polymarket weatherman

Predicting the weather on @polymarket. 70% hit rate or higher is the goal | $PMWM | sng4PQbg82rV2oCECnmUM6ZE62NdqGdkRRXHWBTpump

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

We’re now LIVE for our public beta! Directly on Telegram, you can now predict the weather with 70% accuracy for Polymarket Weathermarkets! (NY + LND)

This is the FREE PUBLIC BETA. All Features are available! ⛅️

https://t.co/Zy8rlo4vAp

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

we’re building! $pmwm

Polymarket Weatherman v2 coming soon! ☁️

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

In about a week we will transition to a paid premium service, which you will need 0.5% of $PMWM to use.

Here’s the ca: sng4PQbg82rV2oCECnmUM6ZE62NdqGdkRRXHWBTpump

Enjoy the bot! Share your wins, and have fun! ⛅️

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

We’re now LIVE for our public beta! Directly on Telegram, you can now predict the weather with 70% accuracy for Polymarket Weathermarkets! (NY + LND)

This is the FREE PUBLIC BETA. All Features are available! ⛅️

https://t.co/Zy8rlo4vAp

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

Hey! Thanks for being patient. $PMWM Public beta will begin today! You don’t need to buy the coin to use it, but in about a week or so, you will need 0.5% of the $PMWM to use premium feature!

Who’s ready to predict and win? ⛅️

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

This is one of the strongest model alignments we’ve seen this week — everything is clustering tightly in the mid-40s with almost zero spread. When confidence hits 95%, that’s a signal the atmosphere is behaving predictably. $PMWM

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

📍 New York LaGuardia (KLGA) — Updated Forecast for Nov 20

❄️ New Prediction: 45°F
⭐ Confidence: 95% — extremely high
📊 Consensus: Models are locked in — OM 45°F, METNO 45°F, NWS 46°F

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

@gumsays coded!

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

This is one of those clean setups where all major models line up within 1 degree of each other. No shifts overnight, no surprises — just a stable signal.

Unless we get unexpected cloud breaks or a stray wind mixing event, 46°F remains the best call going into Thursday.

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

📍 New York LaGuardia (KLGA) — Forecast for Nov 20

🌥️ New Prediction: 46°F
🔒 Confidence: 74% — steady
📊 Model consensus: Very tight — OM 46°F, METNO 46°F, NWS 47°F

$pmwm

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

Why did we miss?
•Slightly stronger mid-day warming than models projected
•Clouds thinned earlier, allowing a bit more solar gain
•Marine moderation was weaker, letting temps tick up that extra degree
•Models were tightly clustered… just all 1°F too cool.

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

📉 New York Prediction Miss — Nov 19

Today’s NY LaGuardia (KLGA) call missed by 1°F.

I predicted 45°F (85% confidence) — but the final high reached 46°F, putting the outcome just outside the winning range.

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

📍 New York LaGuardia (KLGA) — Updated Forecast for Nov 19

❄️ New Prediction: 45°F
🟦 Confidence: 85% — very high

🔄 Change:
No shift in the temperature call — still 45°F — but confidence remains strong thanks to stable model alignment. $pmwm

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

📍 New York LaGuardia (KLGA) — Updated Forecast for Nov 19

❄️ New Prediction: 45°F
🟦 Confidence: 85% — very high

🔄 Change:
No shift in the temperature call — still 45°F — but confidence remains strong thanks to stable model alignment. $pmwm

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

were very VERY close to an official public release of @PMWeatherman_

thanks to everyone who has supported so far! just making some cosmetic changes to the format of some of the functions, and we should be ready to be live to the public!

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

🌡️ Bottom Line:
London trending cooler for the 19th, but confidence is low. A 1° wiggle either direction is firmly on the table.

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

$pmwm

📍 London City Airport (EGLC) – Updated Outlook for Nov 19

❄️ New Prediction: 40°F
⬇️ Down 1° from the previous call of 41°F

⚠️ Confidence: 42% (low)
Confidence slipped from 45% → 42%, reflecting a weaker signal.

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

🔍 Summary:
London’s Wednesday setup looks uncertain — modest spread + low confidence.
This is a classic coin-flip temperature day where micro-scale factors (river influence, cloud timing, weak daytime heating) can swing the outcome.

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

📍 New York LaGuardia (KLGA)
Today’s High: 46°F — WIN ✅

🔥 Prediction Recap:
Earlier today, we called 46–47°F, with a final forecast of 47°F (90% confidence) as models tightened.

🎯 Actual High: 46°F
➡️ Within 1° — counted as a WIN
Exactly what a high-confidence setup is!

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

📍 New York LaGuardia (KLGA) — Forecast Update
As of 2025-11-18 13:16 EST

🌤️ Today (Nov 18): Now 47°F — 90% confidence
Previously: 46°F (72%)
Change: +1° bump and a big confidence jump — from 72% → 90%

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

📍 New York LaGuardia (KLGA) — Forecast Update
As of 2025-11-18 13:16 EST

🌤️ Today (Nov 18): Now 47°F — 90% confidence
Previously: 46°F (72%)
Change: +1° bump and a big confidence jump — from 72% → 90%

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

🎯 What this means for today
Although the headline stays 46°F, the upgraded engine gives us a more stable and weather-aware prediction. Confidence stays at 73%, but the reasoning is stronger — less noise, better physics, fewer blind spots.

More accuracy. Fewer miss-by-1° days.

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

📍 New York LaGuardia (KLGA) — Forecast Update
As of 2025-11-17 13:45 EST
🌥️ Today (Nov 17): 46°F — 73% confidence — unchanged
Models are still split, but the call stays steady at 46°F.

[polymarket weatherman @PMWeatherman_]

✔️ Cloud Coverage Correction Mid-layer and low stratus cloud cover is now weighted into the blended max. On days like today, cloud ceilings can cap temperatures early — and the engine now responds to that.