@imgrund We are working on a forecast of exactly this scenario @imgrund. We are looking at a couple of dates (April 18 May 2) and are retrospectively forecasting if it had not been removed on March 21. Keep an eye out at @pminshullscar1 for publication. Should be iteresting.
This shows the differential behavior of ICU vs Non-ICU. The single biggest support is accelerating 4th doses in the 60+. Our next forecast will outline that benefit. #HelpfulCovidFcsts
Hospitalizations are a Canada wide risk for Wave 6. In fact Ontario entered Wave 6 is as one of the best provinces. Manitoba, Sask and Alberta did not achieve much of a healthcare system recovery based on the lifting of PHM. #HelpfulCovidFcsts