"You have to buy businesses and you have to buy them at attractive prices. And you have to buy into good businesses. That advice will be the same a hundred years from now. Thatâs what itâs all about."
â Warren Buffett
Options sound complicated.
At the core, theyâre actually pretty simple:
A CALL gives the buyer the right to BUY shares at a certain price.
A PUT gives the buyer the right to SELL shares at a certain price.
Why BUY them?
Buy a call = you think the stock goes UP.
Buy a put = you think the stock goes DOWN.
Why SELL them?
Sell a call = you get paid to potentially SELL your shares at a price you choose.
Sell a put = you get paid to potentially BUY shares at a price you choose.
Thatâs the foundation.
You can make options as complicated as you want, but understanding these 4 things is where it all starts.
Many keep saying the dollar is going to collapse.
What are you going to buy? The euro? Japan?
Where are you going to go? Weâre the prettiest of the three ugly sisters.
Capital comes here in geopolitical war. Europe wants war with Russia.
Are you going to leave your money there?
âIf you can't find any companies that you think are attractive, put your money in the bank...â
â Peter Lynch
âIf there's nothing smart to do, cash is the default option.â
â Warren Buffett
BREAKING: Global physical gold-backed ETFs attracted +$6.4 billion in inflows last week, their largest weekly intake since January.
This was led by North America at +$4.4 billion, followed by European funds at +$1.7 billion, and Asia at +$300 million.
This also marks their 3rd-largest weekly inflow on record and the 7th consecutive weekly inflow.
Over this 7-week stretch, global gold-backed ETFs have attracted +$16.4 billion.
Meanwhile, total AUM in global gold ETFs rose +$33 billion last week, to $615 billion, the highest level since the 2nd week of May.
The global gold rush is accelerating:
DALIO: DUMP BONDS, BUY GOLD AS DEBT CRISIS LOOMS
Ray Dalio warns a U.S. debt crisis could hit within three years, as deficits and interest costs surge.
He recommends underweighting bonds and allocating 10%â15% to gold, plus a small Bitcoin position.
Dalio argues rising debt could force higher rates or money printing, weakening currencies and fueling inflation.
He expects gold and Bitcoin to outperform as investors seek alternatives to government-backed assets.
I was incredibly concerned with the debt.
Now I get it.
Itâs never going down.
The budget will never get balanced.
Both parties donât care and if they say they do they are lying.
Fighting about taxes is silly.
We canât tax our way out of it.
There isnât enough tax revenue to be extracted.
We are going to print our way out of it.
5% real inflation forever.
Whatâs 40 trillion in debt if we inflate the gdp to 100 trillion?
Itâs the only choice.
Both sides want to keep spending.
My thesis the next 30 years:
The dollar will be worth less tomorrow than today.
The government will promise anything and spend everything.
Plan accordingly.
For those too young to remember, during the hayday of the dotcom boom in 1999, they also proposed making the market 24-hours.
Then the market crashed and everyone decided it was better to be able to sleep a little.
There's a reason casinos are open all night. For the degens that can't wait until the market opens the next morning...
âIf you simply bought High Quality Companies at the 200 Week Moving Average, youâd outperform the S&P 500 by large margin over timeâ
- Charlie Munger
BREAKING: Global physical gold-backed ETFs posted +$3.0 billion in inflows in July, the largest monthly intake since April.
This pushed global gold ETF holdings up +23 tonnes, to 4,068 tonnes, just below the all-time high of 4,176 tonnes posted on February 27th.
European funds led, at +$2.1 billion, followed by Asia, at +$600 million, and North America, at +$71 million.
This follows -$2 billion and -$9 billion in monthly outflows in May and June, respectively.
Year-to-date, global gold ETFs have attracted +$11.0 billion in inflows.
Global gold demand is rapidly recovering.
âIn my whole life, Iâve never succeeded much in what I wasnât interested in. So I donât think you're going to succeed if what youâre doing all day doesnât interest you."
â Charlie Munger