Patarames

Open source (-only) military technology analyst
Iran/Russia/China/DPRK/Israel

Via YouTube-Channel membership

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

My YouTube-Channel Deep Dive Defense
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[Patarames @Pataramesh]

@simpatico771 He said "go after", meaning creating a land connection by taking the Baltic states

Nick is too advanced geostrategic thinker to have meant anything else, he expects people to be aware of it

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

@AnarchoCatalyst Iran decided to go for campaign that would result in its political goals achieved, with least losses.

Doing that to Israel would have escalated the scope of the war

➡️ Minimum investment for biggest outcome

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

After the 'intentional leak' of Iran's new long-range land attack cruise-missile, today Israel's response:
Super-Ice

Both missiles are next-gen designs, with the main role to decrease cost and multiple redundant guidance systems like TERCOM + DSMAC + image correlation
➡️ Robustness against jamming of GNSS and communication links

[Emanuel (Mannie) Fabian @manniefabian]

Israel's Rafael defense contractor unveils this morning a new long-range cruise missile, with a much larger warhead and an extended range compared to its predecessors.

The Super Ice missile is capable of carrying a 1,000-pound warhead, compatible with the Mark 83 bomb, and supports being launched from different platforms, including fighter jets, naval vessels, and ground-based launchers, "providing maximum operational flexibility," according to the firm.

Previous cruise missiles developed by Rafael, including Ice Breaker and Sea Breaker, were capable of carrying 250lb warheads, with ranges of up to 300 kilometers.

Rafael does not disclose the range of Super Ice, but says it was "designed to address complex operational requirements and engage high-value strategic targets across challenging environments and extended operational ranges."

"The missile incorporates advanced capabilities, including robust autonomous navigation, low-altitude terrain-following flight, all-weather operation and high-precision engagement of diverse targets," the firm says.

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

@AmirIGM The key breakthrough necessary for such a missile is a low-cost higher thrust engine

It has much more drag and needs to fly most of the flight at low altitude

Paveh-1 and -2 were kinematic wonders given their low cost engines.
This one goes beyond that

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

This level is beyond high antenna count CRPA GPS receivers

It uses an radar altimeter combined with a infrared camera, both scanning the terrain autonomously

If one sensor input is jammed, the other takes over with the last backup being the CRPA GNSS receiver

A serious level of robustness, transforming a subsonic kinematically handicapped missile into a penetrative asset

The Iranian "Paveh-3" (?) has additionally to that serious stealth capabilities, with LO shaping to counter fighters trying to intercept it from above

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

@ktehnlol Remains to be seen

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

Iran is playing it smart (as usual):

The thousands of produced Kheybar-Shekan boosters get Fattah-1 propelled Hypersonic Glider

The Kheybar-Shekan Gliders are then replacing the MaRV on the Haj-Qassem missile

➡️ Improving missile-defense penetration, without newly produced boosters and that very significantly

In that way the solid propellant booster bottleneck created due to the War is elegantly mitigated.
At least until the underground tunnel production is also applied on solids instead of liquids as right now.

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

@CONVAlR Yes, the same

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

Nice wording

Iran ist still trying its best to lure 🇺🇸-🇮🇱 into another attack

➡️ Well aware of the huge concessions it could get when the opponents cross the 'out of interceptors' red line

You play your strength and in Iran's case that's
Missiles Missiles Missiles

[Fars News Agency @EnglishFars]

Security Chief Calls on US to ‘Surrender’ to Iran's Seven Conditions
https://t.co/KxSrZOEB1g

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

🔴 Breaking:
Iran has unveiled a new stealthy long-range cruise-missile

A new Paveh version with low-observable shaping and low mounted wings

➡️ Already volume produced and not yet used operationally as far as known

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

@BenTzionMacales @hey_itsmyturn Its well known that liquid propellant BM's are built in underground tunnel complexes (inert)

Its the wartime insurance

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

But Lil Marco, you need expert workforce and good universities to build advanced weapons like Iran does

[Clash Report @clashreport]

Marco Rubio on Iran:

When Obama gave Iran sanctions relief, they didn't use that money to build hospitals and universities.

They used that money to build weapons.

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

@MarkAmesExiled The art is to cause you opponent to become arrogant towards you

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

@WilliamBoutros Decades of experience, secret knowledge/breakthroughs and super strict protocols

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

@hmdmosavi KH-101-JASSM'ized Paveh (low cost)

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

@Bahraniyah JASSM input is very probable

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

🔴 Breaking:
Iran has unveiled a new stealthy long-range cruise-missile

A new Paveh version with low-observable shaping and low mounted wings

➡️ Already volume produced and not yet used operationally as far as known

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

Top mounted engine nacelle is gone.
Now its integrated in the airframe.

The whole wedge layout and JASSM sourced materials knowledge and techniques
➡️ Transform the Paveh to a difficult target for the fighter-jet's trying to intercept it
(look-down of a LO target against ground)

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

@AbatNom Possible

[Patarames @Pataramesh]

@clanonn Yes its that