James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis

Technical analyst since 1982 | Author of Pattern, Price & Time | Market analysis @FXEmpirecom
📖 Book: Articles:

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

The market looked at a hawkish Fed and decided the AI trade still matters more, driving the SOX to record highs just two days later. AI capex remains the catalyst, but earnings season is the risk that must justify these valuations. $SOX #TechStocks #AI

Full breakdown: @FXEmpirecom

https://t.co/ZEw1is0JTt

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

Last week's silver selloff was driven by capital flowing into dollars and Treasuries while physical demand from India, China, and Europe disappeared. As long as the DXY holds above 100 and yields stay elevated, $XAGUSD faces continued downside pressure despite strong industrial demand. #Silver #Macro

Full breakdown: @FXEmpirecom

https://t.co/lR8MGJfpAe

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

@CollinCorbett Chicago hosted in the 90's. Lost the Olympic too. I think several European countries are warning about traveling to Chicago. Maybe that's why 2 shooters unleashed a 100 rounds in Roseland last night, they were pissed about the the World Cup.

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

@so_ainsight My experience with neural nets 30 years ago is that the RSI was one of the worst inputs into a neural net if you gave it a fixed time period like 14 days. It's better to show a net or AI the equation and let it find the optimal time.

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

@Miami8128 @WallStreetApes Yes, there was a rush. Probably the minimum they could've done was looking at the 941 form. But then again, that could be faked easily.

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

The market absorbed a hawkish Fed because traders remain focused on resilient growth, solid earnings, and AI-driven demand. PCE inflation and $MU results are the next major catalysts, with any upside inflation surprise posing the biggest risk to current positioning. $MU #Fed #Stocks

Full breakdown: @FXEmpirecom

https://t.co/hTP5w8a9oJ

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

@Rainmaker1973 I see that even this impressive high technology can't avoid getting toilet paper stuck on its shoe.

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

The World Gold Council (WGC) and tracking by Visual Capitalist confirm that Turkey and Russia are indeed the dominant net sellers of gold in 2026. While global central banks overall remain net buyers on a structural level, a distinct group of nations has aggressively offloaded bullion this year to manage severe domestic economic crises.

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

@FXEmpirecom I'm a swing trader. I get the concept. Not sure what is going on here however.

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

Too many investors judge gold against the performance of $SPY or $QQQ and miss its real purpose. Gold isn't there to beat stocks during every bull market. It's there to preserve purchasing power when debt levels become unsustainable, currencies lose value, or confidence in financial assets begins to crack. What makes gold unique is that it isn't dependent on a government, central bank, CEO, earnings report, or someone else's promise to pay. In a world built on liabilities, gold remains one of the few assets that is nobody else's obligation. That's why I view it as insurance rather than an investment and why I think a 10% allocation makes sense for many investors. Large enough to matter when things go wrong, small enough that you never have to worry about timing it.
#Gold #Silver #Investing #WealthPreservation
@FXEmpirecom

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

The best part of the argument is the active-investing call. High rates, expensive mega-cap leadership, and narrow index concentration should create more winners and losers. That favors stock selection, balance-sheet quality, cash flow, and valuation discipline.

The weak part is the drama. Bonds are not automatically a bubble just because yields rose. A 4%–5% Treasury yield is also real income again. The better takeaway is this: the easy passive tailwind is weaker, the index is top-heavy, and the next decade may reward judgment more than blind buying.

[Stocktwits @Stocktwits]

The war when the market is closed vs open

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

The market is focused on whether today's storage data starts narrowing the inventory surplus, not where inventories stand today. A build below expectations could ignite short covering, while a print above 90 Bcf would keep sellers firmly in control. $NG #NaturalGas #EnergyFull breakdown:

@FXEmpirecom

https://t.co/P9n92jDtIF

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

Gold's rebound is being driven by lower inflation expectations, softer oil prices, and growing confidence that Fed policy could eventually ease. The real catalyst is Warsh's first Fed press conference, while a hawkish inflation message remains the biggest risk for $XAUUSD. #Gold #FOMC

Full breakdown: @FXEmpirecom

https://t.co/BPYDTKFAck

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

The Dow is leading while the Nasdaq struggles as strong spending data reinforces the case for a resilient economy and patient Fed policy. The real catalyst is Warsh's first Fed appearance, and the key risk is whether he signals concern about inflation and pushes rate-cut hopes further out. $DJI #Fed #Markets

Full breakdown: @FXEmpirecom

https://t.co/njdFNkJcOf

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

The market is repricing end-of-season storage risk as strong LNG demand and rising power burn threaten to erode today's surplus before winter arrives. Watch export flows and expanding heat forecasts closely—if both hold, the squeeze higher in $NG could continue despite comfortable current inventories. #NaturalGas #Energy

Full breakdown: @FXEmpirecom

https://t.co/xTD7hfLmMv

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

Markets have gone from pricing multiple Fed cuts to preparing for a possible rate hike as resilient employment and stubborn inflation force a complete reset in expectations. The real catalyst is strong labor data colliding with sticky prices, and the next trigger is whether upcoming CPI and payrolls keep the Fed locked into higher-for-longer policy. $SPY #FederalReserve #Inflation

Full breakdown: @FXEmpirecom

https://t.co/2c3MUGXmlo

[James A. Hyerczyk | Market Analysis @PPTReport]

Silver's rebound was driven by aggressive short-covering as falling oil prices challenged the inflation narrative supporting higher-for-longer Fed expectations. If Iran tensions stay contained and the Fed signals patience, buyers could press higher, but renewed geopolitical stress or a hawkish surprise would likely revive selling pressure. $XAGUSD #Silver #Fed

Full breakdown: @FXEmpirecom

https://t.co/gLKnvHfv4X