๐ง AI Engineer ๐ Fantasy, Contests & Sports Betting ๐จโ๐ป Building My AI Prediction Model Suite ๐โณ๏ธโพ๏ธ๐ค ๐ Follow for Free Picks, Insights & Education ๐๐ป
PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings
โณ๏ธ PGA Championship
Since there is only 1 PGA event in the alst 10 years at Aronimink (2018), I bumped up the SG filters for PGA Champiosnhip cumualtive history as well as Majors history instead.
Haven't fully decided on my 3rd, but I do like taking both Ludvig Aberg and Patrick Cantlay here.
Probably not worth burning Scottie. I might take a shot on Mi Woo Lee, Nicolai Hojgaard or say fuck it and just take Bryson ๐คฎ
PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings
โณ๏ธ Truist Championship
Still deciding who I want to pull the trigger on.
I don't have any Si Woo left, he feels like a good shot for low ownership plays.
JT as well, has player well at this course.
Hard to trust Fleetwood right now, but he should have a safe floor and good leverage.
PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings
โณ๏ธ Truist Championship
Still deciding who I want to pull the trigger on.
I don't have any Si Woo left, he feels like a good shot for low ownership plays.
JT as well, has player well at this course.
Hard to trust Fleetwood right now, but he should have a safe floor and good leverage.
PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings
โณ๏ธ Cadillac Championship
Bumped the Venue Form Signal all the way down to 0% because Trump National Doral Miami has not been on tour since 2016.
Model loves all the chalk options in what's a relatively weak field for a Signature event. Not a bad time to deploy Scottie.
Pat's Picks (3 entries)
๐ฏ Scottie Scheffler
๐ฏ Collin Morikawa
๐ฏ Russell Henley
PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings
โณ๏ธ Cadillac Championship
Bumped the Venue Form Signal all the way down to 0% because Trump National Doral Miami has not been on tour since 2016.
Model loves all the chalk options in what's a relatively weak field for a Signature event. Not a bad time to deploy Scottie.
Pat's Picks (3 entries)
๐ฏ Scottie Scheffler
๐ฏ Collin Morikawa
๐ฏ Russell Henley
@TheRealMcCoy_84 I am really hoping that continually saving him gets me a high leverage win later on and I only have 2/3 left after using 1 at the Masters.
PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings
โณ๏ธ RBC Heritage
Important to note that Collin is still battling his back injury. But he seemed to get through the mental block from round 1 at the Masters finishing with 3 great rounds.
I will be taking a shot on him as I need to pick up ground on the field.
Similar profile to Rory with injury concerns last week, he will be lower owned and it's a great opportunity to use a top player in a high leverage spot.
With a $20 Million dollar purse I want to target lower owned studs in this one.
Pat's Picks (3 entries)
๐ฏ Collin Morikawa
๐ฏ Ludvig Aberg
๐ฏ Tommy Fleetwood
@TheRealMcCoy_84 Certainly canโt argue with taking Scottie. Great course for him. I do think his ownership could be even higher than projected though with what just happened at the most publicly viewed tournament of the year.
PGA One-and-Done Algo Rankings
โณ๏ธ The Masters (4/9/26)
2 tweaks for this week that I am testing. If I get them working trustworthy enough I will update.
๐ง Clutch Factor (NEW) โ How each player's weekend performance compares to their own baseline, weighted toward major championship Saturdays/Sundays and top-10 contention rounds.
๐ฆ Par 5 Scoring (NEW) โ Augusta's four reachable par 5s separate contenders from the field. This metric is a blend of 2026 Par 5 scoring with Masters Par 5 history.
The more I think about it, I feel like Scottie might be 10%+ owned here. I really want to pick him, and since I have 3 entries I think I am going to. But the other two picks both better value imo.
Pat's Picks
๐ฏ Xander Schauffele
๐ฏ Matt Fitzpatrick
๐ฏ Scottie Scheffler
PGA OAD Ownership Projections
โณ๏ธ Masters Tournament
1๏ธโฃ 18.6% Jon Rahm (0% used)
2๏ธโฃ 11.4% Bryson DeChambeau (0% used)
3๏ธโฃ 9.3% Xander Schauffele (17% used)
4๏ธโฃ 8.8% Scottie Scheffler (33% used)
5๏ธโฃ 7.3% Cameron Young (21% used)
6๏ธโฃ 5.8% Matt Fitzpatrick (35% used)
7๏ธโฃ 5.8% Tommy Fleetwood (33% used)
8๏ธโฃ 5.7% Ludvig Aberg (25% used)
9๏ธโฃ 4.9% Rory McIlroy (25% used)
๐ 4.4% Patrick Reed (0% used)
Welp here we are! MASSIVE Prize Pool up for grabs in OAD.
I feel generally confident in these ownership numbers, but bear in mind this is a very hard thing to project for with top LIV players only getting to play in the 4 Majors. Plus McIlroy and Morikawa playing through injuries.
I don't plan to be too contrarian here, big dogs win the Masters.
2.5% Min Woo Lee (16% used)
1.8% Robert MacIntyre (15% used)
0.7% Justin Rose (14% used)
0.6% Hideki Matsuyama (42% used)
0.5% Russell Henley (47% used)
0.5% Akshay Bhatia (1% used)
0.4% Si Woo Kim (60% used)
0.4% Jake Knapp (33% used)
0.4% Jacob Bridgeman (22% used)
0.4% Collin Morikawa (48% used)