Gary Bruebaker

Every generation builds on the wisdom of those who came before, and investing is no exception. Learn from the experiences of successful investors, think indepen

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

Chris Hohn: “Pre-Financial Crisis, I had a look at Credit Suisse. I sat down with the then CEO Brady Dougan & put his balance sheet in front of him from the annual accounts & said:

‘You have a multi-trillion-dollar balance sheet. Can we walk through the line items because I don't understand it?’ He said, ‘I don't either.’”

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

☀️ Good morning, everyone! November 11, 2026
Yesterday's CPI report came in higher than expected, pushing the Nasdaq down 0.7% and the S&P 500 down 0.4%. But tech stocks are bouncing back this morning after CoreWeave reported strong earnings and raised its revenue outlook
To me, this shows AI demand is still growing. Despite the challenges facing data center construction, nothing can stop the bigger trend of global technological progress. I still believe AI will be one of the best opportunities for investors to make money over the next 10 years
Like I said yesterday, it's much easier to make money when you're going with the trend instead of fighting it

📊 Three stocks I'm watching today
AMD: Up about 6% before the market opens. Our buy call last week is already looking good. I'm still targeting $550 to $600 over the medium term. If you're already holding, I'd rather stay with the trend than sell too early over short term price swings
NVDA: After several days of selling, Nvidia is bouncing back about 3% before the open. I think it's worth considering buying in stages, especially with earnings coming next week. If investors regain confidence in Nvidia's earnings growth, we could see more upside
CRWV: Revenue jumped 168%, with $132.5 billion in backlog. That tells me AI demand is turning into real business. But the company also reported $846 million in quarterly interest expenses. That's a big number, and it's why I'm more interested in the demand for chips than chasing CRWV after its earnings rally

⚠️ The biggest risk right now is interest rates
October inflation came in higher than expected. The market is still leaning toward a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in December, but the chances of a 50 basis point hike are rising
I'll be keeping an eye on Treasury yields. Higher rates could put more pressure on AI infrastructure companies with heavy debt
The S&P 500 closed at 7,520.93 yesterday. I'll be watching whether it can get back above 7,550 and stay there. If it does, I expect tech stocks to keep recovering. If it drops below 7,520 again, I'll be more cautious with short term trades

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

Charlie Munger: "One filter that's useful in investing is the simple idea of opportunity cost. If you have one opportunity that you already have available in large quantity and you like it better than 98% of the other things you see, you can just screen out the other 98%."

"That practice of ours, which is so simple, is not widely copied. I do not know why."

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

☀️ Good morning, everyone
U.S. stocks bounced back strongly yesterday, with the Nasdaq up 2.74% and the S&P 500 gaining 2.35%. As tensions between the U.S. and Iran eased, oil prices fell below $90, helping ease inflation concerns and giving the market a boost
AMD, which I recommended buying last week, jumped 13.26% yesterday. I expect some of the excitement to cool off today, and AMD may pull back a bit. But for those of us holding for the medium to long term, AMD's revenue and profits haven't changed. There's no need to worry about a short-term dip. Just be patient and hold on. I still see $550–$600 as an achievable price target

What's more interesting right now is what's happening within the AI sector. Nvidia fell yesterday, even as Broadcom gained over 7% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index climbed about 6.85%. That tells me money hasn't left AI altogether. Investors are just becoming more selective about which companies they buy
Nvidia didn't join the rally because of negative news surrounding its CEO. But that news hasn't directly changed the company's core business or long-term outlook. So I think it's worth looking for opportunities to accumulate shares at lower prices. I believe that could pay off nicely

📊 What I'm Watching Today
S&P 500: I'm watching whether it can hold around 7,550 to see if the rebound has more room to run
Semiconductors: I'm focusing on AVGO, AMD, and MRVL, looking for stocks with rising trading volume that are outperforming the broader market
CRWV: Earnings come out tonight. I'll be watching how well the company turns orders into revenue, along with its debt and cash flow

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

Peter Lynch: “When I ran Magellan, I might’ve been right 6 times out of 10. But if I’m right and make a double or triple, occasionally, it offsets the times you lose 30 or 40%.

