Isolated, each centre's forced-selling spiral fades: London 88p on the £1, euro area 96p, US ~98p.
Linked by their ten documented channels: £1.11. Doesn't fade.
The BoE's toolkit has a gap exactly where the exposure moved — dollars to non-banks.
New pamphlet via Long Finance.
July CPI: +0.1% m/m, 3.4% y/y — in line with expectations.
Wage growth (3.2%) is still running below inflation. Shelter costs did two-thirds of the monthly increase.
Fed rate-hike calls are getting louder regardless of the "in-line" print.
Source:https://t.co/9bQ0cOtbxx
Our June stress runs: a 10–20% haircut to GPU residual values pushed ~95% of the GPU-backed debt complex toward model distress via LTV covenants. One shock marks down the collateral; a rate repricing raises the cost of carrying it.
A curve twist is a macro signal. It's also a credit input. The AI build-out runs on debt collateralised by rapidly depreciating GPUs — and that chain is most vulnerable to exactly this kind of common-factor shock.
A curve twist is a macro signal. It's also a credit input. The AI build-out runs on debt collateralised by rapidly depreciating GPUs — and that chain is most vulnerable to exactly this kind of common-factor shock.
Congrats to our founder & CEO Yuan Gao — Chinese Woman of the Year in Entrepreneurship 2025 (UK Chinese Women Connect Association) 🎉
Pangura builds trusted AI infrastructure for institutional finance and government: every output traceable to its inputs, assumptions & reasoning.
Iran just rejected the Oman Hormuz proposal, hours after a missile strike ended the pause.
Markets are reading this as an oil story. It's also an AI-infrastructure story.
Energy shock → grid tightening → datacenter opex up → Gulf sovereign-AI defence assumptions break
Iran just rejected the Oman Hormuz proposal, hours after a missile strike ended the pause.
Markets are reading this as an oil story. It's also an AI-infrastructure story.
Energy shock → grid tightening → datacenter opex up → Gulf sovereign-AI defence assumptions break
A new UK government doesn't just create political risk — it creates a collateral-chain question.
Gilts sit at the center of the UK system. 2022 showed how fast a fiscal shock becomes a stability event.
Burnham's real test: investable assets, or liabilities that reprice UK risk?
A new UK government doesn't just create political risk — it creates a collateral-chain question.
Gilts sit at the center of the UK system. 2022 showed how fast a fiscal shock becomes a stability event.
Burnham's real test: investable assets, or liabilities that reprice UK risk?
Reserves are near the $3.0tn "lowest comfortable level." With the RRP buffer gone, new issuance now lands directly on reserves — right into the June–July refinancing wall we identified: https://t.co/P94mkONIwU
@NewYorkFed: the reverse-repo facility — once a $2.5tn buffer absorbing Treasury issuance without touching bank reserves — has drained to $30M. We flagged this in our report: https://t.co/P94mkONIwU
@NewYorkFed: the reverse-repo facility — once a $2.5tn buffer absorbing Treasury issuance without touching bank reserves — has drained to $30M. We flagged this in our report: https://t.co/P94mkONIwU
Export controls extended from chips to cloud access and model weights — a shift we mapped in June. WSJ now reports OpenAI and Anthropic execs warning on Chinese open-weight models — same control chain, reversed. Same mechanism, different side of the valve. https://t.co/sSkOkfiabK
Silicon Valley and Washington are debating a multibillion-dollar question: Should American companies be able to use Chinese artificial-intelligence models? https://t.co/9EyomEfj5Y via @WSJ
Silicon Valley and Washington are debating a multibillion-dollar question: Should American companies be able to use Chinese artificial-intelligence models? https://t.co/9EyomEfj5Y via @WSJ