I am reading lots of dumb shit about Ceuta. Guys this place is in Morocco not in Spain. Why now? Look at the maps fool. The Strait of Gibraltar is now the key global chokepoint after red sea and hormuz closed. All ships have to go through Spain and Spain occupied territories to get to their destination.
The US is aware of this so it has been cementing ties with Morocco against Spain. You forgot two days ago the US gave billions to morccoo.
The US want Ceuta to establish a base on the strait of Gibraltar because Spain refused to allow the US navy to operate from its territories.
The events in Ceuta are curated to reclaim the land for the benefit of the US marine.
Recall the British refused to allow the US to use Cyprus bases which led the US to instigate a coup against the British PM and replaced him with a PM who instantly restored access for the US.
Wake up people you are being manipulated.
I have a theory. Over the past few days, it has become clear that more oil is going through the Strait. It is clear Iran has got the concession from many countries and they are paying the toll through several means including Qatar, in-kind, Crypto, UAE, and others.
It is clear that Israel strike on Iran was not an accident and was actually pursuing a new strategy which seems to have worked. The US has threatened Iran with curtailing the toll system if its clash with Israel over Lebanon did not end. Iran complied. The clash ended with US guarantees.
It turns out not that I was only right but more right than I initially thought. If Iran will to fight has been financialised and tied to the toll system which is only possible if the US allows it, it means Iran has accepted a new national strategy.
The speed at which Iran caved is telling. I thought the news about more oil through Hormuz was suspicious and oil prices have come down a lot and supplies disruption is reducing after many ships were allowed in.
Iran is obviously committing a strategic mistake similar to that of Nasrallah with Hamas. Iran is gaining temporarily while Israel gets more time to kill Hamas and Hezbollah and Sharaa by 2027 end. After that Iran will be targeted again and the regime will be killed permanently.
Hence, Israel won the last round. Financially. Not through military means.
Nasrallah pretended he is clever by not joining the war with full force with hamas on 2023. It was a grave mistake for him and he got done for it and Lebanon was destroyed nonetheless. The exact same thing is happening with Iran it seems. Short term vs long term miscalculation in the middle of a war are grave mistakes.
Iran is yet again losing because it emphasize short term gains vs long term sustainable strategy.
Saudi Arabia is borrowing over 150 billion dollars this year, across the state, PIF, Aramco and the banks, to manufacture just 26 billion in growth. The IMF calls it resilience. It is contraction financed by debt. And every bond runs through Washington, exactly as Trump presses MBS to normalise with Israel.
My new piece on the trap MBS built, and why the bill has not yet come due.
https://t.co/fiII7JQIJw
Dua Lipa es Albanesa. Ganarle tomando sería como ganarle boxeando a un mexicano, haciendo jueguitos a un brasilero, o disparándole a niños a un israelí.
⚡️Update:
Gaza sources: Civil defense teams are continuing their attempts, using simple tools, to rescue 3 families trapped under rubble of the house that collapsed on families who fled cold tents to seek warmth in the previously Israeli bombed house in Sheikh Radwan, Gaza city.
A video from the bombed-out wedding scene in Gaza's turned school shelter has just emerged. People are dismembered. Their loved ones can't collect their body parts from the barbarity of the attack.
No outrage. No coverage. No condemnation. It just tells us what world we live in.