Oxygen Delta is LIVE
A real-time prediction markets arbitrage dashboard built for people running size across multiple accounts
Tracks hundreds of events in one place across:
@Polymarket β’ @Kalshi β’ @opinionlabsxyz β’ @predictdotfun β’ @0xProbable
Key features:
> AI-assisted market matching powered by Grok
> Volume, time-to-expiry, and budget filters
> Order book depth visibility
> Portfolio tracking
Delta is free
Try it: https://t.co/7l7OoVkZ6u
ravens fans are debating whether to panic
we found a way to price both the panic and the optimism
oxygen delta captured this pair on baltimore winning the 2027 nfl championship:
- buy yes on polymarket at 6.5Β’
- buy no on https://t.co/cGENVuOhUH at 92.8Β’
one $100 budget: $6.71 + $93.29 including modeled fees estimated payout at settlement: $100.39 estimated profit: $0.39 / 0.39%
not a bet on last night's game, and not instant income
why wait for our next screenshot when the scanner is free?
Should we panic about the Ravens after another blown lead?
I broke down their loss to the Saints yesterday, and I think there are reasons why we need to take a DEEP breath.
https://t.co/n1iUpfveoU
@Polymarket they'd better reopen signups soon before more people move elsewhere. also, when are we getting a $1000 plan? the current limits just aren't enough
0.5% in a week can beat 3% in six months
a bigger percentage doesn't always mean your money is working harder. time matters too
take a simple example with returns after costs:
- 0.5% in 7 days: 26.07% on a simple annualized basis;
- 3% in 180 days: 6.08% on the same basis;
but you'll need to trade more often. six successful 0.5% trades on the same capital add up to 3%, without compounding
we compared two real $100 calculations from oxygen delta on 14 september:
> 49ers to win the 2027 nfc championship:
$2.74 estimated profit after modeled fees
139 days to the scheduled championship game
7.19% on a simple annualized basis
> base token fdv above $1b the day after launch:
$3.62 estimated profit after modeled fees
474 days if the token launches at the end of the period allowed by the rules
2.79% on the same annualized basis
base offers the larger dollar profit, but under that timeline the 49ers example puts capital to work more efficiently
the interesting question is how early base would need to resolve to change that comparison. at these modeled returns, about 184 days would put it level with the 139-day 49ers scenario. earlier than that, base moves ahead
so the useful question isn't just "how much can this make?"
it's "how much, and how soon can i use the money again?"
oxygen delta finds the price gaps. the largest percentage isn't always the one worth choosing
yes + no for 97.5Β’ before fees. same eagles title question, two venues
oxygen delta's snapshot:
- https://t.co/cGENVuOhUH yes: 9.0Β’;
- polymarket no: 88.5Β’;
both markets ask whether philadelphia wins the 2027 nfc championship, with matching published settlement rules
for $100 total ($9.35 yes + $90.65 no), delta estimates a $102.07 payout at resolution, including modeled fees: $2.07 profit. capital may be tied up into 2027
the scanner is free, and you don't have to wait for our next screenshot
the token hasn't launched. the market is already repricing it
https://t.co/cGENVuOhUH reports the odds of variational launching above $1bn fdv moved from 41% to 59% in a week
before chasing the move, there's another question worth asking: did the other prediction markets move with it?
that's where oxygen delta comes in
check cross-platform price gaps while everyone else debates the valuation
free scanner. link below
Is the market getting bullish on @variational_io?
WoW predictions for a $1bn FDV one day after launch have jumped from 41% to 59%.
https://t.co/eTIwedB4O5
there's already a way to trade the $BASE speculation before the token exists
oxygen delta caught the year-end launch market at:
- YES on Polymarket: 9Β’
- NO on https://t.co/bDQQ5CQTMZ: 87.8Β’
a $200 paired position models $4.93 profit at settlement, if both legs fill at those prices and resolve consistently
that's the price gap we're watching while the launch date is still a question
Base and Jumper have been continuously teasing something big.
Could $BASE + $JUMP TGE and airdrops happen this September?
Or are we about to get another major announcement instead?
$BASE is still officially only in the exploration stage, with no confirmed TGE date.
But the recent teasing is definitely getting harder to ignore.
September could get very interesting.
$BASE + $JUMP this month?
What are you expecting?
a folding iphone could cost you a fortune. watching its prediction markets costs nothing
oxygen delta caught this pair on an apple foldable release before 2027:
- YES on https://t.co/bDQQ5CQTMZ: 94Β’;
- NO on Polymarket: 3.7Β’;
the $200 calculation? $4.18 in potential profit at settlement, if both sides can be filled at those prices
by the time we post a screenshot, prices can change. why wait for our next post when the scanner is free?
leclerc's monza race ended on lap 2. the pricing gap did not
following his crash at the italian gp, our free oxygen delta scanner picked up a gap on his 2026 drivers title market
- BUY YES on Polymarket at 0.7Β’: $0.73;
- BUY NO on https://t.co/bDQQ5CQTMZ at 98Β’: $99.27;
one $100 budget, both sides covered in the model
estimated profit at settlement: $1.26 (1.26%), after modeled platform fees
you did not need to predict leclerc's next race to spot this. you needed to compare two markets
that is what our free scanner does
Polymarket to add taker fees to all markets
Here's everything you need to know:
> Fees structure will update on March 30
> Fees will be added to all markets except geopolitical and world events
> Mechanics: fees peak near 50% probability and drop toward extremes 1%/99%
The last chance to get cheap volume
They also update referral program:
> You need $10K+ traded volume to be eligible
> You earn 30% of fees from direct referrals + 10% from indirect referrals
> Rewards apply for the first 180 days after the user signs up
> Paid out daily (midnight UTC)