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A statement on prediction markets & API access from Pinnacle:

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Champions League midweek. Domestic league action on the weekend.

With the schedule ramped up, there's a good chance it affects markets 🗣️ @GarethWheeler @JAKEOZZ

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Some line movements to note since Monday:

Steelers -2.5 👉 -3.5
Texans -9.5 👉 -10.5
Vikings -5.5 👉 -6.5
Lions -3 👉 -3.5
Rams -5.5 👉 -3.5

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NFL Week 7 (so far) @ Pinnacle:

Bears -3 vs Patriots | O/U 50.5

Steelers -2.5 @ Saints | O/U 44 — Paris

Texans -9.5 vs Giants | O/U 43.5
Panthers -3.5 vs Buccaneers | O/U 45
Browns -1.5 @ Titans | O/U 38
Jets -5.5 vs Dolphins | O/U 39.5
Vikings -5.5 vs Colts | O/U 41.5
Bengals @ Ravens NL
49ers @ Falcons NL

Broncos -4 @ Cardinals | O/U 44
Lions -3 vs Packers | O/U 53
Rams -5.5 @ Raiders | O/U 47.5

Seahawks -1.5 vs Chiefs | O/U 42

Cowboys -4.5 @ Eagles | O/U 44.5

Bye: Bills, Jaguars, Chargers & Commanders

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How much is a missing player really worth, and has the market adjusted accordingly?

From Premier League injuries to El Clásico, @GarethWheeler and @JAKEOZZ examine how team news can change the value of a bet.

Pinnacle FC Ep. 121 👇

https://t.co/qqoXMUJrOx

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https://t.co/MPEwWJt4Pe

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El Clásico has a history of goals, and the market knows it.

So when the total surpasses 4, where's the value?

@JAKEOZZ and @GarethWheeler discuss on Pinnacle FC. 🗣️⚽️

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One of these teams will host a home playoff game in January:

▪️Cowboys are 2-4
▪️Giants are 3-2-1
▪️Commanders are 1-4-1
▪️Eagles are 2-4

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The bigger lesson?

Finding value isn't just about maximizing potential returns; it's also about managing how much you risk to earn them.

Middling opportunities with an edge on both sides are rare, but the math can be powerful.

Read it all here 👇
https://t.co/nik2oFVc61

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How can two bets with a 2% edge turn into a 47% edge?

The answer lies in one of sports betting's most interesting strategies: middling.

Here's how the math works w/ @DoctorRazzWSOP 🧵

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And here's where odds really matter.

At -110, the example produces a 47% edge.

Improve both prices to roughly -106, and the calculated edge rises above 150%.

A few cents of price improvement can make a huge difference when the downside is small.

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https://t.co/MPEwWJswZG

[Nishi @nishikoripicks]

Many think the first round brings more upsets, so favs do worse and dogs better. I thought so too.

But the market prices it. And goes too far.

First round: favs -1.7%, dogs -5.9%
From round 2: favs -3.8%, dogs 0.0%

All in my new @Pinnacle article:

https://t.co/EBf6ES2f6e

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Bears stock continues to rise. 🐻

Now the 4th-best odds to win the NFC (+720) and the 8th-best odds to win the Super Bowl (+1500).

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Let's check in on our Manchester United fan... @GarethWheeler 🫣

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Some more Patriots support has entered the chat 👀

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No movement on the side or total since Monday for Patriots/Bears tonight.

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19,000+ ATP matches worth of data, favorites vs. underdogs.

Which offers better betting value?

Discard the narratives and dive into the numbers with @nishikoripicks 🎾👇

https://t.co/POv8kLeecl

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@GarethWheeler @JAKEOZZ Podcast listeners:

Spotify — https://t.co/ytT0aF19XY
Apple — https://t.co/o6xWNW3AK3

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Injuries are increasing across European Soccer, but are the markets reacting accordingly?

With fixture congestion taking its toll, @GarethWheeler and @JAKEOZZ examine how squad availability, fatigue, and uncertain lineups can create new edges. ⚽️🗣️👇

https://t.co/MPEwWJt4Pe