Bitcoin closed May at $73,568
Market is 50/50 on if Febryary $60k was the bottom, or the bear will continue.
IMO data is telling us that we have not seen bottom formation yet, and that there is a >50% probablility that we go lower (below 200wma $61k or realized price $53k).
Trump’s new tariffs aren’t a trade tweak—they’re the first move in a full-spectrum reset.
$9.2T in debt matures in 2025. Inflation lingers. Alliances are shifting.
One announcement just set a dozen wheels in motion.
Here’s what’s really happening—and why it matters 🧵
What 4 months (Feb-May) with +40% return would look like.
Note that each prior bull market (2013, 2017, 2020/21) had at least 4 months with +40% return...