Past The Eye Test

Data visualization and analysis for baseball 📊. I do hockey stuff sometimes, too. Baysox Rotation superfan.

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

The biggest update since launch has been passed to the public build of https://t.co/nN9yb6sX45. Here's what changed (🧵):

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

Evan Phillips (signed for 3/$35M) is heading to Atlanta. Atlanta makes a savvy splash, betting on Phillips's supreme stuff and execution. A 25.5% K-BB% with 3 pitches in the ++ range. Atlanta's already elite bullpen may have just vaulted themselves to the top of the MLB bullpen rankings.

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

@osv_38 This is proper trolling

[The WARmonger @TheWARmonger_]

Walls' fielding card from @PastTheEyeTest. You can see the disparity in what Statcast thinks of Walls vs. what DRS/BP think. It's all about the positioning and play style. Curious to see if the infield OAA rework this offseason changes things:

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

The 2 names I could see the public being wrong currently are Freddy Peralta and Ryan Jeffers.

Nobody in this class are quite on Alonso or Cease's level and I don't think this level of output is feasible for any 2027 non-Skubal FA, but I think Peralta could put up 3-4 WAR and Jeffers could be a 130 wRC+ bat again.

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

I remember when many people yelled from the rooftops that Pete Alonso and Dylan Cease were the 2 most overpaid players of the 2026 offseason.

A year later, they both posted 5+ fWAR and were the only 2026 Free Agents to make the All-MLB 1st team.

Of the 2026 Free Agent class, they were both the best in my batting and pitching predictive models for 2025, and were both the best in actual batting and pitching production for 2026. A reminder that teams do not pay players for what they have done, but for what they will do.

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

@liquidtrading @SH1TTH3B3DN4R 😭😭😭

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

@Iletmykpop #TantalizedForToboni 👀

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

(plot for Cease only shows SP)

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

I remember when many people yelled from the rooftops that Pete Alonso and Dylan Cease were the 2 most overpaid players of the 2026 offseason.

A year later, they both posted 5+ fWAR and were the only 2026 Free Agents to make the All-MLB 1st team.

Of the 2026 Free Agent class, they were both the best in my batting and pitching predictive models for 2025, and were both the best in actual batting and pitching production for 2026. A reminder that teams do not pay players for what they have done, but for what they will do.

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

Why what happened

[The Spectator Index @spectatorindex]

BREAKING: NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang resigns

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

Andrés Machado (NPB) is now a free agent and eligible to sign with any MLB team. He had a 20% K-BB% in Japan this year and posted a ridiculous 1.20 ERA.

He had a 34.7% K-BB% in the 2026 WBC, with some absolutely ludicrous stuff numbers. A savvy team would pick him up on a multi-year deal.

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

:D

[Jeff Passan @JeffPassan]

BREAKING: First baseman Pete Alonso and the Baltimore Orioles are finalizing a five-year, $155 million contract, sources tell ESPN. Alonso leaves the Mets to make a loaded AL East even better.

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

Gabriel Moreno is named to the all-MLB 1st team! A batting title and named the best catcher in baseball!

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

Did it get chilly in here? The Polar Bear, Pete Alonso, is MLB's best 1B for 2026, named to the All-MLB 1st team. He had a banner season in his 1st year in Birdland!

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

And All-MLB 1st team!

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

Louis Varland is your 2026 AL Reliever of the year! His high octane stuff paired with his newly found control led to him pacing all AL relievers in fWAR.

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

All-MLB 1st team!

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

Mason Miller is your 2026 NL Reliever of the year. A sub-2 in all ERA predictors and ERA with a 37.9% K-BB% will do that.

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

And All-MLB 1st team!

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

The best hitter in baseball is awarded the Edgar Martinez Award. The soon-to-be MVP Yordan Alvarez is named the best DH in baseball!

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

Ok not doing all the pitchers

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

The best hitter in baseball is awarded the Edgar Martinez Award. The soon-to-be MVP Yordan Alvarez is named the best DH in baseball!

[Past The Eye Test @PastTheEyeTest]

This is the worst thing ever can they just hand the awards out