In fact you could [only] be right one-third of the time as long as you have a lot of good results.”

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

November 9, 2026 | Monday
After last week's selloff, U.S. stocks are looking to rebound. Dow and S&P 500 futures are higher, but Nvidia is down nearly 6% in premarket trading following reports of an investigation involving CEO Jensen Huang.
I expect the market to rebound today, with financials and industrials potentially outperforming tech

📊 Stocks I'm Watching
AMD: Around $440 is a good level to start building a position. As I mentioned last week, AMD's real risk isn't in its chart patterns, but in its future earnings outlook. Don't let a short-term pullback cause you to miss out on long-term gains
CEG: Earnings today. I'll be watching AI data center power demand and future contracts
AMAT: Earnings Thursday. A key company to watch for signs of continued semiconductor investment

⚠️ Key Risks
Tuesday's CPI report could push Treasury yields higher and put pressure on growth stocks. Nvidia's weakness could also weigh on the Nasdaq
We've had quite a few new members join the group recently. Over the final two months of 2026, I'll help everyone in this group achieve a return of at least 20%. I'll continue sharing the opportunities I'm watching, my entry levels, the risks behind each trade, and my investment reasoning. Let's make the most of these final weeks of the year
Tonight, I'll continue sharing my methods and reasoning for selecting growth stocks.

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

Data-center construction spending has surged 90% over the past year to a record $96.5 billion. But voters are increasingly pushing back against the data-center explosion. What happens to the economy if the AI spending boom slows?

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

Warren Buffett: “You can't make a good deal with a bad person.

We just forget about it…We don't try to protect ourselves by contracts or due diligence…we just forget about it. We can do fine over time dealing with people who we like and admire and trust.”

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

Full interview:
https://t.co/cPJgAv0RAc

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

☀️ Good morning, everyone
Yesterday, tech stocks suffered their worst single-day selloff in 19 months, driven largely by concerns that the Democrats' midterm victory could bring tighter regulations on AI data centers and slow industry growth
But semiconductor stocks are already rebounding this morning. I believe yesterday's panic was overblown. These policy changes are more likely to regulate AI development than stop it
AI is a global trend that no single country can stop. Even if development slows in the U.S., other countries will keep moving forward
That's why I remain firmly bullish on AI's long-term growth. Short-term political uncertainty won't change my investment outlook

📊 Key Technical Levels
S&P 500: Watch 7,353.73. Holding or reclaiming this level would be an early sign of recovery
Nasdaq 100: Support near 27,920 and resistance around 29,000. A sustained break above 29,000 would strengthen the short-term outlook
Semiconductors: Watching NVDA, AMD, and AVGO. A rebound supported by stronger trading volume would increase confidence in a tech recovery

The October jobs report showed 165,000 new jobs, beating expectations of 65,000, while unemployment fell to 4.1%. A stronger labor market could increase expectations for a December Fed rate hike, with inflation still a key factor in the Fed's decision

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

The key is comparing price to value.

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Over $3 trillion erased from the US stock market today.

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

Warren Buffett: “If there’s bad news & the stock goes down, the question I have is: Has the long-term valuation changed?” “What you like is bad news about a fundamentally good business.”

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

☀️ Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, the Dow jumped 3.03%, the S&P 500 gained 1.58%, and the Nasdaq rose 1.44%. But beneath the post-election rally, we're already seeing a shift in market leadership
This morning, Nasdaq futures are lower, while Dow futures are holding up better. Semiconductor and data center stocks remain under pressure, while some major tech companies are showing relative strength
The question now isn't just how much companies are spending on AI, but how quickly that spending can turn into real earnings growth

📊 What's Moving the Market?
The midterm election results have raised concerns about tighter restrictions on data center construction. UBS estimates that around 30% of planned U.S. data center capacity additions in 2028 could face delays or other disruptions
This is creating a clear divide. Data center developers and equipment suppliers could face slower order growth, while major tech companies may benefit from more disciplined spending
Qualcomm (QCOM) is down around 10% in premarket trading after its smartphone chip sales outlook disappointed investors. Meanwhile, AppLovin (APP) is up more than 16% after beating earnings expectations
To me, this shows that investors are paying closer attention to actual earnings rather than simply rewarding companies for being part of the tech sector.

