๐จ Polymarket insider trade detected
$16.2k at 14c says the US-Iran ceasefire breaks before Sept 30. A tracked wallet bought No overnight on Polymarket.
Same wallet got flagged on a US-Iran deal market Monday. Geopolitics is most of what it trades.
$12k says the Fed hikes again in October. A tracked wallet just took a 25 bps hike at 50c on Polymarket.
Same wallet put $60k on the September hike at 67c and walked away about $30k up.
๐จ Polymarket insider trade detected
17% odds on Polymarket that a US-Iran deal this year caps uranium enrichment. Overnight a tier 3 tracked wallet put $1.6k on Yes at 17c.
40 min later the same wallet backed a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by Sept 30 at 30c. Same direction.
๐จ Polymarket insider trade detected
34c on the US ending the Iranian blockade by October 31. A tracked wallet just put $2.7k on Yes.
Third open Iran de-escalation bet for that wallet, alongside a Hormuz reopening and the Israel-Iran ceasefire holding. All the same way.
๐จ Polymarket insider trade detected
18c on Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by December 31.
A tracked wallet just put another $3.6k there, on top of $11k it already holds at 24c. It is averaging down on a reopening, and it is up $22k over 40 closed trades.
Expert trader spotted
$27k on the Chiefs at 59c to cover 3.5 against the Colts, on Polymarket. Biggest NFL bet flagged all weekend, and it came from a wallet up $302k over 176 closed positions that spends most of its day on Dota and League.
$11.6k on the Texans at 58c against the Bengals.
Same wallet spent today on German state elections, Russian regional races and Practical Magic 2 box office, in $100 tickets. This NFL bet is six times bigger than anything else it touched all day.
Expert trader spotted
11c on a US-Iran deal capping uranium enrichment at 5% or less this year. A wallet up $96k across 579 closed positions, almost all of it geopolitics, just took Yes for $1.2k.
Tier 4 tracked wallet took the Colts at 29c against the Chiefs on Polymarket. $14.5k on the flagged buy.
That is $108k across eight NFL games today from one wallet. Its closed record is $1.67m up over 1,375 positions, so this is not a tourist spraying Sunday tickets.
Tier 4 tracked wallet took the Titans at 25c against the Eagles this morning on Polymarket. $5.4k on the flagged buy.
Same wallet opened eight NFL positions in four minutes. $22.5k Patriots spread, $17.3k Colts, $14k Vikings, all cheap sides. It bought the slate, not the game.