I scored 11/12 on the LATF Trader Exam.
Rating: FLOOR VETERAN
Sizing, risk, probability โ think you can beat me?
https://t.co/7G3Vevs0yp via @luckychartape
๐1 year LATF membership giveaway๐
I just gave free access to my "VIP group" for one week.
This is where I have taught people everything I know for the last 5+ years. This is where I breakdown all of my trades, everyday.
I hope that was a great experience for those of you wanting to make a change in 2026!
It was a transparent look at what I do everyday.
The option to join with a 1 year membership discount will be removed in 2 days. (This is my last year).
To join the giveaway, like and share.
@Gorski503@luckychartape We are at a relevant point in price structure, so for me it shouldn't be time for over managing positions, just choose a side, manage risk and see outcome.
talked to a guy who's been trading 23 years and manages $40M
asked him what separates traders who survive from traders who blow up
his answer surprised me
it wasn't strategy. it wasn't discipline. it wasn't psychology.
"bet sizing. that's it. that's the whole game."
here's what he explained:
THE THESIS:
"I've seen hundreds of traders come through. good ones. smart ones. talented ones."
"90% of the ones who blew up didn't blow up from bad trades. they blew up from bad sizing on normal trades."
"a 1R loss at proper size is nothing. a 1R loss at 10x proper size is account death."
THE EXAMPLES:
he walked me through case studies:
TRADER A:
- excellent strategy, 58% WR
- consistently profitable for 2 years
- had a "high conviction" trade
- sized up 5x normal position
- trade lost
- drawdown was 23% instead of 5%
- psychology cracked
- revenge traded the next week
- blew the account in 8 days
"he didn't blow up from a bad trade. he blew up from a big trade."
TRADER B:
- mediocre strategy, 51% WR
- survived for 11 years
- never sized above 0.8% per trade
- took the same size on every trade
- no "high conviction" sizing
- compounded slowly but never blew up
"he's worth $4M now. started with $50k. just never killed himself with size."
THE RULE:
"every trader who blows up violates the same rule"
"they size based on CONVICTION instead of MATH"
"'this one feels right' so they go bigger"
"'I'm on a winning streak' so they go bigger"
"'I need to make it back' so they go bigger"
"conviction is how you justify stupid sizing"
THE DATA:
he showed me internal research:
traders who sized based on conviction:
- average survival time: 2.4 years
- account explosion rate: 74%
traders who sized mathematically (same size every trade):
- average survival time: 8.3 years
- account explosion rate: 12%
"it's not even close. variable sizing kills traders."
THE MATH:
he broke down why "high conviction" sizing is stupid:
"let's say you're 60% accurate on normal trades"
"let's say you're 70% accurate on 'high conviction' trades"
"sounds good right? go bigger on the 70% trades?"
"wrong. here's why:"
"at 60% accuracy with 1% risk, a 4-loss streak costs you 4%"
"at 70% accuracy with 5% risk, a 4-loss streak costs you 20%"
"and 4-loss streaks happen even at 70% accuracy"
"you FEEL more confident but the math doesn't justify the size increase"
THE SOLUTION:
"how do you size then?"
"same size every trade. no exceptions."
"what about when you're really confident?"
"same size. confidence isn't accuracy."
"what about when the setup is perfect?"
"same size. perfect setups lose 40% of the time."
"what about when you're on a winning streak?"
"same size. streaks end."
"every trade gets the same respect. the 'boring' ones and the 'perfect' ones."
THE IMPLEMENTATION:
his rules for position sizing:
1. calculate your base risk (0.5-2% depending on account size and edge)
2. that's your risk on EVERY trade
3. never size up. ever.
4. if you want more money, scale accounts/capital. don't scale risk.
"I've been trading 23 years. I've never taken a trade above 2% risk. not once."
"my biggest winners and my 'meh' trades got the same size"
"I'm not trying to hit home runs. I'm trying to not strike out."
THE TRUTH:
retail traders think they need big trades to make big money
professionals know big trades make big losses
the traders managing real money all size conservatively
they make money through VOLUME of good trades not SIZE of individual trades
if you're varying your position size based on "conviction":
you're already on the path to blowing up
it's just a matter of when
same size
every trade
no exceptions
that's how you survive
How to start trading like Institutional Players?
