Off the Noggin’

Off the Noggin’ Show on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple Podcasts

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

New money per school, per year, from the expanded playoff (per Yahoo Sports):

SEC: $2.5M-$3M
Big Ten: $2.5M-$3M
ACC: $1M-$1.5M
Big 12: $1M-$1.5M

The gap between the Big Two and everyone else just got wider.

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

Most-bet sides in Top 25 games this week, with each team’s record against the spread:

Tennessee 89% (5-4)
Alabama 87% (5-4)
Kentucky 87% (7-2)
Georgia 80% (7-2)
Houston 79% (3-6)
BYU 77% (6-3)
Utah 76% (8-1)
UCLA 75% (9-0)
Boston College 72% (5-4)
Miami 71% (6-3)

Who burns?

[Random SEC @therandomsec]

Cam Coleman and Collin Simmons are GOOD TO GO this weekend against LSU 👀

The horns best players are getting healthy at the right time.

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

New money per school, per year, from the expanded playoff (per Yahoo Sports):

SEC: $2.5M-$3M
Big Ten: $2.5M-$3M
ACC: $1M-$1.5M
Big 12: $1M-$1.5M

The gap between the Big Two and everyone else just got wider.

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

The equivalence of Notre Dame's schedule outside of two games...

https://t.co/Qo6Rhixl67

[NCAA March Madness @MarchMadnessMBB]

UCLA just allowed its fewest points in a half in 50 YEARS 🤯

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

@NFL_DovKleiman After the CTE comments earlier this year, somebody in that locker room needs to take his microphone AND his helmet privileges. 😭

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

Puka Nacua to IR.

Matthew Stafford just went from having a Ferrari to delivering pizzas in a Honda Civic. 💀

[Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter]

Rams placed WR Puka Nacua on injured reserve due to his MCL injury. HC Sean McVay has said he expects Nacua to miss “extended time.”

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

Here is who the boys picked for tonight's game on last night's episode:

Giants -2.5
@OffTheNoggin_M, @OTNogginLuke, and myself

Commanders +2.5
@offthenogginLL

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

@DaveKluge Vegas knows something. Last time you were on the road as 2.5 favs...

[Dave Kluge @DaveKluge]

Draft J.J. McCarthy 10th overall, sign Sam Darnold and Daniel Jones, let them both walk, bench McCarthy for Carson Wentz, sign Kyler Murray, go back to Wentz, trade McCarthy away, and bench Murray just to end up exactly where you were.

That's objectively hilarious.

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

@SullenSerf Vegas knows something. Last time you were on the road as 2.5 favs...

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

1, 5 and 7.

Let a formula pick the field. Make Notre Dame join a conference like everyone else. Play every playoff game on campus until the title game.

The byes and the Group of 6 stay. Fight me.

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

You can only eliminate 3 things from the College Football Playoff:

1 - The selection committee

2 - The Group of 6 auto-bid

3 - First-round byes

4 - The 24-team expansion

5 - Notre Dame’s independence

6 - SEC bias

7 - Neutral-site bowl games

8 - Weekly rankings shows

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

Six of the CFP's top 12 teams have rosters ranked outside the top 20 in talent. Utah is No. 2 with the 58th most talented roster. Oregon has the 3rd most talented roster and sits at No. 16. Who's the best coaching job in the country?

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

2024 South Carolina: won 6 straight, finished 9-3, left out of the playoff.

2026 South Carolina: 4 straight wins, 6-3, Georgia comes to Columbia on Nov. 21.

Redemption arc or rerun?

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

The Big 12 is the only Power conference that has never had two teams in the same playoff (per Front Office Sports).

Utah is 9-0. Texas Tech is 8-1. If both win out, they meet for the title.

Does the loser get in?

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

OFFICIAL CFP TOP 8.

The committee has made its decision. If your logo has an A, congratulations. You’re in.

Don’t overcomplicate this. The committee knows ball. 😂

#CFB #CFP

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

@OffTheNoggin_M The pod theory is awful

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

An average top-5 team's expected win % against each schedule (ESPN SP+):

Ole Miss: 74.1% (hardest)
Oregon: 75.9%
Alabama: 76.6%
Georgia: 89.2%
Utah: 91.1%
UCLA: 93.1%

Lower = harder. The two unbeatens rank 76th and 92nd.

[Off the Noggin’ @OfftheNogginPod]

The Broncos are 7-2 with a +12 point differential. The Bucs are 3-6 at +24. Record vs. reality for all 32 teams. Who’s the biggest fraud, and who’s better than their record?