PaxCS2

CS investor and player | Economics student | Sharing insights on the CS market.

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

The Fracture case is the most likely case next to enter the rare drop pool.

In the following points, I will explain why I believe the Fracture case is the next to be removed. I will also compare it to the Recoil case, which is the other strong candidate.

🧵THREAD 📷 :

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

Didnt expect them to remove Train 2025 over Overpass 2024. Train 2021 have some great skins and not insane supply. Hard not to see Overpass 2024 be removed in fall 2026.

[CS2 @CounterStrike]

Not mentioned in the Release Notes, leaving soon from the Armory:

- Train 2025 Collection
- Sport & Field Collection
- Sugarface 2 stickers
- Elemental Craft stickers

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

5. Float Caps & Trade-Up Math
The float limits of the skins (e.g. if a skin's float is capped between 0.00 and 1.00 or restricted to a narrower range). This determines the mathematical odds of hitting Factory New (FN).

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

What Makes a CS2 Collection a Good Investment?When evaluating a CS2 collection for long-term investment, its value ultimately comes down to trade-up demand and market scarcity. Here is exactly what you need to look at:

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

4. Total Supply

The overall availability and circulating supply of the items on the market. Lower supply naturally drives up the price over time.

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

I think the chance for this is like 10% tbh. Very small likelihood for this.

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

I'm having second thoughts. "–Arabesque Art and Arabian Mythology" = new dust2 collection? Would make a lot more sense rather than a new Anubias collection. A dust2 refresh coming?

[Ozzny @Ozzny_CS2]

Valve changed the Xbox on Dust_2 in last night's update, but quickly reverted it back to the old one

It wasn't mentioned in the release notes either so it likely wasn't intentional... it was either a very weird glitch or it could be part of a future update 🤔

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

The current dust2 collection from Sep 2021 and its almost 5 years old and almost 2 years older than the anubias collection. Valve has in the past, removed a map, then added it and kept the same collection.

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

@noah_cs2 @TechsavvyCS No, not gonna happen. Valve makes its decision based on maximising profit.

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

You can say a lot about Saylor, but this is how you should think and invest when it comes to CS items "The only way you make a 10-100x your money is if you pick the right thing and everbody disagrees with you" - MS. Good examples: patches and agents.

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

There is an obvious investment that is rising in price quickly, but it's overlooked, which will make it a good investment in the end. I look forward to seeing when skin YouTubers will begin to create videos about it.

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

From my observations, the consensus is to buy 2024 Overpass and S&F collection skins. It's also expected by most that these skins will pump if they are annocuned removed as removed items did in late 2025. This makes me think it will not happen, at least not to the same degree...

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

But the cs market is pretty retarded, so they will probably pump. A good example of how smart the current market is, e.g. the price movement of Sealed Genesis Terminal and the D&N case.

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

Slowly but surely the price of the Five-SeveN Heat Treated FN keeps going up. It's a slept on skin. If it gets removed next update, it will pop nicely.

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

"–Arabesque Art and Arabian Mythology"

"AK-47 | Gold ARABESQUE" dust2 2021 collection😅🧐🤔

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

@jayadinesh28 Since we just got new golds, I don't think a new case will be coming this update. Also, since they tease two very specific collections, I think it's just two collections. These are my thoughts, and everything can happen, so only time will tell about cases future.

[PaxCS2 @PaxCS2]

@jayadinesh28 Cases earn them a lot of money, so I definitely think they will stay - they will only remove them if they are forced to. As it is right now, I am thinking cases would only be an armory thing, because people would have to buy a case consciously if they want to open it.