To start trading like smart money, focus on being well-prepared and treat your trading as if you're running a business. Institutional traders do not rely solely on indicators like RSI and MACD to make their decisions. Each position they take is carefully calculated, considering factors such as timing, costs, and execution.
To approach trading like smart money, follow these principles
1) Know your edge: Identify the advantage you have in the market that sets you apart from other traders. Your edge could be a unique trading strategy, exceptional analytical skills, or access to valuable information. Without a clear edge, your chances of success are limited.
2) Develop multiple plans with one goal: Create various trading plans that cater to different market conditions and scenarios, but ensure that all these plans are geared towards achieving a single, unified goal - consistent profitability. If you see my trading style, i come up with different potential outcomes and have a plan for each. Whichever of those outcomes happens i will profit from it. Retail is only buying & holding, which is exactly what whales told them to do. If you ask any of them what their targets are, either they don't know, or they want unrealistic targets. This is not a wise strategy.
3) Review and learn: Continuously evaluate your trades and performance to identify areas for improvement. Analyze your successes and failures, and learn from them. Adapt your strategies and plans as needed to maintain your edge in the market.
The above are the most important points to consider when you want to become a profitable trader. Not by learning a concept that banks โsupposedlyโ use, but by approaching trading the same as banks and professionals do.
To establish your trading edge, consider the following steps
1) Education: Invest time and effort in learning about trading, financial markets, and the instruments you intend to trade. Gain a solid understanding of market dynamics, technical analysis, and fundamental analysis. Cut copy-trading and believing you will get rich quickly. Stop chasing or you'll just be +1 gambler in the market. Accumulate profits gradually over several months to years. Re-invest those profits, but on yourself. Buy knowledge.
2) Strategy development: Develop a trading strategy based on your knowledge and understanding of the markets. This may involve back-testing and tweaking your strategy to optimize its performance.
3) Risk management: Implement sound risk management principles to protect your trading capital. Set appropriate stop-loss levels, use position sizing to manage risk, and maintain a healthy risk-to-reward ratio (R:R)
4) Discipline (what most do not have): Develop the discipline to stick to your trading plan and adhere to your risk management rules. Emotional control is crucial for long-term trading success.
5) Continual improvement: Stay up-to-date with market trends and news, regularly review your trading performance, and refine your strategies as needed to maintain your competitive edge.
By learning market concepts that work, you can create a solid foundation for your trading journey. Follow these steps to develop and execute your edge effectively
1) Learn and build: Study concepts that work in the market, then create rules and strategies around these concepts. This knowledge will serve as the basis for your trading success.
2) Test and practice: Test your strategies on historical data and then practice with demo trading before transitioning to live trading. Ensure that you have proper risk management in place and understand that the initial stages will be a learning process towards a larger goal.
3) Develop multiple plans: Create a pre-market plan, an execution plan, and a post-market plan. These plans will guide you through the entire trading process and help minimize mistakes.
3a) Pre-market plan: Outline the steps you'll take to identify setups with your edge, analyze the markets, and determine when to take action. Make this plan as clear and detailed as possible.
3b) Execution plan: Establish guidelines for placing trades, managing risk, and making adjustments to your positions as market conditions change.
3c) Post-market plan: Review your trading performance, analyze both winning and losing trades, and identify areas for improvement.
4) Embrace a learning mindset: Recognize that you will always have losing trades. ALWAYS. Instead of moving on to the next trade without reflection, take the time to learn from your losses. Treat them as valuable lessons that contribute to your growth as a trader.
By implementing these steps and maintaining a disciplined approach to trading, you can increase your chances of long-term success and continuous improvement.
It is normal to lose money while learning. Itโs the price to pay in order to learn life-changing skills. You must lose in order to earn later. Overtime you will optimize your game, and fail less.
By following these steps and maintaining a disciplined approach to trading, you enhance your prospects for long-term success and ongoing growth. Embrace the learning process and understand that it's normal to experience losses during the early stages. These losses serve as "tuition fees" for acquiring invaluable skills and knowledge that will change your life.
As you continue to optimize your strategies and learn from your mistakes, you'll gradually minimize losses and improve your overall trading performance. Remember, enduring losses early on can pave the way for greater profits in the future.
Look around, everyone's gambling on the markets. If you do it right, through the harder path, you barely have no competition, and all those people will keep losing money, to who?
- If there's a loser, there's as well a Winner. Be the Winner. Do the work and the crowd will make you a multi-millionaire.