Peaky Props

No blinders. Just data-driven player props across the NBA, WNBA & NFL that beat the books 💪

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Run The Ball🏈

Cam Skattebo o14.5 Rush Attempts
(-113 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- We seen last week Singletary cannot be trusted to get sole work in the run game. He had an abysmal 1.5 yards per carry.

- Giants get Skattebo back here. Coming back from a hamstring injury but is all good to go here. Giants were pursuing a RB at the deadline so hard to see how Skat won't be motivated for this one.

- Over this line in 4/6 games this year with at least 10% of the snaps. Missed the last time these teams played but New York was trailing by two scores for most of the 2nd half.

- No Tyrone Tracy or Najee Harris who took snaps off him last time. 74% chance of rain on the forecast, we all know when the rain comes the best way to secure the ball is on the ground.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Run The Ball🏈

Cam Skattebo o14.5 Rush Attempts
(-113 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- We seen last week Singletary cannot be trusted to get sole work in the run game. He had an abysmal 1.5 yards per carry.

- Giants get Skattebo back here. Coming back from a hamstring injury but is all good to go here. Giants were pursuing a RB at the deadline so hard to see how Skat won't be motivated for this one.

- Over this line in 4/6 games this year with at least 10% of the snaps. Missed the last time these teams played but New York was trailing by two scores for most of the 2nd half.

- No Tyrone Tracy or Najee Harris who took snaps off him last time. 74% chance of rain on the forecast, we all know when the rain comes the best way to secure the ball is on the ground.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Sweat free winner again! Franz had 19 in the 1st half and is up to 26 and counting in the 3rd🔥

❤️Like if you Tailed!

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Put The Ball In The Basket🧺

Franz Wagner o23.5 Points
(-118 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- Back to back 30+ point performances for Franz, finally found his scoring grove and like to see him continue that in this spot.

- Over this line in just 4/8 games since Paulo went down but the volume has been there averaging 18.5 FGA + 6 FTA. Now gets arguable his best scoring matchup of the bunch against the Jazz.

- Over the L10 games the Jazz are allowing the most PPG to opposing PnR Ball Handlers and the 2nd highest frequency of shots within 10 FT. This accounts for both Franz's highest areas of production. They are also 23rd vs opposing forwards points allowed.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

We got an efficient night out of the rookie, he made all 4 of his shots to give us a sweat free 1st half cash🔥

❤️Like if you Tailed!

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

We got an efficient night out of the rookie, he made all 4 of his shots to give us a sweat free 1st half cash🔥

❤️Like if you Tailed!

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Trust The Rookie👶

Meleek Thomas o8.5 Points
(-103 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- With a 100% hit rate this season, this line does feel like a bit of a trap but I'm going to bite on the rookie. Over this line in 8/8 games this season averaging 13 PPG.

- You may think it is because of high efficiency but he's actually getting decent volume/ opportunity. 20.9% usage rate to go along with 10.4 FGA per game.

- Matchup against the Knicks who he scored 9 against 2 games ago on a healthy 10 FGA. 54% of his points come from C&S opportunities in which the Knicks are allowing the 3rd highest frequency over the L10 games.

- Knicks on a B2B and the Cavs don't have Merill and potentially no Tyson. Thomas was one of the lone bright spots against the Hornets, would like to think he's carved out close to 25 minutes here.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Peaky's Picks 11/11🪽
❤️Like if Tailing Any!

- Franz Wagner o23.5 Points (-118)
- Meleek Thomas o8.5 Points (-103)
- Cameron Boozer o16.5 Points (-113)
- Day'Ron Sharpe o7.5 Rebounds (-115)
- Walker Kessler o24.5 PR (-113)

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Peaky's Picks 11/11🪽
❤️Like if Tailing Any!

- Franz Wagner o23.5 Points (-118)
- Meleek Thomas o8.5 Points (-103)
- Cameron Boozer o16.5 Points (-113)
- Day'Ron Sharpe o7.5 Rebounds (-115)
- Walker Kessler o24.5 PR (-113)

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

He's A Wagon🐐

Walker Kessler o24.5 PR
(-113 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- With the Bucks on a Back-to-Back don't see how this one doesn't end in a blowout for the Lakers. However, Kessler has been involved in 4 blowouts this season and minutes have been solid 30, 26, 31, and 32.

