Seldom right, but never unsure

Kind of a big deal. Have no opinion on apathy either way.

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@JackLautaret You are a clown.

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@BOSSportsGordo Wow you are a clown.

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@joh83391 @TrevorSanne3 It's Goodman. And WTF are you smoking?

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@ddayen Any Pol backing Crypto is on the take.

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@EdHand89 Lighten up Frances

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@TimTimmons951 @BenCampb_ @redsoxpayroll Cora set up Breslow. He is part of the Boras/Bregman cheap owner/inept FO push. He made it look like the Devers thing was Breslow. Now they are part of the narrative that is being pushed by Red Sox access media, so they can stay on the group chat. F all of them.

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@Jackwolfbrown @EdHand89 Or hear me out. They both suck and are overpaid, and its a good thing they are gone.
Does Contreras not replace their offensive output? There are problems this year, but not having Devers and/or Bregman aint it.

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@HQNewsNow Setting up a third party run.

[Dan Shapiro @DanielBShapiro]

Until the text of the US-Iran deal is signed and released, there is going to be a lot of spin on both sides. But here is my initial take.

This war was a mistake, and it needs to end. The President thought that the Iranian regime would collapse quickly, but it did not. In fact, it has been strengthened strategically by its survival against a heavy US-Israeli assault and carrying out some effective counterstrikes. Many countries in the region are now courting Iran and looking to deescalate and rebuild ties. A sign of which way the wind is blowing.

Getting the Strait of Hormuz open is the most important outcome of this MOU. Of course, the Strait was open before the war. Now we are paying to reopen it with sanctions relief. Iran has taken a theoretical point of leverage and turned it into a very real and powerful one, imposing costs across the global economy and rattling President Trump.

As for the nuclear issues, there really is no agreement, other than to negotiate over the HEU stockpile and an enrichment moratorium. Iran knows how to drag out those negotiations, and try to pocket concessions along the way. It is possible that no deal will every be reached, and very likely that if one is reached, it will be worse than what we could have achieved through diplomacy before the war.

Iran is not likely to take seriously that the US would return to war, certainly before the US midterms. So that means we will be conducting diplomacy without a credible threat of force.

If any agreement ultimately reached actually safely puts Iran's nuclear ambitions out of reach, I'll acknowledge it. It's just too early to make that judgment.

Trump is mainly focused on comparing his deal favorably to the JCPOA. But we are a long way from being able to make that comparison, and it may end up no better, or weaker than that deal.

But in some ways, Trump's deal and the JCPOA are already similar. Nothing on ballistic missiles, nothing on proxies, nothing on weakening the regime or helping the Iranian people. And plenty of sanctions relief that will strengthen the regime, and be poured into the missile program and proxy network. Honest critics of the JCPOA will not twist themselves into pretzels to defend Trump's approach.

Israelis are deeply disappointed in this outcome, but they should not be surprised. After some initial overlap of Trump's and Netanyahu's interests, there was a strong divergence. The United States needed this war to end. Netanyahu wanted to continue.

Trump's claim to include Lebanon in the ceasefire and his harsh shutting down Israeli attacks on Hezbollah is also a win for Iran. After the JCPOA was signed, Obama and Netanyahu worked together to strengthen Israel's campaign of strikes in Syria to intercept Iranian weapons shipments to Hezbollah in Lebanon.

So let's hope we see the removal of Iran's enriched uranium and a long-term suspension of enrichment, with full verification. But to achieve those goals, Trump's team is going to need to engage in far more sophisticated diplomacy, backed by qualified experts, than they have to date. If it is a phase one splash with no follow-up on implementation of later phases, like in Gaza, we will be much worse off after, and because of, this war.

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@Genevieve_207 If you're concerned about children, maybe don't conspire with one that celebrates indiscriminately killing them?

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@THATCH_ARISES @baseballcrank Lol ok professor. You're dumber than he is. Congrats

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@lyndseyfifield Stuff like this bother you?

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@Genevieve_207 Great. Now scoot along. Enjoy the grossness of of your co conspirator Bethany Mandel

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@samstein @daveweigel @Lauren_V_Egan Dude this ain't it. Stop with the fake outrage.

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@NoahSmith128 @baseballcrank Why wouldn't the machine give 51% of the vote to one of the candidates?

Also why does the machine only use their omnipotent power after giving a MAGA candidate hope?

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@factcheck2026 @MCCDAM @spencerpratt @GlennWhite1 Maybe he means strippers?

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@JohnCornyn What?

[Seldom right, but never unsure @Pete2303]

@planterspunch7 @jimsoxfan Really impressed with his D. He will hit (fingers crossed)