🔍 What I'm Watching Today
The S&P 500 closed at 7,688.62 yesterday. I'll use that level as my first reference to see whether the broader market can hold its post-election gains
I'll also compare the Nasdaq with the Dow. If tech continues to lag while financials and industrials hold up, I'll shift more of my short-term attention toward stronger companies in those sectors
Today's labor market updates and Friday's jobs report could also influence Treasury yields and expectations for the Fed's next move

💡 My Investment Strategy
I'm still bullish on the long-term U.S. stock market, but I'm becoming more selective about where I invest new money
Today, I'll focus on companies with improving earnings and stocks outperforming the broader market, rather than businesses relying mainly on expectations of future AI spending
Before opening new short-term positions, I want to see whether the S&P 500 can hold yesterday's closing level and whether selling pressure in semiconductor stocks begins to ease
I believe the real opportunity is recognizing where market leadership is shifting before everyone else starts paying attention
And I've always believed that finding a promising company early and investing in it is worth far more of our time and effort than any short-term trade

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

TRUMP'S VETO POWER COULD BLOCK DEMOCRATIC AGENDA Despite sweeping midterm victories, Democrats lack the two-thirds majorities needed to override President Trump's vetoes. Trump can reject legislation within 10 days, excluding Sundays, while a pocket veto can permanently block a bill if Congress adjourns during that period. Trump has already signaled his intentions, posting a red “VETO” cap on Truth Social. However, Democrats can still use congressional oversight, investigations and legislative pressure to challenge the administration.

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

Crypto and gold up for simple reason: debasement is about to come roaring back.
https://t.co/3vZe8jUbgl

[Jason Furman @jasonfurman]

Stock markets up after election results. But what is most interesting is the composition. Health and solar up, data centers and Musk-related down. Crypto up may be the one I wouldn't have expected.

And note, markets presumably had already been pricing in large Democratic gains.

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

☀️ Good Morning! Here's What Matters in the Market Today
November 4, 2026 | Wednesday
Yesterday's market was stronger than I expected. The Nasdaq gained 0.83%, the S&P 500 rose 0.36%, and the Dow slipped 0.38%. What caught my attention wasn't just the rebound, but the strong earnings from companies benefiting from AI and infrastructure spending
AMD's latest results confirmed strong demand for AI infrastructure, and some smaller suppliers are growing even faster

📊 Where I See Long-Term Opportunities
1. AI Infrastructure and High-Speed Connections
I'm watching Astera Labs (ALAB) and Credo Technology (CRDO)
ALAB makes chips that help AI processors communicate faster. Quarterly revenue jumped 154% to $584.9 million, with $730–$750 million expected next quarter. Its Scorpio chips are now its largest product line
CRDO helps data move quickly and reliably between servers. Its latest reported quarterly revenue grew 115% to $479 million, with guidance of $525–$535 million for the following quarter
For both, I'll focus on continued sales growth, profit margins, and whether they're attracting more major customers

2. Power Infrastructure
AI data centers need enormous amounts of electricity, creating opportunities for power equipment suppliers
Eaton (ETN) reported 28% sales growth, including 19% organic growth. Electrical orders hit record levels, while backlog grew 46% year over year
GE Vernova (GEV) reported around $29 billion in quarterly orders and a total backlog of $197 billion
I see strong long-term potential here as electricity demand grows. I'll be watching how those orders translate into revenue, profits, and cash flow

3. Industrial Equipment
Caterpillar (CAT) is worth watching as investment in construction, energy, and infrastructure expands
Quarterly revenue grew 17% to $20.7 billion, operating margins improved from 17.3% to 20.4%, and its order backlog reached a record high
I'll focus on continued equipment demand and whether CAT can maintain those stronger margins

💡 My Take
I believe the next few years could bring meaningful opportunities in the U.S. stock market, and the biggest winners may not be today's most popular stocks
We're seeing massive investment in AI, electricity, data centers, and industrial infrastructure. The real opportunity is finding companies that can turn that spending into lasting earnings and cash flow
I'd rather identify a strong business early, understand its value, and build a position at a reasonable price than chase the next popular stock
Markets will always face corrections and unexpected news, but that doesn't necessarily change the long-term value of a strong business
What I want everyone to learn isn't how to predict every market move. It's how to plan ahead, recognize opportunities early, and stay disciplined, letting real business growth drive long-term returns instead of market emotions

Where do you guys think the next wave of long-term growth will come from: AI technology itself, the infrastructure supporting it, or industries that haven't received enough attention yet?