- Over this line in 7/11 games this season averaging 27.3 PR when he gets 10%+ usage. Matchup against the Bucks is ideal for Kessler, 6th most points in the restricted area while allowing the 2nd most rebounds and most O-Rebs. Perfect opportunity to get some putbacks.

- They've just been dominated by opposing bigs this season and haven't shown any signs of improvement. Recently we seen: KAT (37), Queta (22 & 21), Poeltl (30), Allen (36), Mobley (32) etc.

- Admittedly a concern is that this is also a great matchup for Luka and Reaves but hoping they let the big boy get his in this one as well.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Board Man Gets Paid💪

Day'Ron Sharpe o7.5 Rebounds
(-115 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- Backing Day'Ron here after a blowout loss against the Mavericks. 4.5 spread here so think the Nets can keep this one competitive.

- Day'Ron is over this line in just 4/10 games but has seen great opportunity at 16.3 rebound chances per. With 21+ minutes he is over this line in 4/7 averaging 8.1 on 17.6 chances. Two misses came in tough center rebounding matchups.

- Matchup against the Pelicans is favorable. They've been trending down and allow the 6th most to opposing centers. We've seen: Bassey (10), Lopez (7), Gobert (11), Bamba (10), Edey (9), Okongwu (10) etc.

- Baring any foul trouble or blowout would like to think Sharpe plays 27-30 minutes in this one.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

He's The ROTY🏆

Cameron Boozer o16.5 Points
(-113 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- Home shooting splits are kind of ugly for Boozer but hoping for some positive regression here. I do think he gets the best matchup in this spot.

- Boozer is over this line in 5/10 games this season averaging 16.2 PPG. Against teams not in the top 10 for defensive rating and not in the top 5 vs C&S he's over in 5/7 averaging 19.1 PPG.

- Tough matchup for Jerome as the Nuggets are the 2nd best Pull Up defense in the league. On the other hand they are weak vs outside scorers giving up the most spot up PPG and the 4th most C&S FGM over the L10 games.

- Like rolling with Boozer in this as not only are they weak to outside scoring but also inside. 9th most paint points allowed and the 5th most in the restricted area. 30th in PPG allowed vs opposing forwards.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

He's A Wagon🐐

Walker Kessler o24.5 PR
(-113 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- With the Bucks on a Back-to-Back don't see how this one doesn't end in a blowout for the Lakers. However, Kessler has been involved in 4 blowouts this season and minutes have been solid 30, 26, 31, and 32.

- Over this line in 7/11 games this season averaging 27.3 PR when he gets 10%+ usage. Matchup against the Bucks is ideal for Kessler, 6th most points in the restricted area while allowing the 2nd most rebounds and most O-Rebs. Perfect opportunity to get some putbacks.

- They've just been dominated by opposing bigs this season and haven't shown any signs of improvement. Recently we seen: KAT (37), Queta (22 & 21), Poeltl (30), Allen (36), Mobley (32) etc.

- Admittedly a concern is that this is also a great matchup for Luka and Reaves but hoping they let the big boy get his in this one as well.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Trust The Rookie👶

Meleek Thomas o8.5 Points
(-103 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- With a 100% hit rate this season, this line does feel like a bit of a trap but I'm going to bite on the rookie. Over this line in 8/8 games this season averaging 13 PPG.

- You may think it is because of high efficiency but he's actually getting decent volume/ opportunity. 20.9% usage rate to go along with 10.4 FGA per game.

- Matchup against the Knicks who he scored 9 against 2 games ago on a healthy 10 FGA. 54% of his points come from C&S opportunities in which the Knicks are allowing the 3rd highest frequency over the L10 games.

- Knicks on a B2B and the Cavs don't have Merill and potentially no Tyson. Thomas was one of the lone bright spots against the Hornets, would like to think he's carved out close to 25 minutes here.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Put The Ball In The Basket🧺

Franz Wagner o23.5 Points
(-118 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- Back to back 30+ point performances for Franz, finally found his scoring grove and like to see him continue that in this spot.

