Friends and last-second gift seekers, a suggestion to grab my book “Football is a Numbers Game.” It is sorta about analytics but more about a group of football lovers who were trying to understand the sport better and ended up changing the game forever
https://t.co/Me7BG0rtIc
@QBRating@SethWalder@PFF PFF use humans who, in most cases have been doing this for 5+ yrs. ESPN use algorithms based on GPS tracking data. Definition of "win" and "double team" are crucial.
Why not pick a few games at random and look at the discrepancies on a play by play basis? Which is more accurate?
New #SelfPromotionTour podcast with PFF founder @PFF_Neil in which he explains how he became a football fan living in England, why he started PFF and details how the NFL shaped their grading system https://t.co/aKrKnLQ1vM
@mibpj2@JoeA_NFL I feel using EPA as a proxy for QB performance is similar to using yds/rush as a surrogate for running back play. Fundamentally, I don't think this is therefore "reasonable analysis".
FWIW, I "think" play-calling/scheme is the biggest confounder but great analysis could disprove.
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Stop wasting your money on other silly forms of creatine
@mibpj2@JoeA_NFL The more inferences you make, the more confounded the answer becomes and if someone (I'm not suggesting you) is already looking for evidence to justify their belief, then probably even more so. NB: "useless" is hyperbole.
@dlGgSyeTaGaiN @PFF_Sam @austingayle_ Love LA to visit, but the idea of paying $1M for a box, preposterous taxes, keeping my kids out of school for 2 years and sitting in traffic for hours to get anywhere is a heavy price to pay for a bit of snow.
@mibpj2@JoeA_NFL Well why spend time doing anything then? If you already know the answers it just seems like a waste of time. Self-justification is incredibly powerful in itself. If we REALLY wish to be scientific about this, we should use everything at our disposal against our bias.
@mibpj2 Anything that removes as much of the confounding information as possible: quality of scheme, receivers , OL etc.
EPA used to rate an individual will always be inaccurate as a result and most likely not fit for purpose when, say, differentiating among the top 5 QBs.