BTC Options Pulse™ — Issue #001
Composite: 40 → Defensive
📉 Put skew elevated
📊 Positioning cautious
Fear is priced. Panic is not.The options market isn't panicking. It's just deeply defensive.
This week's full read in Issue #001 of BTC Options Pulse™ 👇
https://t.co/6z5Q0MmJFO
🚨 BREAKING: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says AI is now beginning to replace human work at scale for the first time in history.
“The time has finally arrived.”
🚨 NOW: Michael Saylor says, “We’ll probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend.”
“Just to inoculate the market, just to send a message that we did it.”
Bitcoin backed $STRK embeds a long-dated call on $MSTR.
Right now:
📊 $4.58 call value
📈 5.6% chance MSTR is above $1000 over the long-term horizon
🎯 Deep OTM convexity
➡️ Currently a small probability but massive payoff.
https://t.co/lS933jSocD
$MSTR $BTC
BTC Touch Pulse™ calculates both probabilities in real time using live Deribit implied volatility. Free. No signup. Any strike.
Any expiry. → https://t.co/lS933jSocD
Follow @OrangePulseApp
Most traders ask "will Bitcoin hit $100k this year?"
That's actually two very different questions and confusing them is costing people real money.
A thread on P(touch) vs P(expire above), and why the gap matters 🧵
Right now, BTC Touch Pulse™ shows:
P(touch $100k): 32%
P(expire above $100k): 14.7%
That gap is the difference between "BTC might hit it" and "my calls are profitable at expiry."
If you're trading options, you need the second number.
$STRK sold off today but the embedded optionality is still there 👇
📊 ~$5.83 call value
📉 Deep OTM (~-88%)
⏳ Long-dated convexity
➡️ Price down, optionality intact.
https://t.co/ptBkkqCJ2n