Economic moats are everything in investing.
Here's 10 of the most undervalued stocks in the market with the widest moats.
(THREAD🧵)
1. ASML | $ASML
P/S: 9.63x
P/E: 36.46x
Revenue Growth: (2%)
$ASML have a huge economic moat in terms of their technical advantage in EUV lithography. They also have suppliers that ONLY supply $ASML meaning no competitors can get hold of the tech that $ASML use and never will.
This is remarkable.
The giants of the U.S. economy are absolute cash machines.
Here’s their TTM net income (and Y/Y growth):
📱 $AAPL: $94B (-3%)
💾 $NVDA: $63B (+234%) 🚀
☁️ $MSFT: $91B (+17%)
📦 $AMZN: $50B (+148%)
🔎 $GOOG: $94B (+41%)
💬 $META: $56B (+87%)
⚡️ $TSLA: $13B (+18%)
👴🏻 $BRK.A: $107B (+39%)*
🏭 $TSM: $33B (+16%)
🦾 $AVGO: $5B (-63%)
*Note: Berkshire's net income includes unrealized gains from its massive investment portfolio.
These 10 alone earned $606B this year.
Will they continue to grow their profit at similar rates moving forward?
$HIMS my #1 equity position.
1. Amazing fundamentals on $HIMS. Below chart using analyst estimates through FY2025 and assuming EPS growth of 40% in 2025 vs. estimates of 13 to get a 0.8 PEG.
2. If market stays strong and $HIMS delivers next QTR I think we see it hitting this 1.0 fib extension (Green horizontal line) which is also the measured move to $43.
3. This is one I plan on holding long-term and could see $125 or 5X the market cap in the next 3-5 years behind continued strong topline growth.
7 Key Points You Need to Know About
$NKE Nike Stock: 👟
1. Nike is Trading at Historically Low Valuations
Nike’s price-to-cash-flow ratio is 14.46, significantly lower than its historical range of 20-30. This suggests the stock could be undervalued relative to its past metrics.
2. Hedge Fund Manager Bill Ackman is Betting Big
Bill Ackman increased his Nike holdings by 435% last quarter, making it 11.15% of his portfolio.
This move reflects confidence from a seasoned investor known for successful picks like Chipotle and Google.
3. Sharp Decline in Stock Price
Nike's share price has dropped 29% over the past year and 17.6% over the past five years. The stock, once trading above $170, now sits around $76-66.
4. High Starting Yield
Nike recently raised its dividend by 8.1%, and its current dividend yield is the highest in 10 years. With a sustainable payout ratio of 32.7%, Nike has room to maintain and grow dividends.
5. Balance of Dividends and Share Buybacks
In the most recent quarter, Nike returned $1.76 billion to shareholders through $558 million in dividends and $1.2 billion in share buybacks.
6. Challenges with Revenue and China Exposure
Nike's revenues fell 10% year-over-year, and its diluted EPS dropped by 26%. Additionally, the company’s exposure to China, which accounts for 15% of revenue and 33% of operating income, poses risks amid economic uncertainty.
7. A Potential Turnaround Story
Despite short-term challenges, Nike maintains strong brand recognition, solid return on invested capital, and a track record of success. With growth potentially resuming in 2026, some investors view this as a long-term buying opportunity.
Here's my updated systematic approach to my growth portfolio 🧐
🌳 Bonsai | $PLTR, $NVDA, $TSLA, $TMDX, $AMZN, $AXON, $NET
• These companies, in their prime growth stages with the strongest competitive moats, have a proven track record of disruption and market leadership. (~50% of portfolio)
💼 Core | $SNOW, $CRWD, $MDB, $MELI, $TTD, $ASML
• The sturdy backbone of my portfolio -- offering steady growth within secular trends. (~34% of portfolio)
💎 Mini-Monsters | $GLBE, $RKLB, $DOCN, $U
• These companies are carving out moats within niches of highly secular growth themes and possess significant potential for expansion. (~13% of portfolio)
🚀 Moonshots | $JMIA, $IONQ
• The high-risk, high-reward segment of my portfolio. Typically, these companies are relatively small and operate within emerging industries -- this is where the adage "don't invest what you can't afford to lose" truly applies. (~3% of portfolio)