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Bitcoin spends 96% of its life below its all-time high.
Almost the entire return is made in the other 4%, in short violent bursts most holders never wait around for.
I explore every drawdown in Bitcoin’s history, and what the data says actually happens next👇🏼
We’ve just wicked outside the lower bounds of the Kernel Envelope.
With the lower baseline sitting around $69K, this has historically been a region where downside becomes statistically exhausted and mean reversion takes over.
Even during this bear market, that setup has consistently favoured a bounce.
Bitcoin spends 96% of its life below its all-time high.
Almost the entire return is made in the other 4%, in short violent bursts most holders never wait around for.
I explore every drawdown in Bitcoin’s history, and what the data says actually happens next👇🏼