๐งฉ ๐ง๐ผ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ป๐ถ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฅ๐ช๐๐ ๐๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฎ๐
Throwback to when Nomad Fulcrum CEO @PawelSynapse discussed the future of #tokenization with @MarioNawfal at @CCCCampus
Paweล and Mario are Bullish on Tokenized #RWAs. Are You?
๐จ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฃ๐๐ ๐๐ป๐ณ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฑ๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ ๐๐บ๐ถ๐ฑ ๐ฎ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐
It was a mixed trading day ahead of Thanksgiving. U.S. core PCE inflation for October came in as expected at +0.3% MoM and +2.8% YoY, signaling persistent but stable inflation. Personal income and consumption both exceeded forecasts, with income rising +0.6% and consumption at +0.4%. However, initial jobless claims fell slightly, while continuing claims hit a 3-year high, hinting at a softening labor market.
Major U.S. indices saw declines, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ down -0.38% and -0.59%, respectively, while gold gained +0.15%. Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year down -5.2 basis points to 4.249%. The U.S. dollar weakened broadly, with the DXY falling -0.89% and sharp losses against the JPY (-1.28%) and NZD (-1.03%).
Forex action was lively. EURUSD climbed above its 38.2% retracement, closing near 1.0563, while GBPUSD surged past its 200-hour moving average, ending at 1.2678. USDJPY saw sharp losses, dropping below Novemberโs previous low to 151.155. NZDUSD rallied despite no surprises from the RBNZ, testing key resistance at 0.5904.
Bitcoin rebounded, adding +4.7% to trade at $96,328 after yesterdayโs dip. Oil prices remained steady, with WTI crude settling at $68.72. As the day winds down, market dynamics remain nuanced, with inflation data, labor trends, and currency movements shaping the outlook.
๐จBiden's odds plummet as Demoratic lawmaker calls for Presidential race withdrawal.
Lloyd Doggett becomes the first Democrat to publicly urge President Biden to step down from the 2024 race. Doggettโs statement, referencing Lyndon Johnsonโs historical decision to withdraw, emphasized Bidenโs transformational yet transitional role and called for a new generation of leadership. This marks a significant moment, especially with reports suggesting Obama has also pressured Biden to step aside, though Biden hasnโt shown signs of considering it.
This development is creating uncertainty in financial markets, as Bidenโs withdrawal would drastically alter the political landscape. With Tim Ryan endorsing Kamala Harris, market analysts face a complex scenario. While current odds should be viewed cautiously due to thin trading, the coming days promise heightened volatility and strategic repositioning as investors grapple with the potential impact on policy directions and economic stability.
@POTUS@federalreserve@VP@KamalaHarris
6/ The central bank's role in stabilizing the economy is crucial, but it now faces the tough task of balancing its books while continuing to support economic growth. What are the potential solutions? Stay tuned for more updates. ๐
5/ If the BOJ becomes a money-losing entity, its independence could be threatened, impacting its ability to manage monetary policy effectively. The situation calls for careful consideration of future monetary strategies.
๐จBank of Japan's $3 Trillion Problem
1/ ๐งต The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is facing a significant financial challenge. As interest rates rise, the cost of the deposits it holds is increasing, potentially leading to financial losses. Let's dive into the details. ๐
JUST IN: A U.S. judge has sided with the #CFTC, reinforcing its authority to regulate #cryptocurrencies as commodities. This ruling underscores the CFTC's ability to oversee digital assets like #Bitcoin and #Ethereum.
This decision could significantly reshape the regulatory landscape for #DigitalAssets, setting a precedent for how other cryptocurrencies might be classified and managed. It highlights the ongoing efforts by regulatory bodies to bring clarity and oversight to the rapidly evolving crypto market.
Stay tuned for more updates on how this ruling could influence cryptocurrency regulation. #Crypto #Regulation #Commodities
๐The US jobs report showed Non-Farm Payrolls rising by a greater-than-expected 206K vs. the 190K estimate.
However, the details are concerning. Revisions for the prior two months were -111K, negating the current growth. The unemployment rate climbed to 4.1%, the highest since November 2021, and average hourly earnings YoY dropped to 3.9%, the lowest since June 2021. The gains were largely due to a 70K rise in government jobs and 82K in private education and health, accounting for 74% of the total gain. Meanwhile, temporary help fell by -48K, and professional and business services declined by -17K. Leisure and hospitality, a key post-pandemic job grower, rose by only 7K.
Initially, the forex market saw the dollar strengthen, but gains reversed as yields fell. The USD ended as the second weakest major currency, particularly declining against the GBP, CHF, and NZD. US debt market yields dropped, especially on the shorter end, as rate cut expectations increased. The 2-year yield fell by 8.7 bps, the 10-year by 6.9 bps. For the week, yields saw significant drops, aiding a stock market rally that pushed the NASDAQ to record levels daily.
Dow rose 0.17%, S&P 0.55%, and NASDAQ 3.5%โits best week since April. Despite this, Bitcoin plunged nearly $6000 to $56,718. Crude oil prices rose by $1.62 (1.99%) for the week, despite a drop today of $0.72 (-0.86%).
