Bruno Piccirelli

[Morgan Cameron Ross @Morgan_C_Ross]

15% of American adults take or have taken Ozempic. Denmark is considering blocking all sales to America - as well as Lego and access to Maersk shipping - which accounts for 15% of global shipping. Surprisingly good leverage for a small little country.

[Republicans against Trump @RpsAgainstTrump]

Ronald Reagan: “Our peaceful trading partners are not our enemies; they are our allies.

We should beware of the demagogues who are ready to declare a trade war against our friends—weakening our economy, our national security, and the entire free world—all while cynically waving the American flag.”

[Aaron Rupar @atrupar]

Kaine: "He let Musk force the resignation of the FAA administrator. He disbanded an aviation safety committee within DHS... he's got an OMB director who is pushing a hiring freeze and saying 'I want to traumatize the federal workforce'"... he's got an anti-safety agenda... I think that's why he went the race-baiting route"

[Toula Drimonis @ToulasTake]

This is a really interesting explainer of Donald Trump’s negotiating style by professor David Honig. Worth a read.

[Tom Hoefling @TomHoefling]

H/t Mark Thomasy

The best, most cogent and elegantly simple explanation into the inexplicably destructive negotiating processes of the president, by Prof. David Honig of Indiana University.

Everybody I know should read this accurate and enlightening piece...

“I’m going to get a little wonky and write about Donald Trump and negotiations. For those who don't know, I'm an adjunct professor at Indiana University - Robert H. McKinney School of Law and I teach negotiations. Okay, here goes.

Trump, as most of us know, is the credited author of "The Art of the Deal," a book that was actually ghost written by a man named Tony Schwartz, who was given access to Trump and wrote based upon his observations. If you've read The Art of the Deal, or if you've followed Trump lately, you'll know, even if you didn't know the label, that he sees all dealmaking as what we call "distributive bargaining."

Distributive bargaining always has a winner and a loser. It happens when there is a fixed quantity of something and two sides are fighting over how it gets distributed. Think of it as a pie and you're fighting over who gets how many pieces. In Trump's world, the bargaining was for a building, or for construction work, or subcontractors. He perceives a successful bargain as one in which there is a winner and a loser, so if he pays less than the seller wants, he wins. The more he saves the more he wins.

The other type of bargaining is called integrative bargaining. In integrative bargaining the two sides don't have a complete conflict of interest, and it is possible to reach mutually beneficial agreements. Think of it, not a single pie to be divided by two hungry people, but as a baker and a caterer negotiating over how many pies will be baked at what prices, and the nature of their ongoing relationship after this one gig is over.

The problem with Trump is that he sees only distributive bargaining in an international world that requires integrative bargaining. He can raise tariffs, but so can other countries. He can't demand they not respond. There is no defined end to the negotiation and there is no simple winner and loser. There are always more pies to be baked. Further, negotiations aren't binary. China's choices aren't (a) buy soybeans from US farmers, or (b) don't buy soybeans. They can also (c) buy soybeans from Russia, or Argentina, or Brazil, or Canada, etc. That completely strips the distributive bargainer of his power to win or lose, to control the negotiation.

One of the risks of distributive bargaining is bad will. In a one-time distributive bargain, e.g. negotiating with the cabinet maker in your casino about whether you're going to pay his whole bill or demand a discount, you don't have to worry about your ongoing credibility or the next deal. If you do that to the cabinet maker, you can bet he won't agree to do the cabinets in your next casino, and you're going to have to find another cabinet maker.

There isn't another Canada.

So when you approach international negotiation, in a world as complex as ours, with integrated economies and multiple buyers and sellers, you simply must approach them through integrative bargaining. If you attempt distributive bargaining, success is impossible. And we see that already.

