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#BTC is ready for the first expansion phase since 2017 w.r.t. money supply M1.
BTC / M1 broke above a 6-year resistance, printed a new ATH, and is now bouncing after a second successful retest at 🔵
The setup looks strikingly similar to 2016.
2021 was consolidation...
Bitcoin has bottomed in the bear market exactly 23 months after each cycle’s ATH.
And we’re EXACTLY at month 23 right now.
So far, this $BTC pattern hasn’t missed once.
Position accordingly.
BREAKING 🚨: The World
The World reaches highest level of uncertainty in history, surpassing Covid, the Global Financial Crisis, and the Dot Com Bubble 👻🤯👀
🌍🗣️ The 10 most spoken languages in the world (total speakers)
1️⃣ English — 1.13B 2️⃣ Mandarin Chinese — 1.12B 3️⃣ Hindi — 615M 4️⃣ Spanish — 534M 5️⃣ French — 280M 6️⃣ Standard Arabic — 274M 7️⃣ Bengali — 265M 8️⃣ Russian — 258M 9️⃣ Portuguese — 234M 🔟 Indonesian — 199M
English isn’t the most native language — it’s the most adopted one.
Language power = population + influence.
Source: Ethnologue
#Bitcoin regarding ISM PMI
I’ve been asked about it a lot in comments and DMs, so here’s a quick look.
First off, calling ISM PMI “the business cycle” is wild.
Cherry-picking a single macroeconomic indicator and treating it as the cycle is, in economics, called proxy abuse.
That said, let’s look at the chart.
In 2013, 2016 and 2020, when PMI moved back above 50, Bitcoin showed a hidden bullish divergence.
Each time, a bull run followed.
Today?
PMI just crossed above 50 again but this time we have a regular bearish divergence instead.
Same indicator, different structure, probably different outcome.
There are now 8 bullish signs for Bitcoin now and 3 bearish signs.
1. ICM PMI indicator breakout about 50, that has always caused huge bull rallies of 12 months+
2. Golden cross in December, which has caused a 62.5% rally on average within 3 months
3. DXY dropping below $97, which has always caused 12 months bull rallies
4. Gold Top, which has always caused 12 month rallies
5. More rate cuts coming
6. 3 open CME gaps at $84k, $89k and $93k, which closed within 3 weeks 78% of the time
7. April support of $75k hit
Bearish signs
1. Tariff woes, though tariffs with stimulus checks or debt down payment are a tax on the corporations and the rich and redistributed to the poor and middle class, which stabilizes the economy and is bullish
2. The 4-year cycle theory, which signaled a top in October 2025 at $126k
That's why I'm positioned bullish.
However, I'm also not looking at the Bitcoin price, but at Bitcoin dominance and we have seen that we had lots of altcoin action for 4 years in a row from 2022-2025 when we went from $16,000 to $126,000, $SOL went 25x and even majors like $XRP $TRON $DOGE $SUI $TAO went 10x and a new 100x every month. $DEFIANT $KNET $COPY $GIGGLE $PCULE $KAS $MOG $RLB $POPCAT $MEW $GRIFFIN $BRETT $TURBO $MYRO $MICHI $PNUT $PEPE $WHITEWHALE $FARTCOIN $SPX $JELLYJELLY $SBR $NPC $USELESS $PENGUIN $RETARD $VINE $DORA $ACT $AURA $ELIZAOS $APU $CHILLGUY $4 $WOJAK $UFD $ZEREBRO $ALCH $AIXBT $PAAL
So you don't need an altseason, you just need to check CT and jump on anything that everybody shills while Bitcoin is going up.
I told you about $GOLD & $SILVER 2 days before the crash.
I called out this $BTC scenario and the level a few days ago.
Don't fade me right now.
↗️
It happened.
The first proper push into expansion we have had in over 3 years.
A reading for 52.6, well beyond anyones expectations.
This is a significant jump, and its not even just about Bitcoin.
This is not some arbitrary piece of data that means nothing... it is an assessment based on actual manufacturing reports and shows the economy is expanding, and thus, moving higher.
In the entirety of Bitcoins history, PMI has never pushed to 52.6 and it not resulted in:
1. It continuing to expand for at least 306 days - the average being 385 days.
2. Sparking the beginning of Bitcoins true expansion phase.
And this lines up with everything I have been saying for months now.
We are not in a bear market and will not be heading down for 10 months and getting a 75% retrace.
The cycle is gearing up for expansion, not at the end of it.
The fact is, we have not had a real bull cycle as of yet, and this has been clear within the PMI and liquidity.
This is the first cycle where Bitcoin made new ATHs in PMI and liquidity contraction, and it did it only because of institutional and government adoption.
Hence why it has been the weakest one ever.
But all of the pieces are coming together for the true bull phase to now get underway...
And most have totally given up and many even just laugh at this data now.
Not sure if the bottom is in yet, but if not it is close.
The targets ive had for years of $150k - $210k BTC and $10k+ on ETH still remain and will happen this year imo.