Options data nerd breaking down market structure in plain English. I track what big money is doing (GEX, PCR, sweeps) so you know when to buy and when to wait.
“Understood. I'm currently using TGTracker, but due to a number of problems, I had to look for another service, and GrokAI recommended you.
Is it possible to test the service in a trial mode?”
Thank you @elonmusk & @grok for recommending my Tracking Solution for Telegram, https://t.co/u8iOtIv79k.
Change anything, anywhere. Haha I love it! Just select anything on a screen, type in what you want to change and let it work 🚀
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@ArtByGaL Yeah, I have a client that has urgent request that I cannot pick up due to competing priorities. The request is to build 3 widgets using vuejs on existing infrastructure. Only FE work. Let me dm you for deeper discussion.
@lilynico Yeah, I have a client that has urgent request that I cannot pick up due to competing priorities. The request is to build 3 widgets using vuejs on existing infrastructure. Only FE work. Is it something you could do?
$IBIT sitting on -16.5 BILLION negative gamma at the $60 trigger level 🚀
For context: $60 in IBIT = ~$107k in $BTC. We've pulled back from $125k highs, and now the question is - do we bounce or keep dropping?
Chart says "EXPLOSIVE" because moves will be FAST when this breaks.
We tested $60 twice today. Big rejection at 6am when $BTC dumped from $107k. Smaller rejection at close - weaker selling. Sellers running out of ammo.
Quarterly options show 3.3 calls per put. Institutions positioned for Q1 rally after this pullback.
If IBIT breaks $60 with volume? Target is $65 same day, that's $116k $BTC. The negative gamma ensures dealers chase it higher.
But if $57 breaks? That's $96k $BTC. Same violence down.
Binary setup. $BTC retracement decision point. 💥
Watching both $IBIT $60 and $BTC $107k.
$PYPL getting a pass from me right now ⏸️
Earnings rallied to $80, then crashed 17% to $66. But here's the weird part - everyone's STILL bullish. Put-call ratio is only 0.46. Extended options show 6 calls for every 1 put.
Problem? Price keeps grinding lower while sentiment stays optimistic. That's usually distribution, not accumulation.
There's a 3 billion gamma fortress at $65 (just $1 below current), but we're stuck under $68 resistance.
I need to see either a clean break above $68, OR a drop to $65 with actual panic. Right now it's just... stuck.
Waiting for clarity before jumping in.
$LULU sitting in a really interesting spot right now 🎯Been watching this closely after the 11/6-11/7 selloff. Here's what caught my eye:
Price is at $170, sitting RIGHT ABOVE the zero gamma level at $165. When you're above this line, dealer hedging actually pushes price higher instead of capping it.
There's a massive 1.5B gamma fortress at $160. That's like a trampoline 6% below current price - institutions have a HUGE reason to defend that level.
The put-to-call ratio hit 2.5 recently. That's fear. Real fear. But price is recovering anyway, which tells me smart money was buying while everyone else was panicking.
Extended dated options show 20 puts for every 1 call. That's apocalyptic positioning for Jan/Feb, but price isn't acting like the world is ending.
The setup: institutions accumulated during the panic, price flipped into bullish territory, and now there's a clear runway to $175-180 where the real acceleration kicks in.
Not saying it's a sure thing, but the mechanics are lining up nicely. 📊
@musicandwork Totally agree, the last year was crazy! That's why I'm saying it's a tool and not a strategy. It's pretty much the same as using indicators with a different perspective on the same data.
$LULU feels like a trap. 🚨
Stock dropped to $161 yesterday. Retail panicked for about 5 minutes. Today it bounced to $168 and suddenly everyone's bullish again.
But here's the problem:
Institutions are sitting on $344M in downside protection. 💰
Let that sink in. Professional traders have:
- $96M in 2-3 DTE month puts
- $199M in 3+ DTE month puts
Retail? About $4M in weekly puts. They're not worried at all.
So one side has $344M saying "we're scared" and the other side is confidently buying the dip.
One of these groups is usually wrong. History says it's not the professionals. 🤔
What I'm waiting for:
Real capitulation → drop to $150-155 with fear that actually lasts 3+ days (not 24 hours) OR institutions stop hedging (that $344M number comes down significantly)
Currently: Stuck at $168, can't break $170. Yesterday's panic vanished overnight - that's not a bottom, that's denial.
Not touching it yet. When smart money has this much protection and retail has none, I'm with the smart money. 🛡️
Patience pays. ⏳
Not with those names, at the moment I'm following a fixed list of ticker, unfortunately these were not part of my list.
I wouldn't call it a strategy though. My data is only a tool to better understand what's happening in terms of market cycle and participants' behavior. Based of off that you can make smarter decisions.
@musicandwork Depends on your strategy and how you want to deploy capital. I plan on looking for market cycle phase change towards uptrend. From there I'll be following the big money and riding the wave with them.
Here's the PCR breakdown by DTE that shows the problem:
0-7 DTE: 0.63 (retail complacent, no fear) 8-30 DTE: 0.27 (extremely complacent) 31-60 DTE: 3.14 (institutions hedging quarterly) 61-90 DTE: 12.96 (went absolutely nuclear, up from 4.71 yesterday) 90+ LEAPS: 0.90 (calm)
See the pattern? Short-term is calm, long-term is panicking. That's backwards from a bottom.
At real bottoms (contrarian opportunities), you want HIGH short-term PCR (retail panic) and LOW long-term PCR (institutions confident).
$LULU has the opposite: retail chill while institutions load 2-3 month protection. That 12.96 extended PCR is insane - that's not retail buying weekly puts in fear, that's desks buying expensive quarterly insurance.
When the curve looks like this, the smart money is preparing for something retail hasn't figured out yet.