Pennsylvania Maps

Posting maps of PA with weird numbers of districts, & occasionally election analysis

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

The Fall Line is an ancient geological feature. Lined by a string of waterfalls, it divides the hills of the Piedmont region from the Atlantic coastal plain.

Now, the line is a near-perfect boundary between left-trending & right-trending areas in Metro Philly.

Why? A thread:

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

@admcrlsn Rabb’s state house district is 78% Black FWIW.

Interestingly, the best predictor of Rabb’s success in majority-Black divisions seems to be proximity to one of his progressive strongholds. Perhaps an outcome of his vaunted canvassing operation.

[Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @SageOfTime1]

The 2026 PA-03rd Congressional Democratic Primary, a contest between DSA Representative Chris Rabb, Former Dem Senate Leader Sharif Street, and Pediatric Surgeon Ala Stanford resulted in a strong 15% win for Rep. Rabb, besting both major moderate candidates.

[Uncrewed @Uncrewed]

Last week in #PA07, Pennsylvania Professional Firefighters Association President Bob Brooks was able to win the Democratic primary for this ultra-competitive district.

He won with 41% of the vote over three other candidates who had scattered support throughout the district.

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

@bigseb31213 Not my point. If he chose to comment people would listen. You’re forgetting what job Bob Brady held for two decades.

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

The kind of structural transformation Rabb is talking about might not happen this year, but it’s coming sooner than later. I don’t think folks have reckoned with how much influence Rabb will have in Philadelphia politics by 2030.

[Chris Rabb @chrisrabb]

Bob Brady and Philly’s Democratic machine are facing a reckoning.

Philly deserves better than the same broken politics failing working families.

It’s time for new leadership. We proved you can build a truly people-powered movement. This is the future Democrats must embrace.

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

@bigseb31213 You don’t think Brendan Boyle’s voice carries any weight in this city? Really?

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

Evans was pretty laid back when it came to engaging in Philadelphia politics, but clearly that will not be Rabb’s approach. He will use the bully pulpit of his Congressional seat to push for responsiveness and competence in the party, and they won’t be able to ignore him.

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

In Larry Krasner’s first primary win in 2017, Black voters were lukewarm on his candidacy. But once he got into office and started delivering, they became his strongest base of support.

It was a competitive race this time, but going forward I expect Rabb to sail to re-election.

[Uncrewed @Uncrewed]

In Pennsylvania on Tuesday, longtime Democratic incumbent Greg Vitali lost his #HD166 to Judy Trombetta.

Running on a platform of generational change and being backed by the Delaware County Democrats (over the 30+ year incumbent), Trombetta destroyed Vitali by 23 points.

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

@jongeeting @PA_Supremacist If we’re picking an at large CM make it Landau

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

@senortalone No just DRA colors

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

A factoid that will blow some minds -

PA-03 results with white-majority wards EXCLUDED:

🥇 Chris Rabb - 34,647 - 36.80%
🥈 Sharif Street - 33,220 - 35.29%
🥉 Ala Stanford - 24,437 - 25.96%

[Uncrewed @Uncrewed]

Onto Pennsylvania! With a popular Governor Shapiro at the top of the ticket, the Democrats look more likely to hold the State House and are getting closer to winning control of the State Senate.

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

Please do not do ecological fallacy with this! We have no way of knowing how any individual demographic voted

[sean kitchen @pennslinger]

Larry Krasner just posted a two minute video outside of the Philadelphia Democratic Committee HQ and called for the resignation of Bob Brady, who's been chair of the Philly Dems for 40 years.

Krasner called on Brady to follow Biden's footsteps and step aside.

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

Republicans are not contesting this district, 2024's closest in a chamber with a one-seat Dem majority

Tells you everything you need to know about expectations for November

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

🧵 on the decisive House District 172:

A New Kind of Pennsylvania Battleground (1/11)

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

Case in point, Street broke 60% in just one ward, the tiny 16th. Rabb broke 60% in six wards.

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

So what happened? Street won West Philly, but Rabb won Center City by even more. Meanwhile, Stanford held up pretty well, limiting Street's margin in his best wards. And progressive wards posted huge margins for Rabb.

[Pennsylvania Maps @PAMapper]

If either Center City or West Philly votes decisively for Street, that should be enough to win him the election. But if Rabb fights to a draw or close to it in both areas, I expect him to be headed to Congress.

[J.J. Abbott @jjabbott]

It may be occurring to people now how much more sophisticated, strategic and powerful the Philly organizing Left has become since 2023.