Pedro

CPA | Economist @UFM | MSc Finance |
Retail & Value Investor | Documenting my portafolio journey through ideas, research, trades & investing.

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

Contracted backlog jumped 4.6x in one year.

$138B → $638B

Oracle says the increase was driven mainly by several large cloud contracts signed during the year.

Backlog is contracted revenue, not revenue already recognized.

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

Week ahead.
Friday is the $SPCX unlock.
Up to 328 million shares become eligible. Eligible is not sold. I’ll post Wednesday what would make me add, and Friday what I actually did.

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

Thanks, Pelosi.
Your trades are showing us the way

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

Free the beast. 🟢🚀

+6.83% up pre market

Trump + $4B + nuclear + robinhood:0x561e2a49212b7ccf47f2744ccb83e200722fadbc

Bloomberg says the administration is preparing the loan package.

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

One thing I find fascinating about $TSLA and $SPCX is how much Elon cares about controlling the supply chain.

Parts, manufacturing, software, production systems…

The more I look at these companies, the more I realize how much they try to build in-house.

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

@EllisInvest Thats impressive!

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

We’re still very early in AI.

Most people haven’t even experienced how much these tools can automate, create and simplify.

And we’re already seeing this much change.

I get excited thinking about what the future looks like.

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

@NotA_Bull $SPCX for sureee

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

Crazy to think how much OpenAI has changed the world in just a few years.

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

@stocksmoment the market is just starting to notice.

Wouldn’t complain if it triples from here haha

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

$MU will be one of the stars of the market this month. 👀

This is not another memory cycle.

More than 75% of 2027 production is already committed.

AI is changing the memory business

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

As a $ORCL shareholder, Oracle’s 10-K landed in my inbox.
I went through it, and a few numbers really caught my attention.
Oracle didn’t report a software year. It reported an infrastructure year

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

SEMICONDUCTOR STOCKS BY PEG RATIO

PEG < 1 usually means growth may be mispriced
PEG > 2 starts to push into the danger zone

Here’s how they stack up:
• $ARM ~2.5x
• $INTC ~1.8x
• $ANET ~1.7x
• $ALAB ~1.6x
• $KLAC ~1.3x
• $LRCX ~1.3x
• $ASML ~1.0x
• $AMAT ~0.9x
• $LITE ~0.8x
• $TSM ~0.7x
• $AMD ~0.7x
• $COHR ~0.6x
• $CRDO ~0.5x
• $NVDA ~0.5x
• $MRVL ~0.4x
• $ON ~0.4x
• $AVGO ~0.3x
• $SNDK ~0.2x
• $SKHY ~0.2x
• $AAOI ~0.2x
• $MU ~0.1x

Semiconductors are looking VERY cheap right now with two-thirds of these names trading below a 1x PEG over next three years...

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

I found this chart fascinating.

Some semiconductors are trading at surprisingly low multi-year PEG ratios.

Peter Lynch’s rule of thumb was around 1x PEG.

$NVDA: 0.5x
$AVGO: 0.3x
$AAOI : 0.2x

Maybe the market is pricing less growth than I expected.

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

@elonmusk Maybe we’re not bullish enough on $SPCX

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

China may be finding another way to access U.S. AI compute. 👀

Tencent is reportedly renting NVIDIA chips through Oracle data centers in Southeast Asia.

Same chips. Different location.

Hello, $ORCL . 😂

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

This month I’m digging into three companies that could become major positions in my portfolio.

$WM
$TDG
$GE

They’re very different businesses, but I’m looking for the same thing:

great economics that could diversify my portfolio.

No rush to buy.

I want the businesses to earn the next dollar

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

@fammetaX 🤝🙋‍♂️

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

Michael Burry shorted $NVDA around $198.

$NVDA closed Friday at $233.95.

That’s roughly -18% on the trade so far.

His bet:

GPU depreciation.
AI infrastructure spending.
Debt.

[Pedro @Pedroa3ro]

@Kalshi_Finance