$KEYS: 81.6 | $CLH: 65.7
Best non-holding: $GLW 88.2
$GLW leads lowest rotation slot by 22.5 points
Rotation triggered: No.
$KEYS up 67% YTD. Drone and comms demand driving the move.
Auto investing across VOO, CAR, and SCHD on Monday. System doesn't need me to guess.
@KobeissiLetter New all time high.
Six weeks ago the same index was pricing in a recession,
a naval blockade, and rates on hold until 2027.
Markets are weird.
Friday Momentum Scan
$CAR: 100.0 | $KEYS: 74.8 | $CLH: 61.3
Best non-holding: $TFX 88.1
$TFX leads lowest holding by 26.8 points
Rotation triggered: Yes.
The logic says rotate. The strategy says hold. $TFX earnings are coming up. No rotating until we see the results.
$CAR up 300%+ YTD. Trailing stop triggered at -33%.
$KEYS up 37% YTD on AI momentum. Auto buying weekly and letting it run.
@KobeissiLetter $36 billion sold in March. $9.7 billion bought back in one week.
Institutional investors don't time the market perfectly either.
They just have bigger checkbooks to fix their mistakes.
Tuesday Momentum Scan
$CAR: 98.0 | $KEYS: 76.1 | $CLH: 71.1
Best non-holding: $GLW 87.2
$GLW leads lowest holding by 16.1 points
Rotation triggered: No.
$CAR up 375% YTD. It's the #8 best-performing stock in the US.
$KEYS up 64% on AI demand. Auto-buying all three. No swaps needed.
@KobeissiLetter $428 billion in buyback authorizations.
Companies buying their own stock at record highs
right after a historic short squeeze.
Bold timing.
Monday Momentum Scan
$CAR: 98.4 | $KEYS: 80.9 | $CLH: 73.6
Best non-holding: $GLW 90.0
$GLW leads lowest holding by 16.4 points (trailing)
Rotation triggered: No.
$CAR up 285% YTD and ranked 4th best in April. The momentum is real.
$KEYS gained 65% on AI/semiconductor demand. Letting both run.
@KobeissiLetter The Fed stopped sending money to the Treasury in 2022.
That's $210 billion that didn't go to the government
while interest rates were at their highest in decades.
Rate hikes have a cost. This is part of it.
@Polymarket Third straight week of 3%+ gains.
Only happened twice since 1950.
The market spent 7 weeks pricing in the end of the world
and 3 weeks taking it back.
@KobeissiLetter $7 trillion in 3 weeks on a ceasefire that hasn't become a deal yet.
Markets price in resolution fast.
They reprice just as fast if Sunday's talks fall apart.
@KobeissiLetter 3 page peace plan. $20 billion. Uranium shipped to a third country.
The market has been pricing in this deal for two weeks.
Sunday tells us if it was right.
@KobeissiLetter Strait of Hormuz back open for commercial vessels.
The entire inflation trade from the last 6 weeks
starts unwinding from here.
CPI at 3.3% was the peak. Watch April's number.
@Polymarket The price of ending the Iran War is apparently $20 billion.
The price of not ending it is 4% CPI,
a naval blockade, and rates on hold until 2027.
Seems like a deal worth taking.