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

JUST IN: SpaceX, Tesla, Amazon, & Netflix now oppose having their stocks tokenized through OKX and ICE markets, bringing the total to 56 companies.
• Dell
• IBM
• Intel
• Nike
• IREN
• IonQ
• AMD
• Intuit
• Tesla
• Nvidia
• Netflix
• Adobe
• Oracle
• Reddit
• Eli Lilly
• Costco
• Verizon
• SpaceX
• Corning
• Sandisk
• Carnival
• Amazon
• Walmart
• Moderna
• Alphabet
• AppLovin
• Microsoft
• JPMorgan
• Broadcom
• Caterpillar
• Coca-Cola
• Qualcomm
• Rocket Lab
• CoreWeave
• Wells Fargo
• McDonald's
• CrowdStrike
• Cigna Group
• Arm Holdings
• Bloom Energy
• Lam Research
• Applied Digital
• Arcos Dorados
• Cisco Systems
• Western Digital
• USA Rare Earth
• Goldman Sachs
• Applied Materials
• SoFi Technologies
• Cerebras Systems
• Micron Technology
• Palo Alto Networks
• Marvell Technology
• UnitedHealth Group
• Applied Optoelectronics
• Hewlett Packard Enterprise

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

Charlie Munger: “There are a lot of things in life way more important than wealth. All that said, some people do get confused…

I play golf with a man and he says, ‘What good is health? You can’t buy money with it.’” 😂

[Gary Bruebaker @OptimalFitJen]

☀️ Good Morning! Here's What Matters in the Market Today.
November 3, 2026 | Tuesday
Yesterday's market gave us a good example of why I don't like chasing an opening rally. I expected a rebound attempt, but also said QQQ and SPY needed to reclaim key levels before I'd consider it a real recovery.
The rebound failed. The Nasdaq fell 1.1%, the S&P 500 lost 0.5%, while the Dow managed a 0.4% gain. QQQ reached $699.43 before reversing sharply and closing at $681.09. That tells me sellers still have the upper hand in the short term.
This morning, futures are mixed. Apple is under pressure over concerns about rising memory costs and future margins. Palantir is also falling despite strong earnings, with investors questioning its valuation. Meanwhile, Nvidia and AMD are showing some strength.
With the midterm elections today, oil prices rising again, and AMD reporting after the close, I expect another volatile session.

📊 My Market Outlook
Nasdaq: Bearish. Using QQQ as my reference, $680.33 is the immediate support level. A break below it would reinforce the downtrend. I'd need to see QQQ reclaim $690.49 before becoming more constructive, with $699.43 as the next major resistance.
S&P 500: Slightly bearish. SPY closed at $752.10 yesterday. I'm watching $751.60 as immediate support. Below that, $750.36 is the next level to watch. A recovery above $759.45 would be an encouraging first step, but $763.86 remains the stronger resistance.
Dow Jones: Neutral to slightly bearish. DIA has held up better than QQQ and SPY. I'll watch $519.19 for support and $523.68 for resistance. A break above that resistance would improve the short-term outlook.

💡 My Take
Apple and Palantir are a good reminder that beating earnings expectations isn't always enough. Investors are paying much closer attention to margins, valuations, and what companies expect going forward.
I'm also watching whether semiconductor stocks can hold their relative strength, especially with AMD reporting tonight. The 10 a.m. JOLTS jobs report could also influence interest-rate expectations.
For now, I'd rather protect capital than rush into a tech rebound. If QQQ can reclaim $690.49 and hold it, I'll reconsider. Until then, my short-term bias remains bearish.