Trump has raised tariffs on China. China responded, in addition to raising tariffs on US goods, by dropping all its soybean orders from the US and buying them from Russia. The effect is not only to cause tremendous harm to US farmers, but also to increase Russian revenue, making Russia less susceptible to sanctions and boycotts, increasing its economic and political power in the world, and reducing ours. Trump saw steel and aluminum and thought it would be an easy win, BECAUSE HE SAW ONLY STEEL AND ALUMINUM - HE SEES EVERY NEGOTIATION AS DISTRIBUTIVE. China saw it as integrative, and integrated Russia and its soybean purchase orders into a far more complex negotiation ecosystem.

Trump has the same weakness politically. For every winner there must be a loser. And that's just not how politics works, not over the long run.

For people who study negotiations, this is incredibly basic stuff, negotiations 101, definitions you learn before you even start talking about styles and tactics. And here's another huge problem for us.
Trump is utterly convinced that his experience in a closely held real estate company has prepared him to run a nation, and therefore he rejects the advice of people who spent entire careers studying the nuances of international negotiations and diplomacy. But the leaders on the other side of the table have not eschewed expertise, they have embraced it. And that means they look at Trump and, given his very limited tool chest and his blindly distributive understanding of negotiation, they know exactly what he is going to do and exactly how to respond to it.

From a professional negotiation point of view, Trump isn't even bringing checkers to a chess match. He's bringing a quarter that he insists of flipping for heads or tails, while everybody else is studying the chess board to decide whether its better to open with Najdorf or Grünfeld.”

— David Honig

[Pete Buttigieg @PeteButtigieg]

Despicable. As families grieve, Trump should be leading, not lying. We put safety first, drove down close calls, grew Air Traffic Control, and had zero commercial airline crash fatalities out of millions of flights on our watch.
President Trump now oversees the military and the FAA. One of his first acts was to fire and suspend some of the key personnel who helped keep our skies safe. Time for the President to show actual leadership and explain what he will do to prevent this from happening again.

[Trump Lie Tracker (Commentary Account) @MAGALieTracker]

BREAKING: Pete Buttigieg just said exactly what needed to be said in this moment. We need real leadership.

[PoliticsVideoChannel @politvidchannel]

BREAKING EXCLUSIVE: Congress has the Votes to impeach and Remove Trump from office

[Voice of Reason @raggapegs]

100% Trump

[Lakota Man @LakotaMan1]

As a born and raised L.A. resident I’m incredibly thankful for Canada and Mexico. No politics. No bullshit. Just humans helping humans.

[Glenn Tunes @glenn_tunes]

As a Norwegian i just have to say that it is absolutely terrifying that this fucking moron is a member of Congress in America 👇👇👇👇

[Dr. Cole @1drcole]

Has our status as a country taken another nose-dive in the minds and hearts of other developed countries?

[Pat (Not Given) @talkatone2016]

Jack Smith Report:
Trump is guilty of 37 counts of Espionage:
Selling Top Secret Classified Intelligence information, U.S. Nuclear Secrets, U.S. & Our NATO Allies National Defense capabilities to foreign adversaries.
Lied About, Hid & Still has not returned all stolen documents.

[Daractenus @Daractenus]

Over 60 German and Austrian universities, the German Federal Court of Justice and multiple top German football clubs have announced on Friday that they will be completely withdrawing from Twitter, as a result of Elon Musk's "discussion" with far-right AfD's Alice Weidl.

[anyone_want_chips @anyonewantchips]

When Michael Cohen gets 3 years in prison - while the convicted felon skates on an unconditional discharge for the same crime - our justice system is a fucking joke.

[JessicaUSAF @JessicaUSAF]

😆

[Dean Blundell🇨🇦 @ItsDeanBlundell]

It's time for Canada to revisit the idea of banning Fox News (RT South):

"ICYMI: The Canadian Government is Considering Banning Fox News In Canada" https://t.co/dDSjuC0mSg

[Stan Collins @stan_sdcollins]

A Canadair CL 415 water bomber developed by Canada specifically to fight forest fires. Newfoundland has a fleet of these that we routinely sent to America every year to help them fight their wild fires. That is who we are. Good neighbours and Newfoundlanders are damn proud of it.