- Over this line in just 4/8 games since Paulo went down but the volume has been there averaging 18.5 FGA + 6 FTA. Now gets arguable his best scoring matchup of the bunch against the Jazz.

- Over the L10 games the Jazz are allowing the most PPG to opposing PnR Ball Handlers and the 2nd highest frequency of shots within 10 FT. This accounts for both Franz's highest areas of production. They are also 23rd vs opposing forwards points allowed.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

@PipsNBA Love the DD at + money

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Board Man Gets Paid💪

Day'Ron Sharpe o7.5 Rebounds
(-115 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- Backing Day'Ron here after a blowout loss against the Mavericks. 4.5 spread here so think the Nets can keep this one competitive.

- Day'Ron is over this line in just 4/10 games but has seen great opportunity at 16.3 rebound chances per. With 21+ minutes he is over this line in 4/7 averaging 8.1 on 17.6 chances. Two misses came in tough center rebounding matchups.

- Matchup against the Pelicans is favorable. They've been trending down and allow the 6th most to opposing centers. We've seen: Bassey (10), Lopez (7), Gobert (11), Bamba (10), Edey (9), Okongwu (10) etc.

- Baring any foul trouble or blowout would like to think Sharpe plays 27-30 minutes in this one.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Peaky's Recap 11/10: 3-2📈
❤️Like if you Tailed Any!

✅- Anthony Black o9.5 RA (12) +.97u
✅- Paul George o4.5 Rebounds (5) +.87u
✅- Darryn Peterson o17.5 Points (15) +.83u
❌- Deni Avdija u13.5 RA (14) -1u
❌- Brook Lopez o17.5 PR (12) -1u

Daily P&L: +0.67 Units📈

Another profitable day, lets keep stacking.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

He's The ROTY🏆

Cameron Boozer o16.5 Points
(-113 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- Home shooting splits are kind of ugly for Boozer but hoping for some positive regression here. I do think he gets the best matchup in this spot.

- Boozer is over this line in 5/10 games this season averaging 16.2 PPG. Against teams not in the top 10 for defensive rating and not in the top 5 vs C&S he's over in 5/7 averaging 19.1 PPG.

- Tough matchup for Jerome as the Nuggets are the 2nd best Pull Up defense in the league. On the other hand they are weak vs outside scorers giving up the most spot up PPG and the 4th most C&S FGM over the L10 games.

- Like rolling with Boozer in this as not only are they weak to outside scoring but also inside. 9th most paint points allowed and the 5th most in the restricted area. 30th in PPG allowed vs opposing forwards.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

@ryanpropz Don’t shoot you don’t score XD

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Trust The Rookie👶

Meleek Thomas o8.5 Points
(-103 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- With a 100% hit rate this season, this line does feel like a bit of a trap but I'm going to bite on the rookie. Over this line in 8/8 games this season averaging 13 PPG.

- You may think it is because of high efficiency but he's actually getting decent volume/ opportunity. 20.9% usage rate to go along with 10.4 FGA per game.

- Matchup against the Knicks who he scored 9 against 2 games ago on a healthy 10 FGA. 54% of his points come from C&S opportunities in which the Knicks are allowing the 3rd highest frequency over the L10 games.

- Knicks on a B2B and the Cavs don't have Merill and potentially no Tyson. Thomas was one of the lone bright spots against the Hornets, would like to think he's carved out close to 25 minutes here.

[Peaky Props @PeakyProps]

Put The Ball In The Basket🧺

Franz Wagner o23.5 Points
(-118 | 1 Unit)

❤️Like if you want another Play!

- Back to back 30+ point performances for Franz, finally found his scoring grove and like to see him continue that in this spot.

- Over this line in just 4/8 games since Paulo went down but the volume has been there averaging 18.5 FGA + 6 FTA. Now gets arguable his best scoring matchup of the bunch against the Jazz.

- Over the L10 games the Jazz are allowing the most PPG to opposing PnR Ball Handlers and the 2nd highest frequency of shots within 10 FT. This accounts for both Franz's highest areas of production. They are also 23rd vs opposing forwards points allowed.