Who wins the World Cup 2026? We ran it 10,000× after the group stage.
France lead at just 15.5% — England 13.0%, Spain 12.8% — one of the most open on record.
Live, graded board, every call public ↓ https://t.co/ie4u3M2o06
🏆 World Cup 2026 title race (updated hourly):
France 16.1% · England 12.6% · Spain 12.4%
No side clears 17% — wide open. Model 83%, 45/54 called.
#WorldCup2026#FIFAWorldCup#FIFAFantasy#FPL#FantasyPL
https://t.co/ie4u3M2o06
🔒 Tonight's safest calls per the model:
Ivory Coast 84% v Curaçao
Netherlands 81% v Tunisia
The two strongest favourites on the Matchday 3 board.
#WorldCup2026#FIFAWorldCup#FantasyPL#FPL#CIVCUW
https://t.co/dLqNTjx13I
🎯 Japan v Sweden is a coin-flip.
Model: Japan 53% · Draw 24% · Sweden 23%. The closest of tonight's group-stage finales.
#WorldCup2026#JPNSWE#Japan#FIFAFantasy#FPL
https://t.co/dLqNTjx13I
⚽ GER v ECU tonight — the model's tightest call.
Germany 52% · Draw 25% · Ecuador 23%. Not the routine win the ranking suggests.
#WorldCup2026#GERECU#Germany#FIFAWorldCup#FantasyPL
https://t.co/dLqNTjx13I
@OfficialFPL Bruno to Ronaldo never gets old ⚽ For anyone tracking the WC alongside their FPL plans, our model's board right now: France 16.1%, England 12.6%, Spain 12.4% — and it's hit 45 of 54 group favourites (83%).
@ESPNFC@herculezg Mora's the real deal — and the model loved Mexico's day: we had them 71% to win, 3-0 and a clean sheet ✓. As for the trophy itself, it's wide open: France 16.1%, England 12.6%, Spain 12.4% lead our board.
@OptaAnalyst Clean sheet, clean call — our model had Mexico at 71% here. Group favourites now 45/54 (83%) for us. The two tightest reads tonight: Germany just 52% v Ecuador, Japan 53% v Sweden. 📊
@brfootball Our model had Mexico as 71% favourites to close it out today — 3-0, job done. ✓ That's 45 of 54 group favourites called now (83%). Perfect at home indeed.
@FIFAWorldCup Japan back in action tonight vs Sweden — our 10,000-run model makes them favourites at 53%. Tightest of the three group games we've got them in. ⚽
Tonight's World Cup slate 🎯
The model's win probabilities:
Netherlands 81% · Ivory Coast 84%
Germany only 52% vs Ecuador 👀
Japan 53% vs Sweden
Tightest call of the night? Germany.
#WorldCup2026#FantasyPL
https://t.co/dLqNTjx13I
Who wins the World Cup 2026? 🏆
Our 10,000-run model, refreshed hourly:
France 16.1% · England 12.6% · Spain 12.4%
No one's pulling away. Model's live accuracy: 83% — 45/54 favourites called ✓
#WorldCup2026#FIFAFantasy
https://t.co/ie4u3M2o06
Who wins the World Cup 2026? 🏆
Our 10,000-run AI model, refreshed hourly. No team over 15% — the most open WC ever.
Live tournament accuracy: 84% (37/44 favourites called). We show the receipts.
Full board 👉 https://t.co/ie4u3M2o06
#WorldCup2026#FIFAFantasy#FPL
@FIFAWorldCup Receipts 🎯 Our AI model had Algeria at 74% to beat Jordan — the highest-probability favourite on the whole matchday, and Maza made it look easy. Onside model now 84% on the tournament (37 of 44 favourites called).
England vs Ghana — tonight, 21:00 BST.
Onside AI model:
England 95% · Draw 3% · Ghana 2%
Our most confident call on the entire Matchday 2 slate. Full breakdown 👇
https://t.co/M0buFkcMtE
#ENGGHA#WorldCup2026
📋 RECEIPT — Matchday 2
Our model had Algeria at 74% to beat Jordan.
Full time: Jordan 1-2 Algeria ✅
Live tournament accuracy now 84% — 37 of 44 favourites called. We post the misses too. #WorldCup2026