#BTC
Bitcoin has Weekly Closed just above the 21-week EMA (green)
Which means price is technically positioned for a retest of the EMA
The problem is that there is very little space for the retest to breathe, making it very easy for BTC to drop below the EMA
Bitcoin will need to try to hang at these highs if the retest is to be successful
$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
EVERYTHING IS PLAYING OUT EXACTLY AS I SAID!!
$79K hit.
The bull trap is over.
Every touch of the upper resistance is getting sold.
This is where most people get it wrong.
They think Bitcoin is breaking out.
It isn’t.
Bitcoin is entering the phase where REAL cycle bottoms form.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called the exact $16,000 bottom and the $126,000 top in October.
If you missed those calls, don’t worry.
I’ll call the next one too.
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The Sharpe Ratio helps evaluate how much excess return an asset provides for every unit of risk. Essentially, it tells investors if the returns are worth the inherent uncertainty.
Recently, Bitcoin $BTC Sharpe Ratio plummeted to -43, a level of extreme risk-off sentiment. However, we have seen a recovery to approximately 20.35.
This transition from negative territory suggests that the market has processed the volatility and is moving from a high-uncertainty phase toward a more favorable risk-adjusted environment.
S&P 500 IS RALLYING ON EMPTY VOLUME
And that's exactly the problem
When price goes up but volume stays low - it means there's no real conviction behind the move
We saw this exact setup in early 2025:
1. Low volume rally - price goes up, nobody's really buying
2. Volume picks up - first warning sign, distribution begins
3. High volume sell-off - that's when it gets ugly
Right now the same picture is forming again
I'm not saying the dump is guaranteed, but when volume finally returns to this market, it won't be buyers leading the charge
Save this. Let's see who's right!
$BULL is beginning to show signs of life.
More attention, stronger movement, and still far from the crowded phase most people wait for.
Take a closer look here: https://t.co/1ErMYW12IW
The early chapter is often the best one.
Absorption into reversal:
- aggressive selling into lows
- sell delta expands
- price barely moves down
- sellers get exhausted
- no follow through
price bounces