#NFP #Forex #Economy #FedPolicy #StockMarket #Bitcoin #Oil
๐จJapanese Banks Urge BOJ to Halve Bond Purchases by 2026, Potentially Disrupting Global Debt Markets ๐๐
Japanese banks are reportedly urging the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to halve its monthly bond purchases by 2026. Sources indicate private banks are calling for a reduction to around ยฅ3 trillion in two years, with further tapering to ยฅ2 trillion by March 2026. The BOJ discussed this with bond market participants and will announce its decision on tapering on July 31. This suggests a gradual approach to reducing bond purchases, even if initial cuts are substantial. Such moves could have significant implications for the global debt market and the Japanese yen, which continues to hit record lows against other currencies. #BOJ #Japan #MonetaryPolicy #BondMarket #Forex
๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐: ๐ช๐ฒโ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ก๐ผ๐ ๐๐ ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฃ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ผ๐ฑ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด; ๐ช๐ฒโ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ ๐จ
A note from Piper Sandler emphasizes that the economy is just beginning to feel the full impact of the Federal Reserveโs rate hikes. Despite starting the rate hiking cycle 10 quarters ago in March 2022, Piper Sandlerโs analysis of cycles dating back to 1958 shows it typically takes this long before a recession begins. Buckle up; the pain from rate hikes is only just starting to hit. Tomorrowโs inflation data from the U.S. market could be a turning point for the economy and a signal for the start of interest rate cuts. #FOMC #QE #FED #USD
๐ The Nasdaq hits a new record high for the 5th straight day, closing at 17,192.53. Despite the S&P 500 snapping its 4-day record streak, both indices ended the week higher, with the Nasdaq up 3.24%, its best weekly gain since April 22. The S&P 500 rose 1.58%, but the Dow Jones fell 0.54%. The Russell 2000 dropped 1% for the week.
๐Weekly winners: Broadcom (+23.35%), Adobe (+12.87%), CrowdStrike (+10.45%), Shopify (+9.87%), and Nvidia (+9.09%).
๐ Major losers: Celsius (-17.87%), Trump Media (-17.2%), Raytheon (-17.17%), Paramount (-15.32%), and Beyond Meat (-12.52%).
#Nasdaq #SP500 #DowJones #Russell2000
๐จFed's Logan: 'Several More Months' of Better CPI Needed ๐
In response to May's encouraging CPI data, Fed's Logan emphasized the need for sustained improvement, stating, "We need several more months to be confident inflation is heading to 2%." Logan highlighted the importance of closely monitoring upcoming data and mentioned the Fed's current ability to be patient on policy. Despite market expectations of a 60% chance of a rate cut in September, Logan's cautious stance suggests a cut is unlikely unless employment and equity markets decline sharply. #FederalReserve #CPI #Inflation @federalreserve
๐จ CONSENSYS CONFIRMS THE SEC HAS CLOSED ITS SECURITIES INVESTIGATION INTO $ETH ๐จ
โ SEC Drops Investigation
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially notified Consensys that it will not pursue charges alleging that sales of Ether (ETH) are securities transactions. This marks a significant development for Ethereum and its stakeholders.
๐ Investigation Details
The SEC's investigation, which began under the approval of Gurbir Grewal, Director of the Division of Enforcement, on March 28, 2023, focused on Ethereum 2.0 and the buying and selling of Ether. The probe aimed to determine whether these transactions should be classified as securities.
๐ก๏ธ Consensys' Defense
Consensys, the blockchain software company behind Ethereum, argued that the approval of spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) implied ETH tokens were considered commodities, not securities. They emphasized that this approval should logically lead to the conclusion that ETH transactions are outside the purview of securities regulations.
๐ Wells Notice and Response
In April, Consensys received a Wells notice from the SEC, indicating a planned enforcement action against the company. However, in a decisive move on June 7, Consensys sent a letter to the SEC, requesting confirmation that the approval of spot ETH ETFs in May would signify the end of the investigation into Ethereum 2.0.
๐ Market Reaction
Following the news of the SEC dropping its investigation, the price of Ethereum ($ETH) surged by 3.5%. This positive market reaction reflects the community's relief and optimism regarding Ethereum's regulatory clarity.
๐ Broader Implications
The closure of this investigation is a pivotal moment for Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market. It underscores the evolving regulatory landscape and the growing recognition of cryptocurrencies as commodities rather than securities.
๐ฐ Stay Informed
As the regulatory environment continues to develop, it's crucial for stakeholders and investors to stay informed about the latest developments. The closure of this SEC investigation marks a significant milestone in the journey toward greater regulatory clarity for cryptocurrencies.
#Ethereum #Consensys #CryptoNews #Blockchain #Regulation #SEC #Cryptocurrency #ETH
๐จ๐ญFurther Insights from SNB Chairman Jordan
SNB Chairman Jordan highlighted the dual direction of FX interventions, noting the recent appreciation of the Swiss franc. This impacts monetary conditions and influences the inflation outlook. Jordan emphasized that the exchange rate plays a crucial role and that the policy rate will be adjusted to maintain price stability.
Interestingly, Jordan's narrative has shifted since May, where he previously identified a weaker franc as a main inflation source. Now, his focus is on the franc's appreciation, suggesting the SNB may back off from interventions. This change signals a more nuanced approach to managing the currency's strength and its impact on inflation.
#SNB #Forex #SwissFranc #MonetaryPolicy #Inflation