Every plus-money K prop. Every major book. Statcast data behind each line.
I built the strikeout prop tool I couldn't find anywhere — so I'm giving it away for 7 days.
No card required. 🧵
@YankeesRealist How about Don Mattingly?
Beloved former yankee everyone would be rooting for to get over the hump & just had a 79-55 record managing the Phillies after their awful start to the season.
📊MLB Recap 10/07
-0.6u
Season: +0.44u
❌(+153) Martinez o13.5 Outs (.3u)
❌(+120) Glasnow 7 Ks (.3u)
⚡️Playoffs have been brutal so far, might scale back or start playing more unders
⚾️MLB Plays (10/07)
Posting plays as they come in throughout the day — targeting plus money value, lineup edges, + high floor/upside strikeout ladders⚡️
Full card + results at the end of the day📷
🔹Tyler Glasnow 7 Ks (+120 Caesars .3u)
•7+ Ks in 10 of his L12 starts; 7 Ks vs ATL who are vulnerable to all 3 of his best K pitches & have a 33.3% K rate in 108 PA vs him
⚡️ Strong form to close out the season + favorable pitch mix edge vs a lineup he’s had success against
📊MLB Recap 10/6
-0.47u
Season: +1.04u
❌(+190) May 4 Ks (.25u)
❌(+450) May 5 Ks (.15u)
❌(+950) May 6 Ks (.1u)
✅(+232) Combo 7 Ks (.1u)
❌(+575) Combo 8 Ks (.1u)
❌(+1500) Combo 9 Ks (.1u)
⚡️Could have been a much bigger day with May & Sale starting hot but cooling off
⚾️MLB Plays (10/06)
Posting plays as they come in throughout the day — targeting plus money value, lineup edges, + high floor/upside strikeout ladders⚡️
Full card + results at the end of the day📷
🪜Sale/Yamamoto Ks (DK .1u each)
7 Ks (+232)
8 Ks (+575)
9 Ks (+1500)
•These two faced off on 8/27; Sale had 11 Ks in a 9 IP shutout & Yamamoto had 8 Ks in 6.1 IP
-Sale 26.7% K rate in 150 PA vs LAD
-Yamamoto 31% K rate in 58 PA vs ATL
⚡️Two elite K arms in a pivotal game
⚾️MLB Plays (10/05)
Posting plays as they come in throughout the day — targeting plus money value, lineup edges, + high floor/upside strikeout ladders⚡️
Full card + results at the end of the day📷
🔹CHW ML (+143 .25u Bally)
🔹CHW +1 (-107 .15u Bally)
•CHW faced Williams four times this season, covering the +1 in every game & winning 3 outright, so I'm taking the +1 as insurance
⚡️Looking for the hottest team in the playoffs to continue their success vs Williams
#MLB
📊MLB Recap 9/30
-1u
Season: +1.31u
❌(+117) Brown 7 Ks (.25u)
❌(+215) Brown 8 Ks (.2u)
❌(+437) Brown 9 Ks (.15u)
❌(+127) Gausman 5 Ks (.2u)
❌(+250) Gausman 6 Ks (.2u)
⚡️Brown got lit up and Gausman struggled as well, we’ll look to bounce back in the divisional series
⚾️MLB Plays (9/30)
Posting plays as they come in throughout the day — targeting plus money value, lineup edges, + high floor/upside strikeout ladders⚡️
Full card + results at the end of the day📷
🪜Kevin Gausman Ks (.2u each)
5 Ks (+127 Novig)
6 Ks (+250 HardRock)
⚡️5+ Ks in each of his L8 starts & had 8 Ks on 7/12 vs SD who are vulnerable to splitters all season striking out 34.6% vs that pitch. Gausman’s splitter has elite whiff/K metrics with a 39.2% usage
#MLB