Paul

[John Piper @JohnPiper]

“Your prophets have seen for you
false and deceptive visions;
they have not exposed your iniquity
to restore your fortunes.” Lamentations 2:14

Why should prophets expose our iniquity?

To restore our fortunes.

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@13arm13arm :-(. Hopefully not for long

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@LiberalAus You left X, that’s a strange thing to do. Were you trying to virtue signal something?

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@KiwiEV This is an amazing feeling, especially with petrol so high, I feel somewhere between smug and guilty filling up for a couple of dollars.

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@techAU This will be another great location. Great to see these bigger sites

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@AusPoll6 Last 2 years of yougov polls for reference

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@13arm13arm Yes, nowhere near as impressive

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@AusPoll6 For the visual people

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@AusPoll6 Visual representation over the last 2 years by grok

[Paul @PaulManser20]

Grok says

Andrew Hastie resigned from the Coalition frontbench as shadow home affairs minister on 3 October after being told he would not lead immigration policy. That public split highlighted Coalition divisions on migration numbers, housing pressure and net-zero energy policy. https://t.co/YV0UT8UEZG
Polls released in early-to-mid October (including a Redbridge survey conducted 25 September–7 October) showed One Nation’s primary vote rising to around 13–14 percent, more than double its May 2025 election result of 6.4 percent. Analysts at the time linked the movement to voter frustration over high net overseas migration, housing costs and the Coalition’s post-election disarray under Sussan Ley. https://t.co/YV0UT8UEZG
Mid-month reports also circulated that Barnaby Joyce was in talks with Pauline Hanson, coinciding with One Nation launching a New England branch in Tamworth on 18 October after local Nationals members defected. Those stories amplified the sense that the Coalition’s right flank was leaking. https://t.co/g70w3iz7Zx
The graph therefore captures a period when immigration and Coalition infighting became highly salient, rather than a sudden international shock. Later events (such as the December 2025 Bondi attack) contributed to further gains, but the initial October inflection was already underway.

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@AusPoll6 Handy graphs by grok of the changes in federal voting intentions over the last 2 years. Very interesting

[Tesla Australia & New Zealand @TeslaAUNZ]

FSD Supervised safety results from the last 12 months

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@AusPoll6 Here is one over the last year

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@AusPoll6 Here is a better grouped one

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@AusPoll6 @gork can you put one nation and the coalition at the bottom and the greens and all at the top with other in the middle

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@AusPoll6 For the visual people

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@sam_mz20 Hope you right 🤞

[Paul @PaulManser20]

@owenthcarey Coding in Australia

[Stuart McCarthy @StuartMcCarthy_]

Defence's $432,541 p/a Dep Sec Security & Estate Celia Perkins pulls out the "I often find your questioning ... distressing" victim card when asked to provide yes or no answers by Senator David Shoebridge during a public inquiry hearing on Friday. #auspol