fellowship

Credit: Art-ficial Studios on YT

[John Ʌ Konrad V @johnkonrad]

Look, I get it, Dems.

You think buying Greenland is dumb.

You think trash-talking NATO is dumb.

You think Hegseth firing generals is dumb.

You think bombing Iran is dumb.

Fine. Maybe you’re right. Maybe you’re wrong. I’ll buy you a beer and we can argue about it.

But that’s not the point.

Every administration in American history has done dumb things.

Jefferson had an embargo that tanked his own economy.

LBJ had Vietnam.

Carter sold the Panama Canal for $1.

W. had “Mission Accomplished.”

Obama had…. where do I even begin?

Dumb is bipartisan. Dumb is American. Dumb is fine. DC runs on dumb decisions.

What NONE of them ever did, what is truly, mind-melting, pants-on-head, clown-car-fire, galaxy-brained, lead-paint-chip-eating, 50-IQ-Neanderthal-ripping-a-bong dumb, was pay NGOs by the busload to smuggle tens of millions of people, including actual convicted criminals, across a border we spent trillions pretending to defend, then hand them free four-star hotels, free cell phones, free ATM cards, and a court date in 2031 they were never going to show up for.

That is not a policy. That is a SNL cold open someone forgot to write a punchline for.

A five-year-old with a juice box could tell you that was Bozo-the-Clown-on-crack, Weekend-at-Bernie’s-running-DHS, “hold-my-beer-I’m-gonna-try-something” levels of stupid. My golden retriever could have run a tighter border. A Magic 8-Ball would have outperformed the entire Biden interagency.

That’s the new threshold, Democrats.
That’s the low-water mark. That’s the floor. That is the Mariana Trench of public policy and you personally rented the Titan submersible.

Argue all you want about the Strait of Hormuz. Write your op-eds. Go on cable TV with Tom Nichols. Clutch your pearls about Greenland.

But until Trump proposes something even half as mind-bendingly, bone-crushingly, civilization-forfeitingly brain-dead as what Biden and Kamala did with our borders, I genuinely do not care.

Zero F’s given by me.

[Just Another Pod Guy @TMTLongShort]

The longer oil prices stay elevated the more valuable liquidity becomes.

Don’t forget who provides swap lines.

Bessent is going to be the grim reaper with a big fat “get fucked” button on his desk.

It’s called manufacturing leverage.

[Odds Bender @Odds_Bender]

@WarClandestine You and @TFL1728 need to do a pod together - your ways of thinking have so much overlap, and I think there’s a lot of synergies between your audiences

[Anish Moonka @anishmoonka]

Your fridge runs 24 hours a day. Solar panels only work while the sun’s out. That mismatch is the entire reason this plant exists, and the fix is just hot salt.

The Dunhuang plant in China’s Gobi Desert uses 12,000 mirrors aimed at a single tower about as tall as an 80-story building. All that focused sunlight heats a mix of salts (the same stuff in fertilizer) to 565°C, hot enough to glow red. That liquid salt gets pumped into giant insulated tanks. The tanks are so well insulated they only lose about 1°C per day. When the city needs electricity at 2am, the hot salt boils water into steam, the steam spins a turbine, and you get power. Same basic process as a coal plant. Just no coal.

Here’s what makes this different from regular solar: the storage lasts 11 hours. Sun goes down, plant keeps running all night. The big batteries that cities plug into their power grids right now? Those typically hold about 4 hours of electricity. Building batteries that last 11 hours is possible, but the cost balloons fast. A German energy storage study found that storing energy in hot salt costs roughly 33x less than storing it in the lithium-ion batteries we use today.

China has built 27 of these plants so far, enough to power roughly a million homes. They doubled that number in 2025 alone. Another 3,000 megawatts (enough for about 2 million more homes) are under construction right now, with 4,000 more in the planning stage. Beijing wants 15,000 megawatts by 2030.

The US tried this same technology once. Ivanpah, out in the Mojave Desert. Cost $2.2 billion. But they skipped the storage part entirely, so it could only make power while the sun was shining. It needed natural gas every morning just to start up. It’s now slated to shut down in 2026, thirteen years early, because regular solar panels got so cheap they made the whole project obsolete. China took the same idea, added the one part America left out, and is now building dozens of them.

One more thing worth knowing. The salt is made from basic industrial chemicals. No lithium mining. No cobalt. No rare earth metals. And it lasts 30 years of daily use before the tanks need work.

[Tom Luongo @TFL1728]

Always has been. And that's why nearly every emotional analysis of this conflict is wrong.

[Barbara M Boyd @BarbaraMBoyd]

WHY IS THE DEEP STATE AND ITS MEDIA ARM GOING AFTER TULSI GABBARD? A thread.

1/ The attacks started the moment she was confirmed as DNI. The NYT, WaPo, Guardian — coordinated barrages. But look at the *pattern* and ask who benefits.

2/ WAVE ONE — THE IRAN TRAP (March 2025): Tulsi testified that the IC assessed Iran was NOT building a nuclear weapon. That is literally her job — she read the community's assessment. It was NOT her personal opinion. But the press plastered it everywhere to wedge her from Trump.

3/ WAVE TWO — THE WHISTLEBLOWER SMEAR (Feb 2026): The Guardian and NYT ran coordinated stories claiming Tulsi 'hid' a complaint for 8 months. Tulsi fired back: the IG found the complaint NOT CREDIBLE. Sen. Tom Cotton: 'just another smear campaign.' She followed the law. Every. Single. Time.

4/ WAVE THREE — JOE KENT (March 2026): Tulsi appointed Kent to lead NCTC. This same man spent YEARS warning Iran was a major threat. Then he abruptly quits, does a Tucker Carlson tour, and NOW says Iran is no threat and Trump was 'dragged into war by Israel.' An about-face so complete it's almost choreographed.

The press immediately tied the Kent chaos back to TULSI — not to Kent.

5/ WHY TULSI? Because while all this noise was being made, she was quietly doing THIS:

✅ Declassified JFK, RFK & MLK files
✅ Released proof Obama's team MANUFACTURED the Russia hoax ICA
✅ Declassified Biden-era docs labeling political dissidents as 'domestic extremists'
✅ Cut ODNI bloat by 40%, saving $700M/year
✅ Revoked clearances of Clapper, Brennan-linked figures
✅ Investigating Crossfire Hurricane, COVID origins, election security

6/ THE DNI HAS UNIQUE DECLASSIFICATION POWER. No other cabinet official can do what she's doing. She is the only person in government with the authority and the will to expose the institutional criminality of the intelligence community — and they know it.

7/ Joe Kent didn't embarrass himself. He was deployed as a heat-seeking missile aimed at Tulsi — to give the media a 'Gabbard chaos' narrative, create distance between her and Trump, and pressure her resignation before she finishes the job.

8/ The London press, the NYT, the WaPo — none of them are covering what she's actually DONE. They're covering the noise designed to stop her.

Tulsi Gabbard is directly over the target. That's why every gun is pointing at her.